The loser is the big winner here in terms of better draft position to take CJ Stroud or Bryce Young next April. I don't really have a ton of faith in Geno Smith, but Seattle has a better roster across the board. The Falcons are without their starting left guard.

What is it that the Seahawks do well? They can't run the ball (fewest rush yards in the league), can't pass much (2 TDs, 2 INTs, sixth fewest yards), they're bottom 10 in both pass and run defense, and they're without Jamal Adams. Somehow they won a game, but even with this one in Seattle against a winless Falcons team, it feels like the wrong side is favored. The Falcons are 2-0 ATS, and they haven't even gotten Kyle Pitts involved yet. Grab the point.

The Falcons stayed out west following their loss to the Rams, so travel fatigue shouldn't be an issue for Sunday's must-win game in Seattle. Atlanta is 2-0 ATS but 0-2 SU after near misses versus the Saints and the Super Bowl champs. The Seahawks did not score any points on offense last week in San Francisco, and have played six horrible quarters since their crowd-inspired fast start versus old friend Russell Wilson. With Marcus Mariota, Drake London, Kyle Pitts and Cordarrelle Patterson, Atlanta has the firepower it needs to notch its first win. The Falcons also are healthier than the Seahawks: Seattle is down playmaking safety Jamal Adams, while starting center Austin Blythe (shoulder) did not practice Thursday. Play the road dog.

The Falcons have lost their first two games, but they covered in both of them. Marcus Mariota was a bit sluggish out of the gate last week, but I like his overall flow for the team. He’s so dynamic and best of all he’s healthy. He’s able to move the ball into scoring position often and he’s got a skilled crew to deal to while proving rookie WR Drake London was the right choice. I have excitement and optimism for the Falcons. I have none with the Seahawks at home or the Seahawks offense. I took the Falcons and the points.

There are many football outlets that have the Falcons ranked as the worst team in the NFL but I don't think they are even close. That distinction should clearly belong to their opponent Sunday, the Seattle Seahawks, even if they aren't among the NFL's seven winless teams like Atlanta. The first half of the Week 1 Russell Wilson Bowl is the best we are going to see from these Seahawks. The have scored one TD since and it came on special teams in a 27-7 loss to a limited 49ers club. The Falcons cost themselves a win with a fourth-quarter collapse in Week 1 before rallying late last week to make the Rams sweat. They are a clear step above Seattle and shouldn't be catching points in this matchup.

The Falcons are coming off a lucky cover against the Rams thanks to a punt block touchdown, but their offense has actually been solid despite two tough matchups to open the year. Their opponent this week is 29th in pass yards per play, and I don't trust Seattle's run defense either with Jamal Adams done. The Seahawks have a win but are averaging just 234.5 yards of offense per game, so even a questionable Falcons defense could have success here. I think the Falcons offense is the best unit in this game, and with Atlanta staying out west after the Rams game, I'm not worried about the travel element in this matchup. Maybe the 12th Man can carry the Seahawks to another victory, but I'll take the points with what I think is the better team.