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Sun, Sep 215:00 pm UTCRaymond James Stadium
90 F
New York
Jets
NYJ
Last 5 ATS
W/L3-11
ATS7-8
O/U9-6-0
FINAL SCORE
27
-
29
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
TB
Last 5 ATS
W/L6-8
ATS5-10
O/U8-7-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
3-11
Win /Loss
6-8
7-8
Spread
5-10
9-6-0
Over / Under
8-7-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NYJ @ TB
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MONEYLINE
NYJ @ TB
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OVER / UNDER
NYJ @ TB
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55%
PUBLIC
45%
MONEY
3%
PUBLIC
97%
MONEY
Over19%
PUBLIC
Under81%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Receiving YardsGarrett Wilson Over 65.5 Total Receiving Yards -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+404
14-8 in Last 22 NFL Player Props Picks
Zack's Analysis:

If there’s a backup quarterback that’s fresh and ready to go it’s Tyrod Taylor. Since 2022, Taylor has had just four NFL starts. Taylor will need to air it out with how well Tampa Bay has hindered the ground game. They shut down the Falcons to an average of 2.5 yards a carry, and the Texans to fifty seven yards from their running backs. Look for Wilson to have a solid overall game enough to clear his yardage prop.

Pick Made: Sep 21, 3:41 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadN.Y. Jets +6.5 -102
WIN
Unit1.0
+1578
48-29-2 in Last 79 NFL ATS Picks
+150
8-6 in Last 14 TB ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Is it really the worst news for the Jets that Justin Fields has been ruled out of this game at Tampa Bay, with vet Tyrod Taylor slated to take snaps vs. the Bucs? Indeed, it might be a plus. There's something else curious about this matchup, to do with the Bucs, who for the fifth straight year have broken 2-0 from the gate...but they've also lost and failed to cover their third game the past four seasons, too. Last year, an 0-2 Denver came into Tampa and took out the 2-0 Bucs handily, 26-7. Tampa Bay has been cutting it very close with late-game Baker Mayfield heroics, and even in normal circumstances, laying a full 7 with the Bucs looks risky. Play Jets

Pick Made: Sep 20, 3:03 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadN.Y. Jets +7 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+384
5-1 in Last 6 NFL Picks
+72
3-2 in Last 5 NFL ATS Picks
+121
9-7-1 in Last 17 TB ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

With most other sportsbooks offering +6.5, this line stands out. The Bucs are coming off a physical Monday nighter on the road and could be vulnerable after their 11th-hour-plus win. QB Tyrod Taylor steps in for the ailing Justin Fields, but the drop-off is marginal. This marks the veteran’s 58th start, which will send him under or over his .500 SU record. The Jets are ground-oriented anyway, as indicated by their No. 5 rush ranking. They appear the healthier side, with Tampa Bay sending OT Luke Goedeke and OG Cody Mauch to injured reserve. QB Baker Mayfield, who absorbed a beating in Houston, should beware.

Pick Made: Sep 19, 4:57 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadN.Y. Jets +7 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+473
35-27-1 in Last 63 NFL ATS Picks
+285
14-10 in Last 24 NYJ ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

This bet comes down to the Bucs' missing three starting offensive linemen, and Tampa Bay playing on a short week versus a desperate Jets' team. Baker Mayfield has delivered game-winning drives, but he's been very fortunate leading up to them, with zero interceptions on six turnover-worthy throws. Tyrod Taylor has made a habit of overcoming expectations, and I like New York to keep this close.

Pick Made: Sep 19, 1:27 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadN.Y. Jets +7 -120
WIN
Unit1.5
+884.5
25-16-1 in Last 42 NFL Picks
+472.5
7-3-1 in Last 11 NFL ATS Picks
Todd's Analysis:

The Tampa Bay Bucs won't apologize to anyone nor should they for back to back road wins kicking off the season. However in those games Tampa had to fight tooth and nail for 60 full minutes and is about to show the wear and tear. Tampa is expected to be down 4 OL on their two deep this weekend and combine that with banged up skill position talent it's far from the perfect recipe to win by margin against the winless Jets. New York was embarrassing last week; no reason to sugarcoat it but both coaches and players have said the right things after the blowout loss to Buffalo. Situations and cluster injuries make bets in the NFL and we have a glorious one here.

Pick Made: Sep 18, 10:14 pm UTC on BetMGM
SpreadN.Y. Jets +7 -105
WIN
Unit1.0
+1090
21-9-1 in Last 31 NFL ATS Picks
+182
4-2 in Last 6 NYJ ATS Picks
Brady's Analysis:

Baker Mayfield's stock has soared after pulling off a 4th quarter comeback on Monday in Houston. Now they are at home on a short week, hosting an unfamiliar opponent with a date with the Eagles on deck. Over the last 10 seasons, 0-2 teams vs teams with at least one win, cover the number over 60% of the time. And it makes sense because public perception is often skewed so early in the season. Justin Fields has been ruled out for this game yet the line has dipped in many places. I made this number Buccaneers -5. I'll gladly take the full seven points or better.

Pick Made: Sep 18, 7:04 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadN.Y. Jets +7 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+169
4-3 in Last 7 NFL ATS Picks
Jeff's Analysis:

The Jets' defensive line, led by Quinnen Williams, Jermaine Johnson, and Will McDonald, has been their most consistent unit through two weeks. Baker Mayfield might run into some trouble, especially after having a challenging game against the Texans, where he faced a lot of pressure from Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter. Veteran backup Tyrod Taylor provides a stabilizing presence that could surprise the Tampa Bay defense, which may take him for granted. The Bucs played a physical game on Monday Night Football and now return home on short rest missing both starting tackles.

Pick Made: Sep 17, 1:57 am UTC on DraftKings
SpreadN.Y. Jets +7 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+362
28-24-2 in Last 54 TB ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

We don't know who is going to play quarterback for the Jets right now, but I hope it's Tyrod Taylor and I think it will be with players usually missing a week after suffering a concussion. I don't want the Jets relying so much on the run game against this Bucs defensive front. Tampa Bay is 2-0 and feeling good heading into what is supposed to be an easy matchup, and I can see them coming out sleepy and failing to cover after picking up multiple key injuries on Monday. I think the lookahead of Bucs -5 was a line that made more sense.

Pick Made: Sep 17, 1:52 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

New York Jets
Sunday, Dec 21, 2025
Avatar
QB
Justin Fields
KneeInactive
Avatar
DT
Jay Tufele
FootQuestionable
Avatar
DE
Eric Watts
ConcussionInactive
Avatar
DT
Mazi Smith
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
DT
Payton Page
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
LB
Francisco Mauigoa
NeckInactive
Avatar
TE
Mason Taylor
NeckInactive
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sunday, Dec 21, 2025
Avatar
WR
Sterling Shepard
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
MLB
Anthony Walker
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
LB
Anthony Nelson
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
G
Elijah Klein
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
TE
Devin Culp
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
DL
Elijah Simmons
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
SAF
Rashad Wisdom
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
QB
Connor Bazelak
Coach's DecisionInactive
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