Saints running back Alvin Kamara caught all six of his targets last week after making two grabs on two targets in Week 1. Sunday in Seattle, Kamara should be used heavily in the passing game. The Seahawks, who allow just 3.4 yards per carry, have given up an NFL-high 23 targets to opposing running backs. Look for Spencer Rattler to target Kamara at least five times.

The New Orleans Saints have lived right on the number in their first two games against the Arizona Cardinals and San Francisco 49ers. That captures the betting market, and is an opportune spot for me as the big let down occurs. Spencer Rattler still is winless in his career with an 0-8 mark, and Seattle has the tools on both sides of the football to make this a pull away game in the second half. Take the Seahawks.

Saints QB Spencer Rattler, 0-8 SU as a starter, has a wisp of a chance to get off the career schneid. Coming off his finest outing with three TD completions, Rattler might luck into an opponent without two Pro Bowlers in the secondary and three absentees altogether. The elite pair, CB Devon Witherspoon and S Julian Love, are doubtful. Ditto S Nick Emmanwori, along with RB Zach Charbonnet on offense. At full strength on defense, Seattle can harass QBs but might hold back on the pass rush to protect any backup DBs who are summoned for duty.

Chris Olave has been a target monster however despite compiling 23 targets he’s yet to eclipse 54 receiving yards in a game. While Olave is clearly Spencer Rattler top option he’s doing all of his damage in the short and intermediate portion of the field. Spencer Rattler is not able to push the ball downfield and I think he’s going to really struggle against what I consider an elite Seattle defense.

Public perception shapes a lot of what we are facing in Week 3. The Saints appear to be awful and Seattle looks like a team that just went out and dominated the Steelers on the road. The fact is, Seattle is not great. Sam Darnold still turns the ball over and New Orleans is better than many may think. I made this number Seattle -4. I believe getting better than a full touchdown is plenty. Home Field Advantage is no longer a thing in Seattle - and 0-2 teams vs 1-1 teams in Week 3 over the last 10 years, cover the number over 70% of the time.

The Seahawks offense is coming off a huge game against the Steelers, who were missing several key players on defense. Still, the market has adjusted this up from the lookahead of -6.5 despite the Saints performing better than expected for a second straight week. Spencer Rattler looked far better than Sam Darnold against the 49ers defense, while the Saints' passing game weapons also look deeper than we thought. I think the Seahawks offense will have to be in top form again to win by more than a touchdown, so I'll play the other side.