Maye threw for 273 yards last week in an impressive upset win over the Bills. He is over this passing yards mark in 3/5 games this year, and only went under it by 3 yards in Week 2, and in a blowout win over the Panthers in Week 4. An indoor environment in New Orleans should give an added boost to the offense. Maye has now established a rapport with WR1 Stefon Diggs, connecting with him for 100+ yards in consecutive weeks. I see this being a competitive game in which Maye clears this total.

In Week 1, Boutte had his biggest game of the year thus far with 6 receptions on 8 targets for 103 receiving yards. Since then, Boutte has seen much less volume, but has still cleared this modest receiving yards mark in 3/5 games. The Patriots will be on the road in New Orleans, and Boutte may have some extra motivation for this game, considering that he grew up in Louisiana and played at LSU. Boutte has logged a 15+ yard reception in each game thus far, and may only need a few looks to cash this.

No running back has eclipsed 50 yards rushing versus the Patriots, who allow 3.5 yards per carry. Alvin Kamara enters this difficult matchup averaging 3.9 yards per carry and 1.8 yards after contact per attempt. He's dealing with an ankle injury. Kendre Miller has looked more explosive, and Taysom Hill returned last week and got six carries. While I like the Saints to keep it close, I don't believe Kamara's rushing will be a big reason why.

This is a tricky spot for the surging Patriots. They just pulled off a seismic upset of division rival Buffalo, and next week they visit Tennessee -- the team that fired their coach Mike Vrabel following the 2023 season. With an emotional trip to Nashville on deck, and with the Patriots' injury report looking worse than the Saints' report, I like New Orleans to keep this close. The Saints have been in every game but one. And they get pass rusher Chase Young making his season debut.

Was a huge win over the Bills, on the road, in division, enough to elevate the New England Patriots into the status of road favorite, laying more than a field goal? I think not. This will be the first of two straight road games for NE and they'll be favored in each. I think this is a good spot to go against them off of the biggest win of their season where the point spread is probably a bit inflated. New Orleans is playing very hard and they are continuing to improve. The masses are in love with the Patriots off their big win. I made the line 3. Getting the hook here is a big deal. I believe it closes at a flat 3.

I’m going right back to the Drake Maye well coming off of a very impressive performance and huge upset against the Bills in primetime. Maye ranks third EPA per play, paired with a highly respectable 51% Success Rate. The one weakness for Maye this season has been taking sacks. This bodes well for him considering the Saints have a dismal pass rush. New Orleans ranks 32nd in Pressure Rate and 31st in Quick Pressure Rate signaling we could be in line for a special performance.

The Patriots backfield lost a member last week with Antonio Gibson's torn ACL, and while that could mean a bigger role for TreVeyon Henderson or practice-squad back Terrell Jennings, it'll also probably mean more touches for Stevenson regardless of his fumbling issues as the Pats are unlikely to fully trust their other options anytime soon. This should be a good script for Stevenson to score with Patriots favored, and even as big 'dogs last week he reached the end zone twice. Considering the TD price on most lead backs on favored teams, this feels like a good value.