Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
A bit of a coin toss pick here that was made a tad easier with the hook for the Seahawks. A lot of attention is being paid to Seattle's injured running backs, but it should ultimately be fine keeping San Francisco on its toes with a mix of Russell Wilson and the rushers it does have (including a fresh or rusty -- your choice -- Marshawn Lynch). As long as the Seahawks can make 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo uncomfortable and somewhat limit George Kittle, they should cover at home in front of their fantastic crowd on Sunday Night Football.
The Seahawks are without their top three RBs and had to sign Marshawn Lynch. They will rely on RB Travis Homer, who has 4.45 speed, for some big plays and also brought in Robert Turbin. Running the ball is not about the rusher, it's about the offensive line and running schemes. Seattle has the 12th man, QB Russell Wilson and coach Pete Carroll. Give me the Seahawks.
The NFC West Championship game is the most important of the week and holds the key to who gets the home-field path throughout the playoffs among four teams. What strikes me most with the Seahawks, beyond their current form with no covers in their last three, is the demise of their massive home-field edge which coincides with the dismantling of the Legion of Boom. I like the 49ers to take control of the game quickly and the final margin to be in double-digits. 49ers to cover.
The media will make this one about Marshawn Lynch's return to Seattle's backfield in a clutch situation, but the story will end up being about both defenses. Where San Francisco has had its issues is against QBs that can move around. Seattle's Russell Wilson will make a last-ditch effort for MVP with his performance in this one. Plus, the Seahawks will do a great job keeping 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo off his game.
Kenyan Drake ran for 166 yards against Seattle, Russell Wilson got sacked five times and he hasn't played well for over a month now. The Seahawks are so beat up, you have to like San Fran here.
The last thing in the world the books want to do right now is move this line to 3.5 points because they know what's coming the moment they do. With the Seahawks injury news, the public is pounding San Francisco as a road favorite here, but the line refuses to move. And that's because Seattle +3 is the right side of the line. I know things look dark, but Russell Wilson is healthy, and that's all that matters. The fact Seattle is 14-7 ATS as a home dog under Pete Carroll doesn't hurt my confidence, either.
Anyone want to play RB for Seattle? Injuries to three ball-carriers over the past few weeks left the Seahawks with just one healthy rusher after their last game. That would be Travis Homer, a rookie who was the 204th overall draft pick. San Francisco has no shortage of incentive, with a possible No. 1 seed in its sights. Seattle also can improve its playoff seeding but, having failed to cover in its last three outings, is limping toward the finish line.