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Sun, Sep 255:00 pm UTCHard Rock Stadium
84 F
Buffalo
Bills
BUF
Last 5 ATS
W/L13-3
ATS8-8
O/U6-10-0
FINAL SCORE
--
-
--
Miami
Dolphins
MIA
Last 5 ATS
W/L9-8
ATS9-8
O/U8-9-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
13-3
Win /Loss
9-8
8-8
Spread
9-8
6-10-0
Over / Under
8-9-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
BUF @ MIA
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MONEYLINE
BUF @ MIA
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OVER / UNDER
BUF @ MIA
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0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Miami +4.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+2450
202-148-2 in Last 352 NFL Picks
+300
3-0 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

While the injury news has been devastating for the Bills -- who will be missing their entire starting secondary -- the Dolphins got good news as CB Xavien Howard and LT Terron Armstead are active. This is going to be an entertaining shootout. Even if the Bills go up by double digits, I like Miami to get through the back door if not win outright.

Pick Made: Sep 25, 4:21 pm UTC on WHNJ
Buffalo -4.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1249.5
64-48-5 in Last 117 NFL Picks
+460
10-5 in Last 15 NFL ATS Picks
Josh's Analysis:

Even considering Buffalo's injury-depleted defense, the Bills' dominance of this series, not to mention their next-level showings in the first two weeks, are too much to ignore. Buffalo won last year's matchups by a combined score of 61-11, including 35-0 in Miami. Although the Dolphins are an improved and exciting team, this franchise notoriously can't maintain success. In other words, on the heels of their most brilliant performance since Dan Marino retired, look for the Dolphins to endure their patented letdown spot. Buffalo rolls again.

Pick Made: Sep 25, 3:02 pm UTC on WHNJ
Miami +5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+853
53-40-2 in Last 95 NFL ATS Picks
+260
10-7 in Last 17 NFL ATS Picks
Micah's Analysis:

Both teams have won and covered their first two games, and while Buffalo wasn’t tested in either, the Dolphins had a dramatic 42-38 win at Baltimore, aided by a 28-3 fourth quarter. I could look at it as “the Dolphins were getting pounded” and bet against them, siding with the highest-rated NFL team. Or I could look at it and say the Dolphins' passing game can’t be stopped. My push toward taking the points came when I saw that the Bills' secondary is all banged up. I like the Dolphins to expose it. I took the points with the Dolphins.

Pick Made: Sep 24, 5:18 pm UTC on WHNJ
Miami +5.5 -112
WIN
Unit1.0
+1938
37-12 in Last 49 NFL ML Picks
+1076
22-10 in Last 32 NFL ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Buffalo looks awesome. But as I can attest, it's freaking hot in south Florida. Short week. Bills cornerback Dane Jackson (neck), safety Micah Hyde (neck) and defensive tackles Jordan Phillips (hamstring) and Ed Oliver (ankle) have been ruled out. Couple of other guys are iffy. Now we find out if Tua is for real.

Pick Made: Sep 23, 9:41 pm UTC on Consensus
Under 52 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+2425
44-18-4 in Last 66 NFL ATS Picks
+1205
22-9 in Last 31 NFL O/U Picks
Mike's Analysis:

A total this substantial should be confined to matchups of offensive steamrollers. Buffalo fits. Miami? Well, an impressive 28-point explosion in the fourth quarter against Baltimore last Sunday does not a powerhouse make. In the previous seven quarters this season, Miami managed 38 points and last year’s unit was 25th best based on yardage gained. The Bills’ tenacious defense will have a say in the Under. It held the mighty Rams to 10 points in the opener, then followed with a seven-point gem against Tennessee.

Pick Made: Sep 21, 4:20 pm UTC on WHNJ
Miami +4.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+2053
98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Picks
+681
29-20-1 in Last 50 NFL ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

The Bills are the top team in my power ratings prior to their Week 2 game against the Titans, which they are expected to win handily. But considering this is a divisional game on the road, this line represents a clear lack of respect for what the Dolphins have done the last two weeks. The Bills defense is more healthy than the unit Baltimore trotted out in Week 2, sure, but plenty of bad defenses play every week and rarely give up that type of performance. With the Dolphins having one of the better home-field advantages in the league, this line is saying the Bills should be 7.5 or 8 points better than the Dolphins on a neutral field, and I just don't see it with this Miami team.

Pick Made: Sep 19, 2:57 pm UTC on WHNJ

Team Injuries

Buffalo Bills
Wednesday, Apr 01, 2026
Avatar
RB
Ty Johnson
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Ed Oliver
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Josh Palmer
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Terrel Bernard
CalfQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Chase Lundt
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Dorian Williams
NeckQuestionable
Avatar
DB
Wande Owens
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Dorian Strong
NeckQuestionable
Avatar
DE
Landon Jackson
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Maxwell Hairston
AnkleQuestionable
Tuesday, Mar 10, 2026
Avatar
K
Tyler Bass
PelvisQuestionable
Wednesday, Feb 11, 2026
Avatar
QB
Josh Allen
FootQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Tyrell Shavers
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Dalton Kincaid
Knee - PCLQuestionable
Avatar
DT
DeWayne Carter
AchillesQuestionable
Avatar
DL
Mike Hoecht
AchillesQuestionable
Miami Dolphins
Wednesday, Apr 01, 2026
Avatar
OT
Obinna Eze
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Austin Jackson
BackQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Julius Brents
FootQuestionable
Avatar
DB
Jason Maitre
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
DB
Jordan Colbert
NeckQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Theo Wease Jr.
HeadQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Malik Washington
ThumbQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Jalin Conyers
LegQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Chop Robinson
ConcussionQuestionable
Thursday, Feb 12, 2026
Avatar
DB
Isaiah Johnson
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Avatar
DB
Storm Duck
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
QB
Quinn Ewers
KneeQuestionable
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