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Tue, Apr 282:30 am UTCBall Arena
Minnesota
Timberwolves
MIN
Last 5 ATS
W/L55-39
ATS43-51
O/U44-50-0
FINAL SCORE
113
-
125
Denver
Nuggets
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L56-32
ATS46-42
O/U54-34-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
55-39
Win /Loss
56-32
43-51
Spread
46-42
44-50-0
Over / Under
54-34-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIN @ DEN
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
MIN @ DEN
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OVER / UNDER
MIN @ DEN
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59%
PUBLIC
40%
MONEY
23%
PUBLIC
77%
MONEY
Over76%
PUBLIC
Under24%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
PointsJulius Randle Over 21.5 Total Points -105
WIN
Unit1.0
+477
15-9 Last 24 NBA Player Props
Zack's Analysis:

Down Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVencenzo the Twolves did not fold in game four, and came back to go up 3 games to 1 on Denver. A player that I look to get traction for the remainder of this series is Julius Randle. He has shown when Anthony Edwards is out, he can almost be as ball dominant as Jalen Brunson is with the Knicks. With Denver putting extra attention on Dosunmu look for Randle to break out. Play his over.

Pick Made: Apr 27, 8:36 pm UTC on Caesars
Over/UnderOver 223.5 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
Micah's Analysis:

The Timberwolves have won the last three games of this first-round series against the Nuggets to put them in an elimination situation in Game 5 tonight. What I'm looking at here is a total that started at 232.5, and it's been driven down to its lowest total yet at 224. This is a buy-low, sell-high moment for me, and I'm going over the lowest total of the series. I do expect the Nuggets to win by 20 or more, but I'm obviously not so sure because I didn't bet it. This will be a high-scoring game, just the over for me.

Pick Made: Apr 27, 8:18 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PTS + AST + REBChristian Braun Over 17.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -118
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1776
96-65 Last 161 NBA Player Props
Larry's Analysis:

Christian Braun was a non-factor in the two games in Minnesota, scoring a total of 10 points as Denver got blown out twice. At home, however, Braun has been far more productive -- throughout the regular season and in the first two playoff games. He had 21 and 24 combined points, assists and rebounds in Games 1 and 2. In the regular season, Braun averaged 13.3 points and 5.0 rebounds at home, compared to 10.5 and 4.6 on the road. With Aaron Gordon playing hurt (if he plays) and Peyton Watson still sidelined, the Nuggets' energy boost has to come from someone else. I bet on Braun bouncing back in a must-win spot.

Pick Made: Apr 27, 5:35 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
REB + ASTJaden McDaniels Over 7.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
Adam's Analysis:

Jayden McDaniels averaged 4.2 rebounds over the course of the season, but in this series, he’s snagged at least eight boards in three of the four games. He’s also generated three assists in all four matchups with the Nuggets. Someone has to make up for the 8.1 rebounds/assists lost to Anthony Edwards, and McDaniels, the starting SF averaging 36 minutes per game, is the prime candidate.

Pick Made: Apr 27, 4:56 pm UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

Minnesota Timberwolves
Sunday, Apr 26, 2026
Avatar
SG
Donte DiVincenzo
AchillesOut
Denver Nuggets
Tuesday, Jun 16, 2026
Avatar
PF
Aaron Gordon
CalfOut
Avatar
SF
Peyton Watson
HamstringOut
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