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    Tue, Dec 121:15 am UTCHard Rock Stadium
    69 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Tennessee
    Titans
    TEN
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L6-11
    ATS7-9
    O/U6-11-0
    FINAL SCORE
    28
    -
    27
    Miami
    Dolphins
    MIA
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L11-6
    ATS10-7
    O/U9-8-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    6-11
    Win /Loss
    11-6
    7-9
    Spread
    10-7
    6-11-0
    Over / Under
    9-8-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    DT
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    P
    Avatar
    WR
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    OLB
    Avatar
    LB
    Avatar
    LB
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    TEN @ MIA
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    TEN @ MIA
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    TEN @ MIA
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    24%
    PUBLIC
    76%
    MONEY
    5%
    PUBLIC
    95%
    MONEY
    Over57%
    PUBLIC
    Under43%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsDerrick Henry Over 56.5 Total Rushing Yards -139
    LOSS
    Unit2.0
    James's Analysis:

    I've already taken Henry to go over 69.5 combined rushing/receiving yards and over 14.5 carries. It only makes sense to take the over here.

    Pick Made: Dec 11, 11:34 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total CarriesDerrick Henry Over 14.5 Total Carries -103
    WIN
    Unit2.0
    James's Analysis:

    The analysis here is the same as my pick for Henry going over 69.5 rushing yards. I expect the Titans to lean heavily on the future Hall of Famer on Monday night to try and shorten the game and keep Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill, etc. off the field.

    Pick Made: Dec 11, 11:29 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Rushing + Receiving YardsDerrick Henry Over 69.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -119
    LOSS
    Unit1.5
    James's Analysis:

    There's two trains of thought here. The first would be that Tennessee will need to throw the ball to keep up with Miami's high-powered offense. The second would be that the Titans' best approach would be to run the ball and try to shorten the game. I think they'll take the latter and lean heavily on Henry, who has been on a tear the last two weeks. I'm going over here.

    Pick Made: Dec 11, 11:24 pm UTC on Caesars
    Over / UnderOVER 45 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +612
    24-16 in Last 40 NFL Picks
    +360
    8-4 in Last 12 NFL O/U Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    Dolphins games clearing 45 points hasn't been a big obstacle this season. Indeed, nine of twelve Miami games to date have cleared 45, and there has been an extra help in recent games with the Dolphins defense scoring TDs in the past two vs. the Jets and Commanders. At home this season, Tua & Co have landed beneath 31 just once (against the slow-paced Raiders), and note the Titans defense has just come off allowing over 300 yards passing to the Colts' Gardner Minshew. Miami might have to do most of the work to push this one beyond 45, but if there is an offense we trust to provide the help, it's the Dolphins' strike force. Play Titans-Dolphins "Over"

    Pick Made: Dec 11, 10:16 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
    Point SpreadMiami -14 -108
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +739
    47-36-4 in Last 87 NFL ATS Picks
    +92
    2-1 in Last 3 TEN ATS Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    While still able to pluck this one before the spread goes any higher, will go ahead and jump in with the Dolphins, who certainly have the capability to extend the margin tonight. Miami is also 7-1 vs. the line as chalk this season, and all hands on deck, with Tua getting plenty of help from the defense in the last two weeks, with the stop unit scoring TDs vs. both the Jets and Commanders. Speaking of that defense, it is quite underrated, not allowing more than 17 points across any of the past five games (the 21 points scored by the Chiefs in Frankfurt last month included a scoop-and-score by the KC defense). This looks 31-10 or thereabout for Miami! Play Dolphins

    Pick Made: Dec 11, 10:14 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Avatar
    Total ReceptionsDeAndre Hopkins Under 4.5 Total Receptions -119
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1770.5
    67-39 in Last 106 NFL Player Props Picks
    Erik's Analysis:

    DHop hasn’t been that great with Will Levis. I think he catches 3,4 or possibly 5 in this contest. I put Hopkins at 77% to catch 4 or less so it will be a sweat but take the under.

    Pick Made: Dec 11, 9:25 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsTyjae Spears Over 19.5 Total Rushing Yards -123
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1770.5
    67-39 in Last 106 NFL Player Props Picks
    Erik's Analysis:

    I’ve been waiting all day for this to drop below 20 yards. Boom. Let’s jump now. Spears is very quick, will spell Henry and if we get a blowout then he might make this number look foolish.

    Pick Made: Dec 11, 9:14 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsTyjae Spears Over 20.5 Total Rushing Yards -114
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +327
    15-10 in Last 25 NFL Player Props Picks
    Mackenzie's Analysis:

    The Titans should do everything they can to keep this Dolphins offense off the field. Their game plan needs to be slow and on the ground, and that will require more than just Derrick Henry. When Henry was being evaluated for a concussion last week, Spears had a 75-yard performance on 16 carries. I think the Titans are realizing they are more successful offensively when they aren't putting too much on Will Levis's plate. They scored 28 points last week with 44 plays on the ground vs 33 in the air. We are only looking for around 5 carries here to exceed this number. But I think after last week's performance, we could see even more.

    Pick Made: Dec 11, 9:04 pm UTC on Caesars
    Over / UnderUNDER 45.5 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1464
    25-10 in Last 35 NFL Picks
    +480
    6-2 in Last 8 NFL O/U Picks
    +185
    2-1 in Last 3 MIA O/U Picks
    Daniel's Analysis:

    Primetime Unders are now 30-13 this season. Both the Titans and Dolphins enter this game on extended rest. When two teams face each other with that added rest, the Under is 28-7 this season. 15+ mph winds and gusts are expected tonight in Miami, which should limit the air yards and cause this total to land Under the key number of 45

    Pick Made: Dec 11, 7:59 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsTyreek Hill Over 115.5 Total Receiving Yards -145
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +327
    15-10 in Last 25 NFL Player Props Picks
    Mackenzie's Analysis:

    A high number but not too high considering the circumstances. The Titans are without Jeffrey Simmons here, and already allow a ton of yards per reception on the road (8.5 YPA for 258 yards). Tennessee sacks nearly 40% less on the road going up a against a Dolphins O-Line that is allowing under 1 sack at home. Look for Tua to have plenty of time in the pocket to connect with his favorite receiver on the journey to 2,000 yards.

    Pick Made: Dec 11, 5:36 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Tackles Plus AssistsDavid Long Over 6.5 Total Tackles Plus Assists -143
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1656
    123-86 in Last 209 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Dolphins linebacker David Long spent his first four seasons with Tennessee, and he didn't like when Titans coach Mike Vrabel called him a "repeat offender" after being unable to suit up due to a recurring soft-tissue injury. Long has had this game circled for months. He's been Miami's best run defender this season and will be critical to slowing down Derrick Henry. Look for Long to make at least seven combined tackles and exceed this prop total for the eighth time in 13 tries.

    Pick Made: Dec 11, 2:29 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Rushing + Receiving YardsDe'Von Achane Over 75.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -119
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1656
    123-86 in Last 209 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    De'Von Achane averages a ridiculous 9.5 yards per carry and, based on his 105 yards from scrimmage last week, looks to be over the knee injury that sent him to IR. He played 37 snaps to Raheem Mostert's 23 in the blowout of Washington, getting 20 touches to Mostert's 12. Both players were on the injury report this week, but it was Achane (ribs) practicing fully throughout while Mostert (knee) missed Thursday's practice before getting in limited sessions Friday and Saturday. Tennessee defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons (knee) is out, and fellow defensive tackle Teair Tart (personal) is questionable. Tart is the Titans' most important run-stopper.

    Pick Made: Dec 11, 3:31 am UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Rushing + Receiving YardsDe'Von Achane Over 76.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -119
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    This guy gets chunk yards a bunch of different ways and I don't want to get caught between the run or the receiving prop, so I'll pay the scrimmage. Can do so much out on space no matter how gets the ball and doesn't need a ton of touches to put up big yards. His scrimmage yards in the 4 full games he's played: 103, 165, 120, 233. Even with Mostert healthy too, this feels like a light total to me. Another blowout and he probably still keeps getting fed like last week at Washington. Fins offense so much more fined tuned at home. Have to ride him here.

    Pick Made: Dec 07, 6:34 am UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Anytime Touchdown ScorerDe'Von Achane Anytime Touchdown Scorer -118
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    So this kid has 9 TDs in the four full games he's played and he was used a lot in a blowout last week to get his legs back under him after another injury. And Mostert is great and all, but this kid has a different gear and is a different type of home run hitter. Averaging 9.5/carry, he can score from anywhere even against a stout run D like the Titans.

    Pick Made: Dec 07, 6:31 am UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Passing YardsTua Tagovailoa Over 283.5 Total Passing Yards -118
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Titans are terrible on the road and have allowed the 9th most passing yards on the road this season. The secondary has all kinds of issues and the Dolphins are a match-up nightmare. Tua averages 306 YPG at home, completing 73% of his asses for over 9 yards per attempt. I don't see any of that slowing down here. Maybe he doesn't hit the TD prop, as Titans are stingy against passing TDs, but even in a blowout I think he's going over 300 here.

    Pick Made: Dec 07, 6:28 am UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadMiami -13 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +190
    3-1 in Last 4 NFL ATS Picks
    +290
    4-1 in Last 5 TEN ATS Picks
    Emory's Analysis:

    Being potentially without RB Derrick Henry is a big blow to a Titans offense that has been mediocre to say the least. Miami is playing outstanding ball on the offensive side and should be able to take advantage of a Titans secondary at home.

    Pick Made: Dec 07, 4:25 am UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadMiami -13.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +2053
    98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Picks
    +1733
    78-61-3 in Last 142 NFL ATS Picks
    +928
    27-16 in Last 43 TEN ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Dolphins are typically a much better team at home, but they're coming off back-to-back dominant road wins against bad teams. They'll face another bad team here at the start of a three-game homestand, and one with a poor pass defense that like last week seems tailor made to giving up 40-plus points to the Dolphins. Where the Titans have success is in the red zone, where they rank second in success rate, but the Dolphins offense is first in the red zone by a wide margin, nullifying that rare Tennessee strength. And the Titans defense will be without star lineman Jeffery Simmons. This feels like a 38-17 type of game.

    Pick Made: Dec 05, 3:43 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Point SpreadMiami -13 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +2338.5
    59-32 in Last 91 NFL Picks
    +1169
    13-3 in Last 16 NFL ATS Picks
    +190
    2-1 in Last 3 MIA ATS Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    This opened at 12 Sunday and I urged you to grab it in my column on SportsLine. It's already at 13 and if the Titans end up having injury woes (Jeffrey Simmons), forget about it. I see this getting over 2 TDs by midweek and I want it under 14. Fins can strut their stuff at home in prime time and build Tua's MVP case against a team that is horrible on the road. Miami has run game healthy and tuned up and too much explosion and balance on offense (TEN is 22nd in plays 20+ allowed). Miami win margin at home: 50, 15, 21, 14, 7. Half of TEN's 6 road losses have been by 14 or more.

    Pick Made: Dec 04, 4:50 pm UTC on Consensus

    Team Injuries

    Tennessee Titans
    Tuesday, Jul 02, 2024
    Avatar
    DT
    Jeffery Simmons
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    P
    Ryan Stonehouse
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Colton Dowell
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Nicholas Petit-Frere
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    DE
    TK McLendon Jr.
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    DT
    T'Vondre Sweat
    UndisclosedQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Anthony Kendall
    KneeQuestionable
    Miami Dolphins
    Tuesday, Jul 16, 2024
    Avatar
    SAF
    Mark Perry
    UndisclosedOut
    Tuesday, Jul 02, 2024
    Avatar
    OLB
    Bradley Chubb
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Cameron Goode
    KneecapQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Jaelan Phillips
    AchillesQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Salvon Ahmed
    FootQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Zeke Vandenburgh
    UndisclosedQuestionable