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This feels like a get-right spot for a Jacksonville team that has massively underperformed the past two weeks following a comeback win over the Colts in Week 1. Jacksonville stops the run well and we've seen that Atlanta isn't well-equipped to play from behind. The Jags should capitalize on a favorable matchup.
Christian Kirk has been targeted 20 times the past two games, and I like him to be heavily involved versus the Falcons in London. Wideout Zay Jones (knee) has been ruled out, so it's likely Kirk and Calvin Ridley will be the main targets. This is a good matchup for Kirk because the Falcons have struggled against slot receivers.
Atlanta appears to be a one-dimensional team. The Falcons are averaging 128.3 rushing yards per game since Desmond Ridder has yet to find a groove as their starter. Jacksonville comes off a bad loss to the Texans at home and have struggled running the ball, heavily leaning on the pass. Atlanta’s defense is allowing less than 300 total yards per game, limiting opponents passing attack to 180 yards through the air. The last seven games that NFL teams have played in Wembley Stadium, all seven have gone under the total.
The Jags have won their last 3 in Wembley ( where this will be played). Atlanta hasn’t done much popping across the pond. Plus Jacksonville is the better team and the Jags stop the run, which is the Falcons' strength. Get this before it jumps past -3, so you don't have to lay more than this short key number.
This is the lowest number on the board for this game by about 15 cents so I'm simply taking it now. It's in London but perhaps that benefits the Jags since they are used to the trip over each year and the Falcons aren't. The way Jacksonville's offense has played the past two weeks, maybe a trip overseas isn't the worst idea. All the Falcons can do is run the ball and JAX allows just 84.0 yards on the ground per game. Maybe the Jags have fooled me but I think they are going to be really good. Just a couple of rough games.