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Fri 12/30 | 1:15 AM UTC | Nashville
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Dallas Cowboys 13-5, 11-7 ATS
DAL -13.5-110
DAL -900
Over 40.5-110
Tennessee Titans 7-9, 8-7 ATS
TEN +13.5-110
TEN +600
Under 40.5-110

Expert Picks

NFL | Dallas 27 @ Tennessee 13 | 12/30 | 1:15 AM UTC

Dallas -13.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Titans have decided to completely mail in this game, an understandable move given it's meaningless to them and numerous players need to get healthy for next week. The Cowboys do not have that luxury, and given they are playing ahead of the Eagles this week, they have no choice but to go all out for most of the game. There are concerns about Dallas resting starters once it has a significant lead; that could open the door for a backdoor cover. However, Tennessee is sitting nearly half of its starters. Its defense is already paper thin, and its offense already lacked playmakers ... so this is going to be quite a mismatch. The Cowboys have already won by 14+ point margins five times this season against teams that actually played their starters. With Dak Prescott, they are the top scoring offense in the NFL. This is a *half unit* wager in an island game, but it's worth getting a taste of Dallas in this spot.

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Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
+800 18-9-1 IN LAST 28 NFL PICKS
+800 18-9-1 IN LAST 28 NFL ATS PICKS
+680 19-11 IN LAST 30 DAL ATS PICKS

Season Splits

13-5, 11-7 ATS
7-9, 8-7 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
60%
9-6
8-6-1
57%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
3-3
3-4
43%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
60%
6-4
5-3-1
62%
When Spread was -15.5 to -12.5
SPREAD
When Spread was +12.5 to +15.5
0%
0-0
1-0
100%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
33%
1-2
1-1
50%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
100%
2-0
2-3
40%
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
57%
4-3
3-2
60%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
67%
8-4
7-4-1
64%
vs TEN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs DAL
0%
0-0
0-0
0%