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    Sun, Dec 036:00 pm UTCMetLife Stadium
    46 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Atlanta
    Falcons
    ATL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L7-10
    ATS5-12
    O/U7-10-0
    FINAL SCORE
    13
    -
    8
    New York
    Jets
    NYJ
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L7-10
    ATS6-10
    O/U7-10-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    7-10
    Win /Loss
    7-10
    5-12
    Spread
    6-10
    7-10-0
    Over / Under
    7-10-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    TE
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    DT
    Avatar
    FB
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    QB
    Avatar
    OT
    Avatar
    DT
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    ATL @ NYJ
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    ATL @ NYJ
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    OVER / UNDER
    ATL @ NYJ
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    45%
    PUBLIC
    55%
    MONEY
    53%
    PUBLIC
    47%
    MONEY
    Over22%
    PUBLIC
    Under78%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadAtlanta -2 -108
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2094
    82-55-8 in Last 145 NFL ATS Picks
    +620
    23-15 in Last 38 ATL ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    It’s been tough to trust the Falcons all season, but unless the Jets are going to score twice on defense, I don’t see how Tim Boyle is going to put up points. New York’s defense is one of the best in the league, but it gets exhausted from being on the field constantly. Atlanta is a beatable team in most games, but it has shown an ability to put up points, even against tough defenses. The increased work for Bijan Robinson has been a light at the end of the tunnel for the Falcons, and I like them to eventually prevail by a field goal.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 5:45 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total ReceptionsTyler Conklin OVER 2.5 Total Receptions -154
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    Josh's Analysis:

    This is an extremely chalky play but it should be a safe one. Last week the TE had 4 catches on 5 targets as a safety valve near the line of scrimmage for Tim Boyle, and he should have that role again Sunday against the Falcons.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 2:54 pm UTC
    Point SpreadAtlanta -2 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +190
    3-1 in Last 4 NFL ATS Picks
    +1127
    20-8 in Last 28 ATL ATS Picks
    Emory's Analysis:

    The Falcons defense has been steady all throughout the season, showing a propensity to take the ball away. They play offense in a manner that the Jets want to play but can't due to their QB play. Jets defense will give them a chance, but having a competent QB will be the difference for Atlanta.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 1:52 pm UTC
    Money LineAtlanta -130
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1209.5
    67-51-5 in Last 123 NFL Picks
    +872
    14-5 in Last 19 NFL ML Picks
    +190
    3-1 in Last 4 ATL ML Picks
    Josh's Analysis:

    Although we've seen marginal third-string QBs go from miserable debuts to serviceable second starts (such as Tommy DeVito of NYG), it's tough to envision Jets journeyman Tim Boyle seeing a huge performance gain. The Falcons just ended a three-game losing streak with all losses by 5 points or fewer with a solid win over New Orleans last week, A similar performance should net their second road victory of the season.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 5:11 am UTC
    Over / UnderUNDER 34 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +623
    20-12-2 in Last 34 NFL Picks
    +470
    8-3 in Last 11 NFL O/U Picks
    Katie's Analysis:

    The Jets offense is hard to watch and even harder with Tim Boyle, the QB who threw the first ever "Hail Mary Pick Six". The only way New York can score is from its defense and/or special teams. On the other hand, the Falcons offense can be good, but you never know which Falcons team will show up on a given week. Both teams have serviceable defenses. This one will be as ugly as you'd expect, take the under in what is sure to be a defensive battle at MetLife Stadium.

    Pick Made: Dec 01, 3:23 pm UTC
    Point SpreadAtlanta -1.5 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2053
    98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Picks
    +1733
    78-61-3 in Last 142 NFL ATS Picks
    +382
    45-36-2 in Last 83 ATL ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The total in this game is ridiculously low, which made me considering the Jets when the line was +3 earlier in the week. It's tough to take the Falcons to win by margin, but they should win this game against an offense that can't move the ball. The Jets managed just 2.9 yards per play at home against the Dolphins last week, and now they face a Falcons defense that's 11th in yards per play, sixth on third down and third in the red zone, where the Jets can't make it to anyway. I worry about Desmond Ridder on the road against a good defense, but I don't know why the Falcons would put him at risk. Expect a heavy rushing gameplan and a win.

    Pick Made: Dec 01, 1:24 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Made Field GoalsYounghoe Koo OVER 1.5 Total Made Field Goals -156
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The return here isn't stellar. Not gonna lie. But I see potential for a parlay riding the under and a lot of ATL rushing props and this kicking prop and the Jets side as well if you like. Koo is as good as it gets, forecast looks good for kicking, Ridder is a bad RZ QB and Jets RZ D is stout. NYJ terrible offense will lead Arthur Smith to take the automatic 3 on the road. Jets have had the most FGA vs them in the NFL. That's not a fluke. I could see him making 3+

    Pick Made: Nov 30, 5:42 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsDesmond Ridder OVER 15.5 Total Rushing Yards -119
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Another Falcons trend we saw coming out of their bye. Ridder has limitations passing the ball, and is especially poor on the road, but has gradually tapped more into his athleticism. Watching Heinicke run around in this offense was going to lead for more of that for him, too (oh yeah and the dreadful INTs). He crushed his number in the first half last week (13.5) and I worried it would open 18.5. Love it here. He is 18+ in four of five games and with the season on the line it will be made clear to him to take off and run or chuck it into the stands if his first 2 looks aren't there. Has a run of 13+ in 4 of 5.

    Pick Made: Nov 30, 5:11 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing + Receiving YardsBijan Robinson OVER 82.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -143
    LOSS
    Unit2.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Any Falcons playoff run will hinge on their first-round pick leading the way on offense. They have a stout enough line to key the run game as the engine and Bijan is a dynamo catching balls as well. Not uncommon at all for him to get 5-6 targets and that's my expectation against this Jets D in particular. I don't see them trying to push the ball down the field. He is over 100 scrimmage yards in each of the last two games and it's hard to concoct winning scripts for ATL that don't include that kind of day for him. I honestly think he hits 80+ on the ground alone. I will play this 100+ in alt markets.

    Pick Made: Nov 30, 5:05 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Anytime Touchdown ScorerBijan Robinson Anytime Touchdown Scorer +100
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    You think Arthur Smith wants to see Sauce take a pick six back 95 yards against his old college QB? Me neither. How is Bijan not fed like crazy inside the RZ? His lack of scoring/touches early in the season keeps this return high, but get it before that changes. Was +125 last Thurs. Bijan scores outside the RZ in the passing game and has a rushing TD in two straight (at least 1 TD in 3 of 4). A dome team with an already benched defense outdoors in Dec vs this D? Even Arthur Smith can't mess this up (don't mess this up).

    Pick Made: Nov 30, 5:00 pm UTC
    Money LineAtlanta -145
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2220
    202-150-2 in Last 354 NFL Picks
    +360
    5-1 in Last 6 NFL ML Picks
    +400
    4-0 in Last 4 ATL ML Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    The Jets' run defense has been showing leaks lately and is down to 18th for the season, allowing 4.2 yards per attempt. That sets up well for electric rookie Bijan Robinson (5.0 ypc) and a Falcons team that runs the ball at the third-highest rate. In Tim Boyle's first start, the Jets either punted or turned the ball over on every drive until their second-to-last possession of the game. I'm not expecting a major step forward, especially with Breece Hall dealing with a hamstring injury.

    Pick Made: Nov 30, 4:58 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsBijan Robinson OVER 58.5 Total Rushing Yards -128
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Maybe Arthur Smith was holding his over-drafted RB back for the playoff run early in the season. Whatever it was, we saw the uptick in use coming and keep riding it here. Jets allow 183 rush yards/game Dedmond Ridder is a bad QB with turnover tendencies (even in the RZ) who is even worse on the road. He ain't the future and no sense trying to prop him up. Jets D is fraying and were just on field for 36 mins last week. ATL's 3-back attack will break them. My guess is Bijan won't be at 13.5 carries this week but I like it even at 16.5. Smith has to ride him here with his job on the line to win the crappy NFC South.

    Pick Made: Nov 30, 4:56 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsTyler Allgeier OVER 32.5 Total Rushing Yards -118
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Falcons offense faces a tough test on the road, and they should look to protect Desmond Ridder as much as possible by leaning on the run game. The Jets are much easier to run on than pass on anyway, and they just gave up five yards per carry to Miami's backs. Even with Bijan Robinson averaging 19 carries in his last two games, Allgeier has totaled 19 carries of his own, and I expect him in double-digits this week. Ten carries at his season average gets him over this total, and the Jets defense allows even more yards per carry than he averages.

    Pick Made: Nov 30, 3:39 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Atlanta Falcons
    Monday, Feb 12, 2024
    Avatar
    DT
    Grady Jarrett
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    FB
    Keith Smith
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    DE
    Kentavius Street
    PectoralQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Ethan Greenidge
    UndisclosedQuestionable
    Avatar
    C
    Matt Hennessy
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Avery Williams
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Adetokunbo Ogundeji
    FootQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Troy Andersen
    PectoralQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Josh Ali
    AnkleQuestionable
    Friday, Jan 19, 2024
    Avatar
    TE
    MyCole Pruitt
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Kaden Elliss
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    C
    Drew Dalman
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    DB
    DeMarcco Hellams
    ConcussionQuestionable
    Avatar
    DL
    Zach Harrison
    KneeQuestionable
    New York Jets
    Tuesday, Feb 13, 2024
    Avatar
    OT
    Duane Brown
    BackQuestionable
    Avatar
    DT
    Al Woods
    AchillesQuestionable
    Avatar
    DE
    Quinton Jefferson
    GroinQuestionable
    Avatar
    OG
    Connor McGovern
    KneecapQuestionable
    Avatar
    OG
    Wes Schweitzer
    CalfQuestionable
    Avatar
    DE
    Ifeadi Odenigbo
    UndisclosedQuestionable
    Avatar
    DB
    Chuck Clark
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    TE
    C.J. Uzomah
    Knee - MCLQuestionable
    Avatar
    C
    Jake Hanson
    ConcussionQuestionable
    Avatar
    DE
    Bradlee Anae
    UndisclosedQuestionable
    Avatar
    G
    Alijah Vera-Tucker
    AchillesQuestionable
    Avatar
    QB
    Zach Wilson
    ConcussionQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Zaire Barnes
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    TE
    Jeremy Ruckert
    ConcussionQuestionable
    Friday, Jan 19, 2024
    Avatar
    QB
    Aaron Rodgers
    AchillesQuestionable
    Avatar
    FS
    Jordan Whitehead
    CalfQuestionable
    Avatar
    C
    Joe Tippmann
    AnkleQuestionable