Chase Burns was shelled the last time out, but I like a bounce back here against a team that has never seen him and is going so poorly this season. The Giants have actually been arguably the worst team in baseball. I like the now-powerful Reds (Sal Stewart! Elly De La Cruz!) to win easily here at home on getaway day.
The Mets are not in a good place right now and the Dodgers are the best team in baseball, at home. Shohei Ohtani is dominant on the mound when he's right, and he is just that here in 2026. I love the plus money angle here.
Emerson Hancock is very talented and has been great so far. Randy Vasquez has been very good for the Padres. Neither offense is reliable right now, but the bullpens are very much reliable. Last night's total was five and this one will be in similar territory.
After only three runs last night, we're bound to see an offensive explosion in this one. The teams both have firepower and the ballpark is conducive to offense. Starters Kumar Rocker and J.T. Ginn aren't bad, but aren't overly scary here either.
Did the Jays get their mojo back with the late comeback Tuesday evening? That's where I'm betting. Dylan Cease has been great and while Brewers starter Chad Patrick is solid enough, the Milwaukee bullpen is in shambles.
The Yankees are a windmill factory right now, sitting toward the top of the leaderboard in strikeout rate. Jack Kochanowicz struck them out 13 times in 12 innings last season and has interesting enough stuff for me to like this low number at plus money.
The Cubs have struck out 26.9% of the time against lefties this season and it makes sense with lefties Michael Busch, Pete Crow-Armstrong and Moises Ballesteros featured prominently, offensively. Jesus Luzardo is very K-heavy, too, with 26 in 17 1/3 innings this year. Last year, he struck out 15 Cubs in 12 innings.
The Tigers are in a bad way right now, having lost seven of their last nine. The good news is Framber Valdez takes the hill and they've won both of his starts while he's looked like an ace. The Tigers are better than they've been playing and the Twins are probably worse than this. I like a Tigers win and Valdez to work through the middle innings.
The Marlins are 5-1 against the Rockies and White Sox and now 1-4 against other teams. The Reds storming back in the ninth to tie it last night in a Sandy Alcantara start makes me feel like the vibes are all on the Cincy side. I love the plus money play here.
He was a disaster in his first start and then pretty good, but not great, second time out. This time around, Skenes dominates. The Padres have never seen him and it's his first home start of the year. He'll go around 90 pitches and strikeout more than a batter per inning.
The Braves looked very good at home, but this is their first road game and the D-backs have been feisty so far. They led the Dodgers in all three games and then swept the Tigers, including a comeback from down four runs in the eighth and beating Tarik Skubal. I like the D-backs home vibes right now.
The Dodgers still haven't struck first in any game this season. They've actually been down exactly 2-0 in every game. I expect things to change. They'll jump on a mediocre Tanner Bibee while Shohei Ohtani deals on the hill and the team cruises to an easy victory.
I had the Mariners as the best team in the AL coming into the season and this feels like a good series for them to prove it. After the 2-1 win Monday, I love Logan Gilbert here against the Yankees. It'll be close and low scoring again, but I'll take the home Mariners.
The Rockies won 14-5 Monday night. I'm just going for the bounce-back game here. The Rockies are still among the worst teams in baseball and will be the worst road team this season. The Blue Jays are going to be great, especially at home. Expect a blowout.
For all the gushing over Max Scherzer in Game 4 of the ALCS, he still gave up two runs in less than six innings in a pitcher-friendly ballpark. Dodger Stadium isn't pitcher friendly. The Dodgers tag Scherzer with a crooked number early.