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    Sun, Oct 178:25 pm UTCGillette Stadium
    57 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Dallas
    Cowboys
    DAL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L12-5
    ATS13-4
    O/U8-9-0
    FINAL SCORE
    --
    -
    --
    New England
    Patriots
    NE
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L10-7
    ATS10-7
    O/U9-8-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    12-5
    Win /Loss
    10-7
    13-4
    Spread
    10-7
    8-9-0
    Over / Under
    9-8-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    CB
    Avatar
    OT
    Avatar
    WR
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    WR
    Avatar
    OG
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    DAL @ NE
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    MONEYLINE
    DAL @ NE
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    OVER / UNDER
    DAL @ NE
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    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    Over0%
    PUBLIC
    Under0%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

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    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadDallas -3.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1049
    61-46 in Last 107 NFL ATS Picks
    +1097
    22-10-1 in Last 33 NE ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    Though I understand the love for the Patriots in this spot, it feels like a lot of comes from not realizing where both of these teams stand in 2021. Namely, the Cowboys have one of the most explosive offenses in the league alongside a steadily improving defense, while the Patriots wins this season have come against, wait for it, the Texans and the Jets. New England gets credit for limiting Tampa Bay in a 19-17 loss two weeks ago, but that final forgets the weather and the Buccaneers' numerous miscues. It's strange to say it, but I think, finally, the Cowboys are for real. Their 5-0 ATS mark this season proves that they continue to be undervalued, and I think Dallas makes a statement on Sunday afternoon.

    Pick Made: Oct 17, 7:13 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadDallas -3.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +705
    17-9 in Last 26 NFL Picks
    Hank's Analysis:

    The Cowboys are just playing too well right now. Meanwhile the Patriots have just two wins, both against awful teams -- the Jets and Texans with rookie quarterbacks. Dallas is far from an awful team, and Dak Prescott is no rookie. Cowboys cover easily.

    Pick Made: Oct 17, 3:14 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadNew England +3.5 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +720
    27-18-1 in Last 46 NFL Picks
    +620
    26-18-1 in Last 45 NFL ATS Picks
    +760
    11-3 in Last 14 NE ATS Picks
    Zack's Analysis:

    Last Sunday, the Patriots found themselves down 22-9 against Houston and QB Davis Mills. The deficit forced New England to open things up more under rookie QB Mac Jones, who responded with three drives that led to field goals and another that produced a touchdown. Look for Jones to show growth and for the Patriots and challenge a Cowboys team that has not been on the road since Sept. 19.

    Pick Made: Oct 17, 1:33 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadNew England +3.5 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +409
    25-19 in Last 44 NFL Picks
    +359
    29-23 in Last 52 NFL ATS Picks
    +408
    13-7 in Last 20 NE ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    I added a half-point to the Cowboys' power rating this week and dropped the Patriots a full point, and that still put this game at only Cowboys -1.5. The Cowboys are certainly the better team, but Bill Belichick showed against the Buccaneers he can put together a gameplan to hang with an elite offense. New England was served a wakeup call last week, and while you can argue the Patriots should be 1-4 after almost losing to the Texans, they could also be 4-1 after outplaying the Dolphins in a loss and coming up just short against Tampa Bay. Flip the timing of the Houston and Tampa Bay games and I think this line comes in under 3.

    Pick Made: Oct 17, 11:25 am UTC on Caesars
    Money LineDallas -175
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Micah's Analysis:

    Wiseguys have been betting the Patriots while every public parlay has the Cowboys on it. In this instance, the public knows what it's doing. The Cowboys have covered every game using a different style in each case. Run, pass or defense -- they’re doing it all very well. The Patriots have beaten the Jets and Texans and lost to the Dolphins. The Cowboys are polished and in a different class. Cowboys to win. I'm taking the money line.

    Pick Made: Oct 16, 6:51 pm UTC on Caesars
    Over / UnderUNDER 50.5 -109
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +579
    19-9 in Last 28 NFL Picks
    +520
    14-8 in Last 22 NFL O/U Picks
    +59
    2-1 in Last 3 NE O/U Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    The Cowboys look fabulous offensively, but are you aware that the Patriots have had 13 straight games played with 47 total points scored or fewer? While part of that is a sometimes shaky offense, Bill Belichick knows what he's doing on defense. These are two incredibly public teams and the public likes points -- thus, it has been bet up from 48 to 50.5. However, the sharps are fully expected to swoop in this weekend and hammer the Under (and the Pats ATS for what that's worth). So let's take Under this number now.

    Pick Made: Oct 15, 5:02 pm UTC on Consensus
    Point SpreadDallas -3.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1244
    18-5 in Last 23 NE ATS Picks
    Emory's Analysis:

    It has been an impressive second year for CB Trevon Diggs, who doesn't miss any opportunity to pick off passes. What's impressive about the Cowboys defense is that they are fast close quickly to the ball carrier. That's good to have against a rookie QB in New England's Mac Jones, who doesn't particularly push the ball downfield with any confidence. Look for the Cowboys defense to set the tone, while their offense will put the game out of reach.

    Pick Made: Oct 13, 7:54 pm UTC on Caesars

    Team Injuries

    Dallas Cowboys
    Tuesday, Jul 02, 2024
    Avatar
    CB
    Trevon Diggs
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Josh Ball
    HipQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    David Durden
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    TE
    Peyton Hendershot
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    TE
    John Stephens, Jr.
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    DeMarvion Overshown
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    TE
    Luke Schoonmaker
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    DT
    Mazi Smith
    ShoulderQuestionable
    New England Patriots
    Tuesday, Jul 02, 2024
    Avatar
    WR
    Kendrick Bourne
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Thursday, May 30, 2024
    Avatar
    OG
    Cole Strange
    KneeQuestionable