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nfl - Tue 11/17 | 1:15 AM UTC | Soldier Field |

Minnesota @ Chicago

Odds by William Hill Sportsbook
ATS
MIN -3
+1.5
Over / Under
44
46.5
ML
MIN -175
-145

Matchup breakdown

Minnesota
Chicago
PROJ SCORE
4-6
W-L
5-5
6-4
ATS W-L
5-5
7-3
O/U
3-7
-1.4
PT DIFF
-1.8
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Past Expert Picks

Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
Thu 11/12

Minnesota @ Chicago | 11/17 | 1:15 AM UTC

Minnesota -2.5

WIN

Kirk Cousins has a terrible history on Monday Night Football, and the Bears have beaten Minnesota four straight times. But the Vikings, led by Dalvin Cook, came out of their bye a different team. Since then they've beaten the Packers and Lions while averaging 31 points. I'll lay the small number against the crumbling Bears.

+30 5-4 IN LAST 9 NFL PICKS
+1215 21-8-1 IN LAST 30 MIN ATS PICKS
+475 7-2 IN LAST 9 CHI ATS PICKS

Mike Tierney

Top Dog
Sun 11/15

Minnesota @ Chicago | 11/17 | 1:15 AM UTC

Minnesota -3

WIN

The week’s most overblown stat is QB Kirk Cousins’ 0-9 straight-up record on Monday nights. As a whole, the opponents were top-tier, and Cousins often played for the underdog. Neither applies this time, with Chicago in such an offensive doldrum that coach Matt Nagy has lateraled play-calling chores to an aide. The Bears average south of 20 points per game. Cousins’ Mondays have never been blessed with a RB like the Minnesota's Dalvin Cook, the premier rusher in the league.

+561 9-3 IN LAST 12 CHI ATS PICKS
+334 11-7-1 IN LAST 19 MIN ATS PICKS

R.J. White

Super Stat Geek
Fri 11/13

Minnesota @ Chicago | 11/17 | 1:15 AM UTC

Chicago +3

LOSS

Vikings stock is as high as can be coming off two impressive wins where Dalvin Cook tallied 478 yards from scrimmage and six touchdowns. Bears stock is as low as can be after losing three straight games, including an abysmal effort from Nick Foles' offense last week. But nothing is constant in the NFL, and I love this matchup for Chicago, a team that just limited the Titans offense to 228 yards and shut down Derrick Henry. Throw in Kirk Cousins absolutely flopping on Monday nights (0-9 ATS) and Chicago winning four straight against this Minnesota team, and it starts to look like this spread is well off the number it should be. Get +3 while you can.

+725 33-23-3 IN LAST 59 NFL ATS PICKS
+2037 35-13-3 IN LAST 51 MIN ATS PICKS
+827 30-20-1 IN LAST 51 CHI ATS PICKS

Micah Roberts

Former Vegas Bookmaker
Tue 11/10

Minnesota @ Chicago | 11/17 | 1:15 AM UTC

Minnesota -2.5

WIN

The Bears have won the last four meetings in this series, but they have now lost three straight. The Vikings have won their last two and covered five of their last six. The success begins with more Dalvin Cook and less Kirk Cousins. When Cook gets at least 22 carries this season, he runs for 130-plus yards, has scored nine TDs and the Vikings covered all four games. Cook was not featured in any of the previous four meetings. I bet he is Monday, and the play is on the Vikings.

+269 6-3 IN LAST 9 CHI ATS PICKS
+226 10-7-2 IN LAST 19 MIN ATS PICKS

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
Mon 11/16

Minnesota @ Chicago | 11/17 | 1:15 AM UTC

Chicago +3.5

LOSS

I have been sitting here waiting for William Hill to shift this to Bears +3.5 off +3 as other books already had done -- and it finally happened. I think Chicago could easily win this outright as the Bears will gear up to stop Dalvin Cook and dare Kirk Cousins (0-9 SU & ATS on MNF all-time) to beat them. Doubt he can do that. Matt Nagy isn't a very good head coach -- he has given up offensive play-calling finally -- but for some reason owns the Vikings. His teams generally play well in primetime.

+535 12-6-1 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS

Minnesota

player
RBDalvinCook
17.26fan duel
20.09draft kings$9,000
15.96cbs sports
player
QBKirkCousins
12.91fan duel
13.39draft kings$6,200
14.59cbs sports
player
WRAdamThielen
11.21fan duel
14.02draft kings$6,300
9.06cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
K. CousinsKirk Cousins17/262011.300.920.2014.6
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
D. CookDalvin Cook16.8820.824.90.1916.0
A. MattisonAlexander Mattison7.6310.154.10.094.6
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
J. JeffersonJustin Jefferson3.7600.3216.40.048.0
A. ThielenAdam Thielen4.3550.5512.80.059.1
D. CookDalvin Cook2.6250.099.50.1916.0
K. RudolphKyle Rudolph2.0210.1610.60.023.1
O. JohnsonOlabisi Johnson1.5200.0913.50.022.6
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
M. DSTMIN DST2.691.310.651.51.82.1

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Irv Smith Jr., Tajae Sharpe, Holton Hill, Danielle Hunter, Mike Hughes, Ryan Connelly, Anthony Barr, Cameron Dantzler, James Lynch, Ben Gedeon, George Iloka, Michael Pierce, Cameron Smith, Jordan Brailford, Myles Dorn, Kenny Willekes
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

Chicago

player
QBNickFoles
16.64fan duel
17.54draft kings
18.54cbs sports
player
WRAllenRobinson
12.93fan duel
17.39draft kings
9.73cbs sports
player
WRCordarrellePatterson
9.94fan duel
12.23draft kings
7.92cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
N. FolesNick Foles26/402471.601.300.1218.5
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
C. PattersonCordarrelle Patterson6.9340.174.90.137.9
A. PierceArtavis Pierce7.6300.193.90.124.7
L. MillerLamar Miller5.5220.144.00.073.9
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
A. RobinsonAllen Robinson6.4770.3412.10.079.7
D. MooneyDarnell Mooney4.3490.2411.30.056.3
A. MillerAnthony Miller3.5380.2510.70.105.2
J. GrahamJimmy Graham3.7340.359.00.045.5
C. PattersonCordarrelle Patterson3.8270.177.10.137.9
C. KmetCole Kmet1.9190.179.90.032.9
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
C. DSTCHI DST1.680.920.601.82.12.2

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

David Montgomery, Javon Wims, Mitchell Trubisky, Tarik Cohen, Jordan Lucas, Eddie Goldman, Roy Robertson-Harris, John Jenkins, Sherrick McManis, Artie Burns, Anthony Rush, Trevis Gipson
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

last updated: 11/17/2020 00:06 GMT