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Sun, Dec 016:00 pm UTCNorthwest Stadium
37 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Tennessee
Titans
TEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L3-9
ATS2-10
O/U7-5-0
FINAL SCORE
19
-
42
Washington
Commanders
WAS
Last 5 ATS
W/L8-5
ATS8-4
O/U9-4-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
3-9
Win /Loss
8-5
2-10
Spread
8-4
7-5-0
Over / Under
9-4-0
Key Injuries
Key Injuries
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WR
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OLB
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LB
Key Injuries
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WR
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CB
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OT
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
TEN @ WAS
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
TEN @ WAS
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
TEN @ WAS
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

41%
PUBLIC
59%
MONEY
6%
PUBLIC
94%
MONEY
Over70%
PUBLIC
Under30%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadWashington -5.5 -111
WIN
Unit1.0
+1157
85-68-2 in Last 155 NFL Picks
+538.5
21-14-3 in Last 38 NFL ATS Picks
+400
4-0 in Last 4 WAS ATS Picks
Jimmie's Analysis:

The Commanders are in a free-fall and desperately need a win to keep pace in the NFC playoff race. The Titans are coming off a massive win over the Texans, and Washington is dealing with a handful of injuries, but I still like this spot for the Commanders. Jayden Daniels is too talented to continue playing like he has over the last month, and I expect this to be the spot where he turns things around. I have very little faith in Will Levis on the other side. Commanders by a touchdown at home here.

Pick Made: Dec 01, 5:03 pm UTC on Sugar House
Avatar
Anytime Touchdown ScorerTony Pollard Anytime Touchdown Scorer +140
LOSS
Unit0.5
+174
7-5 in Last 12 NFL Player Props Picks
Megan's Analysis:

Tony Pollard has a great matchup on the ground this week against the Commanders. The Commanders give up the most rushing yards to running backs and are tied for the 3rd most touchdowns to running backs (11). Whether Pollard breaks a long one or gets goal-line carry, I like him to score today at this Anytime Touchdown price.

Pick Made: Dec 01, 3:33 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total Rushing + Receiving YardsTony Pollard Under 84.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -116
WIN
Unit1.0
+562
9-3 in Last 12 NFL Player Props Picks
Todd's Analysis:

Tony Pollard gets his running mate Tyjae Spears back this week and that could spell accumulation problems. Yes, it's a favorable match-up vs the Commanders but the diminished workload could mean a reduced stat line. With Spears expected to eat into touches it sets up for Pollard to go under his total rushing + receiving number.

Pick Made: Dec 01, 3:31 pm UTC on Sugar House
Point SpreadTennessee +6.5 -122
LOSS
Unit1.5
Daniel's Analysis:

Washington has come back to earth after their hot start. In weeks 1-9, Jayden Daniels was #1 in EPA/play in the NFL. Over the last 3 games, Daniels ranks 26th in that category. The Commanders will now face an underrated Titans defense, that ranks #2 in the NFL in yards allowed per game. Tennessee beat the Texans outright last week, proving they still have some fight in them. Washington will be without RB Austin Ekeler, RT Andrew Wiley, and CB Marshon Lattimore will still not be available. Will Levis threw yet another pick-6 last week… and the Titans still managed to cover. 6.5 is too many points.

Pick Made: Dec 01, 8:41 am UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Longest ReceptionCalvin Ridley Over 23.5 Longest Reception -120
WIN
Unit1.0
+1393
82-56 in Last 138 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Calvin Ridley has thrived since DeAndre Hopkins got traded, and this looks like a great matchup for Ridley to get deep. He has a catch of 25-plus yards in five of his last six games. Will Levis loves to attack downfield, and the Commanders rank 21st in EPA allowed on throws of 20-plus yards.

Pick Made: Dec 01, 2:33 am UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadTennessee +6.5 -122
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1589.5
113-82 in Last 195 NFL Picks
+290
13-9 in Last 22 NFL ATS Picks
+938
27-16-1 in Last 44 WAS ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Austin Ekeler is out, hurting the already slumping Commanders' offense. The Titans rank fourth in defensive success rate and just held the Texans to 4.8 yards per play and 5.9 yards per pass. Will Levis is always liable to throw a pick-6, but over the past three games he's thrown five TDs against two INTs. In the past two games, he's attacked downfield, averaging 11.6 and 9.5 yards per attempt.

Pick Made: Dec 01, 1:46 am UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadTennessee +6 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+893
27-16-1 in Last 44 NFL ATS Picks
+749
29-19-1 in Last 49 TEN ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

Will Levis threw one of his signature awful pick-sixes against the Texans last week, and it still wasn't enough to cost Tennessee a road win over the division leader. That speaks to how solid the Titans have played despite racking up losses while playing a lot of good opponents. The Commanders look less dangerous now than they did a month ago, and I expect the offense to struggle against a top-tier rush defense here. I'm also not as concerned about a killer Levis mistake with Washington tallying just four interceptions all year. The Titans could win this game, but either way the spread is too high.

Pick Made: Nov 27, 7:27 pm UTC on BetMGM
Point SpreadTennessee +5.5 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+496
8-6 in Last 14 NFL Picks
+285
2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
+595
5-1 in Last 6 WAS ATS Picks
Jeff's Analysis:

This will be the Commanders’ 13th straight game without two weeks of rest. The Titans are ranked third in net yards per play defense, second in yards per game defense, second in third-down defense, third in net yards per pass defense, and eighth in run defense while playing the sixth toughest schedule. Washington has played the 25th toughest schedule, and they are 1-7-1 SU and 2-7 ATS in Pre-Bye week games against the AFC. My betting model makes Washington a favorite of 3.5 points, so I have to take the +5.5 spread.

Pick Made: Nov 26, 8:27 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Tennessee Titans
Thursday, Dec 05, 2024
Avatar
OLB
Jerome Baker
NeckQuestionable
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G
Logan Bruss
KneeQuestionable
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DT
James Lynch
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
DB
Jarvis Brownlee Jr.
HipQuestionable
Wednesday, Dec 04, 2024
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WR
Tyler Boyd
FootQuestionable
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LB
Kenneth Murray
HamstringQuestionable
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DT
T'Vondre Sweat
ShoulderQuestionable
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G
Peter Skoronski
FootQuestionable
Avatar
LB
James Williams
KneeQuestionable
Sunday, Dec 01, 2024
Avatar
CB
Roger McCreary
ShoulderQuestionable
Washington Commanders
Monday, Dec 02, 2024
Avatar
CB
Marshon Lattimore
HamstringQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Andrew Wylie
ConcussionQuestionable
Sunday, Dec 01, 2024
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WR
Noah Brown
RibsQuestionable
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