The new-look Bears are definitely more fun to watch since they decided to trade away their best defensive player and turn Justin Fields into the next Michael Vick. Even so, this is a team you want to play as an ATS underdog, where all of their covers have come this season. Detroit is arguably the more complete team and its dreadful defense made strides in its upset of Green Bay last week. If the Lions can stop the Chicago run game on early downs, they could emerge with their first road victory of the season.

The Bears offense has been rolling as they finally have a coach who knows how to utilize Justin Fields, and after making a couple connections last week, he should have an even better day with another week of practice alongside Chase Claypool. The Lions are getting some benefit here after beating the Packers in a game Green Bay vomited away. Despite those created turnovers, Detroit still has one of the worst defenses in the league. Granted, Chicago’s isn’t that much better (and it will be missing a couple starters), but Detroit is also 0-3 on the road this season losing those games by an average of 17 points. Take the Bears, which should be more like a 5-point favorite in this game.

The Lions ended a five-game losing streak by beating Green Bay last week, while the Bears have lost their last two and five of six. But Chicago has scored at least 29 points in each of its last three outings. Bears QB Justin Fields is improvising, he’s running for huge yards and has five touchdowns against no interceptions in his last two contests. The Bears now have themselves a weapon. I like them to cover against the Lions.

Detroit’s offense can claim credit for only 16 points the past three games. Over the same stretch, Chicago has scored 33, 29, 32. While the difference in units is not that stark, it’s enough to question the logic of such a small spread. The Lions’ defense has improved but remains last in yardage and points allowed. Its worst aspect is preventing the run, and Bears elusive QB Justin Fields can have his way on keepers. Chicago has taken seven of the last eight meetings.

The Bears' offense has come alive the past three weeks, scoring 94 points versus the Patriots, Cowboys and Dolphins. Now Chicago faces the NFL's worst defense according to EPA (expected points added), with Chase Claypool expected to have a bigger role in his second game with the team. Jared Goff historically struggles in cold weather, and the wind chill will be 28 at kickoff. Lay the points.

The Bears offense is on fire, scoring 94 points in the last three games, but Chicago's defense has also fallen apart after trading two of the unit's best players. Detroit was a stone-old Over team early in the season, which suggests that's the easy play here. But I'm not just penciling in Detroit for a ton of points in what should be a cold-weather game outdoors, especially when they only managed 254 yards against Green Bay's struggling defense last week. I could see the Bears offense lay it on the Lions defense like the Eagles did in Week 1, and I'll trust the Lions offense to not be at peak form on the road in cold weather.

The Lions defeated Green Bay 15-9 last week despite being outgained 389-254. Detroit finished with a plus-2 turnover differential and took advantage of eight Packers being injured during the game. Chicago's defense was on the field for just 53 plays against Miami and should be relatively fresh. The Lions will be playing their first game on grass this season and QB Jared Goff has struggled in temperatures below 40 degrees over his career. Chicago is ranked 10th in opponent's passer rating, while the Lions are No. 29. Take the Bears at this great price.