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Matt Snyder
Matt Snyder
Stick With What Works
Baseball-obsessed since a young child, a fan of gambling from nickel-and-dime poker as a teen to $5 blackjack as a broke college kid and eventually onto major sports betting, the transition always seemed inevitable for Matt Snyder. CBS Sports' longest-tenured baseball expert teams simple logic learned back from his baseball-playing days, such as "stick with what works," with extensive background analytics. He went 26-18 in the 2020 playoffs, including 8-4 in World Series bets.
LAST 3 MLB O/U PICKS
+100
Record: 2-1
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L.A. Dodgers 11 @ San Diego 6 | 04/17 | 2:10 AM UTC

San Diego +135

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Dodgers are the better team and the odds show as much here, but the Padres have a lot of things in their favor for Friday night. They are returning home, they are getting Fernando Tatis Jr. back, it'll be the first time with both Tatis and Trent Grisham in the lineup and this is mostly a bullpen game for them. Their relievers have been strong and they can keep throwing new looks at the Dodgers all game with it. If lefty Ryan Weathers can get through the Dodgers' lineup twice -- they are worse against lefties -- the Padres are golden.

Houston 5 @ Seattle 6 | 04/17 | 2:10 AM UTC

Seattle +101

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Astros are currently in a bit of a tailspin and some of it has to do with the COVID-19 outbreak, which has sidelined the likes of Alex Bregman, Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez. The Mariners come home riding a hot streak and have the new-and-improved Yusei Kikuchi on the bump. He's re-invented himself with a cutter and looks on the cusp of a breakout season. That combined with a battered Astros lineup will keep the score down and the Mariners' back-end of the bullpen has been good as well. They'll win a close one.

Tampa Bay 8 @ N.Y. Yankees 2 | 04/16 | 11:05 PM UTC

N.Y. Yankees -1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Yankees' offense is a sleeping giant right now. Far too many good hitters have been nearly worthless at the plate to this point and it has to turn soon. What better time than coming home to the Bronx -- where they hit far better as a team -- and facing the now-punchless Michael Wacha? The Rays have owned the Yankees since the start of 2020, but the worm started to turn last game between the two and things continue to balance here. The Yankees pitching plan will be piecemeal, but the Rays' offense simply isn't very good. I like a blowout here, so we're taking the -1.5 run line to cover.

Cincinnati 6 @ San Francisco 7 | 04/14 | 1:45 AM UTC

Cincinnati +101

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Reds offense hasn't been near the same away from Great American Ball Park, but we're betting on the arm of Luis Castillo along with some regression from Giants starter Kevin Gausman. Gausman has been great so far, but he's not this good and the Reds had him in 2019. His profile hasn't changed a ton, so let's see what the Reds' scouting department can do. On the Castillo side, he's an elite-level ace when he's right and was nearly unhittable in his only other career outing in Oracle (2019).

L.A. Angels 2 @ Kansas City 3 | 04/14 | 12:10 AM UTC

L.A. Angels -135

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Royals' offensive stats look decent enough, but that's powered by their first two games. They've only scored 15 runs in the last six games combined. Dylan Bundy has been very good in his first two starts against much tougher offenses (CHW/HOU). Lefty Danny Duffy is a tough matchup for the Angels, but I'm overall trusting the better team here, even if it has to happen against the bullpen.