ANALYSIS: Coach Bret Bielema has built the Illini into a prior version of Wisconsin, with a smash-mouth power running game and solid defense. The Illini, off just their second loss of the season, have a big advantage defensively. They rank second in the country, allowing just 4.1 yards per play. They are equally talented at stopping the run as stopping the pass. The Illini are 6-3 ATS, but still undervalued at home versus a below-average Purdue team.

ANALYSIS: Louisiana's defense has allowed just 72 points over its last four games and ranks 26th in yards per play allowed (5.00). The Southern Miss offense has really struggled over the past three games scoring just 50 combined points, helping the Under go 3-0. The Golden Eagles defense allowed just 60 points over those three games. Both teams have average offenses but above average defenses. I'm on the Under.

ANALYSIS: The roof will be open tonight. Yes, the ball does travel far better with the roof open, and scoring is on average 1.5 runs higher a game. Houston's lineup over the last 45 days versus righties has a 120 wRC+ number, 20% above average. Astros starter Framber Valdez had a great year but had a 41% hard hit rate; the Yankees will have their share of hits tonight. The New York lineup is solid from top to bottom and should be rested after a good night's sleep in Houston. I'm on the Over.

ANALYSIS: Malik Cunningham returns to the field for Louisville, and his presence is worth six points to the betting line. Pittsburgh has underachieved in 2022 a year after winning the ACC. The Panthers' loss to Tennessee doesn't look bad, but the loss to Georgia Tech was a bad one. I have Louisville by a full touchdown.

ANALYSIS: The Blue Raiders have the far better defense, ranking 25th in the country in yards per play (4.66). UTSA ranks 102nd (6.03). Middle Tennessee beat the Hurricanes in Miami last week, 45-31. Both teams are playing their first Conference USA game. I'm on the Blue Raiders.