For all the gushing over Max Scherzer in Game 4 of the ALCS, he still gave up two runs in less than six innings in a pitcher-friendly ballpark. Dodger Stadium isn't pitcher friendly. The Dodgers tag Scherzer with a crooked number early.

The LA Dodgers did what they typically do in game two and that was bounce back from a loss. They are now 15-2 over their last seventeen games, making the side a tough assessment from a price stand point in game three. I went to the prop market where Mookie Betts has had a very quiet postseason since the Phillies series. He has cleared his total bases just once over the last seven games. Yet, two of his three hits against Max Scherzer have been extra base hits. Look for an early hit from Betts possibly a double, and a single later in the game. Take his total bases over for half a unit.

The Dodgers came back in Game 2 with a typical Dodgers 5-1 win to even things up. Game 2 looked like an extension of the NLCS against the Brewers, when the Dodgers pitching allowed one run in each game. The Dodgers starting pitching has set the tone in these playoffs, and they’ve gone under six of their last seven games. They’ve got another ace-type starter going in Game 3 with Tyler Glasnow, who hasn't lost since August, as the Dodgers have won seven straight games behind him, including the last three games that he's only allowed one run combined. He's getting better as the games become more crucial. Matt Scherzer goes for Toronto, and he lost 5-1 to the Dodgers in August. Dodgers to win.

Don't love going with the home team to win by two but I have this priced closer to even money, where I only have a few cents of value left on the -189 ML price. Taking the value at +110 and I don't trust Max Scherzer to be good anyways. In his first postseason start, Scherzer recorded just four whiffs from 20 swings against the fastball and seven of 13 batted balls registered as "hard hit" (95+ mph exit velo). Of those seven hard hit balls, incredibly just one went for a hit (Josh Naylor's HR) and it'll be very tough to get that lucky again, especially against this lineup. Dodgers win in front of the home fans with ease.

Was hoping for an opening of -1 on the Dodgers via BetRivers but no dice. They probably get hammered by the public back at home Monday for Game 3 so will take this now before it gets north of -200 (already there at DK). Just won't do -1.5. Jays starter Max Scherzer has had an amazing career -- the eye thing always freaks me out a little -- and is a first-ballot Hall of Famer if this is his last outing. But I don't trust him at all these days at age 41 and after a 5.19 ERA in the regular season. His RS road splits were significantly worse and he was just OK (four walks in 5.2 IP) in his ALCS start in Seattle.

Though the stray big inning is always possible, the footprint of this series seems to be lower-scoring. Toronto of course got the bats cooking in the sixth inning of Game One, but the Blue Jays have scored in just three of 18 innings thus far. Meanwhile, the Dodger offense has been on shorter rations since the Division Round vs. the Phils, and had John Schneider not waited too long to pull Kevin Gausman in Game 2, we're not sure the Dodgers make their breakthrough on Saturday, either. For Monday, vet Max Scherzer is a viable option for Toronto after his Game 4 effort vs. Seattle., while LA's Tyler Glasnow has been tough to hit lately, as his 0.68 postseason ERA suggests. Play Jays-Dodgers Under