Eury Perez has been significantly better when pitching in Miami over multiple seasons now and after a rough outing with walks in Yankee Stadium last time, I'm sure he'll appreciate getting to pitch at home here. The Reds lineup tonight features just two hitters who have kept their K rate below 24% against right handed fastballs, and Perez has an electric one that has been averaging 98+ mph. He'll need to strike out right handed batters tonight with only three lefties in there, but the opposing numbers vs the fastball are promising.

FanDuel. After a rocky start at Yankee Stadium, Eury Perez returns home where he’s traditionally fared much better (lifetime K% of 31% with a .256 wOBA at Loan Depot park compared to 27% and .325 on the road). He’ll face a Reds lineup that has the second highest called strike rate this season - a key indicator of 2 strike counts. Perez has an elite swing and miss arsenal, and will face a lineup that features seven hitters with above average strikeout rates so far this season.

The Marlins are 5-1 against the Rockies and White Sox and now 1-4 against other teams. The Reds storming back in the ninth to tie it last night in a Sandy Alcantara start makes me feel like the vibes are all on the Cincy side. I love the plus money play here.