The Bengals' offense is averaging just 14.2 points but has scored just 23 in the last two weeks with Ryan Finley at quarterback. The Under is 5-2-1 in Cincinnati's last eight games. Pittsburgh ranks 29th in yards per play (five) and averages just 20 points. The Under is 4-1 in the Steelers' last five games, and they will be without offensive stars JuJu Smith-Schuster and James Conner.

Pittsburgh running back James Conner (shoulder) is out. Receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster (concussion) is out. Center Maurkice Pouncey (suspended) is out. Quarterback Mason Rudolph, coming off his worst game, needs all the help he can get and will draw nothing from those three key sidekicks. Cincinnati's offense is languid, but not many points will be necessary for a cover to occur. The total stands at 38, so young Bengals quarterback Ryan Finley’s task is to beg, borrow and steal 17 points, which should be sufficient. Cincinnati covers.

After what we've seen from the Steelers offense in recent weeks, they have no business going on the road and laying nearly a touchdown to anyone, even the worst team in the league. Mason Rudolph has shown he can't have success without a good support system in place, but James Conner, JuJu Smith-Schuster and Maurkice Pouncey are all missing for this game. There's also a good chance the Steelers won't be fully prepared to handle a desperate Bengals team after a week of distractions. Cincy can employ a run game and defense strategy to keep this game close and even pull off their first win of the season.

Find a game on the NFL Sunday slate you want to watch less than this one. I dare you. The reason you don't want to watch it is because both of these offenses stink, and are being led by backups. They're also dealing with injuries at key spots. I just don't see how there are enough points scored in this game to get past the 38.5.

The Steelers aren't prolific offensively even when healthy. They're severely banged up for this one. And we all know how limited the Bengals are with Ryan Finley. Cincy is determined to run the ball, no matter the score. Back the Under to cash for the seventh time in the last nine Steelers-Bengals games.

These teams are both in the bottom 10 in points per game and the bottom six in yards per game. They're both starting QBs who began the season as backups. Ryan Finley, through two starts, has produced one TD pass and two INTs, leading the Bengals to a combined 23 points. Mason Rudolph has thrown three TDs and five INTs in his last three games. It won't be pretty in Cincy. Take the Under.

The Steelers looked bad last week in a loss to the Browns, while the Bengals actually covered, which is a good setup for Pittsburgh not to take anything for granted against their winless rival in this one. The Steelers allowed just three points to the Bengals when they played in Week 4, and it's hard to imagine Cincy scoring much this week either against the No. 3 defense by DVOA. The Bengals are 4-6 ATS overall, but 0-4 ATS at home. Lay the points.

The Steelers offense rolls into this game pretty banged up after a brutal Thursday game against the Browns, which could leave underwhelming options at the skill positions. Maurkice Pouncey's suspension should also make things easier for Geno Atkins, who's coming off a strong game against the Raiders. On the other side of the ball, it's hard to see how a terrible Cincinnati offense that managed just 73 yards of passing offense against a poor Oakland defense could have any success against a good Pittsburgh defense. I don't know if you can make this total low enough not to have value on the Under.