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Fri 11/26 | 1:20 AM UTC | New Orleans
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Buffalo Bills 6-4, 5-4 ATS
BUF -7
BUF -300
Over 45
New Orleans Saints 5-5, 5-5 ATS
NO +7
NO +240
Under 45

Expert Picks

Buffalo 31 @ New Orleans 6 | 11/26 | 1:20 AM UTC

Buffalo -7

WIN

ANALYSIS: Taking the worst line of the week here with the Bills, though it should come down to -6.5 again before kickoff. Though this is a marginal pick (I have Buffalo as an 8-point favorite), the absences of Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram really deplete an already thin group of playmakers. The Saints defense, which has been praised endlessly this season, has allowed 29.3 points per game over the last four contests. If New Orleans is unable to sustain drives, Buffalo is going to have chance after chance to light up the scoreboard. The Bills are better their record and need a get-right spot. This should be it.

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Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
+1374 61-43 IN LAST 104 NFL PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 BUF ATS PICKS
+928 29-18 IN LAST 47 NO ATS PICKS

Season Splits

6-4, 5-4 ATS
5-5, 5-5 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
5-4-1
5-5
50%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
60%
3-2
2-2
50%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
50%
4-4-1
4-1
80%
When Spread was -8 to -5
SPREAD
When Spread was +5 to +8
25%
1-3
0-0
0%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
50%
2-2
2-0
100%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
67%
2-1
2-1
67%
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
50%
1-1
1-1
50%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
62%
5-3
4-4
50%
vs NO
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BUF
0%
0-0
0-0
0%