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The Rams offense ran through three players in Week 1, and Adams proved to be a key part of the equation with eight targets but only four receptions. There's talk about getting him even more involved this week, but even if he's able to just see the same number of targets in what should be a somewhat easier matchup considering the quality of Houston's corners then I believe he should be favored to get over this number. I'd play this one up to +100 and hope that Matthew Stafford goes his way early and often.
Poor rookie QB Cam Ward goes from facing Denver's defense to L.A.'s. Quite the indoctrination to the league. Houston failed to score a single TD against the Rams in Week One. Not surprisingly, Ward struggled against extra pass rush against the Broncos, neglecting to complete a throw. The Rams have figured out how to thrive in Eastern Time zone games and are on a 5-0 ATS streak on the road.
After battling the playoff contending Broncos on mostly-even terms last week in Denver, an apparently improved Titans side has us a bit reluctant to back the Rams on Sunday. That cover was on the heels of a 2-15 mark vs. the points a year ago, so things are looking up in Music City, even though the offense was limited to just 135 yards at Mile High in top draft pick Cam Ward's NFL debut at QB. What most impressed about the Titans, however, was an improved defense that kept Bo Nix flustered most of the afternoon. With the Rams well under in the opener vs. the Texans, and that way 4-1 their last five regular-season away, not expecting any shootout in Nashville. Play Rams-Titans Under

The Texans threw nine passes to their tight ends in Week 1. Now LA visits Nashville, where Titans rookie Cam Ward will be looking to get rid of the ball quickly to avoid the Rams' fierce rush. The dynamic Chig Okonkwo drew four targets in Week 1, catching three passes. I love his chances of getting five-plus targets Sunday and making four grabs.

Cam Ward endured a rough professional debut in Week 1 in Denver, but the tape wasn't as bad as his numbers suggest. Ward was victimized by several drops by his receivers, and his outlook should improve this week. While good, the Rams defense isn't at the level of Denver's and it'll be playing outdoors in a road game here. They held four passing games under 200 yards last year (and we shouldn't really count an Eagles team that dominated on the ground), and I expect Ward to reach at least that number in this one.

I'm encouraged by the eight targets Ridley had last week at Denver, a tough matchup that played a lot of man-to-man coverage. The Rams haven't played a lot of that coverage dating back to last FIVE years, so Ridley should find space to catch passes against their zone coverage. Assuming the Titans won't play with a big lead, Ridley should be in line to see eight or more targets again and reel in at least five.

A different way to attack a tricky spread is to eye player props that might match up with both the side and total and I think Matthew Stafford's under on pass attempts fits the bill really well. This number is lower elsewhere in the market than MGM and it's a reasonable price, especially considering the Rams are heavy favorites, prefer to pound the football with Kyren Williams/Blake Corum and won't want to expose Stafford to too many dropbacks if they can help it. If the Rams are in a negative gamescript, toss it out the window, but with a 42-point total, I expect a lot of defense and minimal passes from the Rams QB.

Not the most exciting offense and not the most exciting stat line for Pollard last week, but he ran hard and was up against a stout Broncos defense. This week Pollard is slated to get 17-18 carries at home versus the Rams. The Rams defense was solid last week against the run, but that was at home against arguably the worst OLine in the league (Texans). Pollard's volume isn't going anywhere and he doesn't need to be hyper efficent to hit this. (Best line at FD. I'd play up to 68.5).
Tricky spot for the Rams in leaving the West Coast for the first time with a dreaded 9 a.m. Pacific start on Sunday in Nashville, where it will be an inferno (more and more talking myself into taking Titans plus the points). The Rams just played a really physical Texans defense and managed only 14 points at home behind a rusty Matthew Stafford. Now two of his offensive linemen are listed week-to-week. The Titans don't have much offensively but have a few good defensive guys. This is purely an "under the magic number of 24 play" and don't see L.A. topping that barring a special teams or defensive touchdown. Los Angeles averaged 19.3 PPG away in 2024. Our model has 24-18. Works for me.
The Titans had one of the toughest spots imaginable for Cam Ward's debut, and it doesn't get much easier here. The Rams defense looks excellent and could give the Titans O-line major issues, particularly if JC Latham can't go in this game. But I was impressed with the Titans defense as well, and they were one long RJ Harvey run away from holding Denver under 4 yards per play. This could be similar to the Rams' 14-9 win in Week 1 where it doesn't come close to threatening the Over.
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