Domantas Sabonis has gone under this number in eight straight games. But the pace of this matchup, and Sabonis' effectiveness versus Kevon Looney, should help us get Over 41.5 combined points, assists and rebounds. The Kings' electric offense runs through Sabonis. He can do it all and he showed that against the Warriors this season. He played 34 minutes against Golden State on Nov. 14 and finished with 56 combined points, assists and rebounds. I'm expecting a similar, if not a bigger workload, in Game 1.

Fireworks are expected on both sides Saturday night between the Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings. Each team has no issue with offense, but I do expect the Warriors to do everything they can to win Game 1. That means more shots from Steph Curry and even quick-trigger shooter Jordan Poole. Klay Thompson’s spurts of offense will be there but not to the degree to hit his prop. Take his Under on total points.

Love this spot for Fox who was the NBA's most clutch scorer this season by a wide margin. In the playoffs you see star players usage rates increase in addition to playing time. Fox only played 33 MPG in the regular season and I expect that number to approach 38-40 in this series. The Warriors are also an ideal opponent as they play at a top 3 pace which invites potential ceiling games. I also like Fox's PRA and Points line, however PA is my favorite.

The Warriors begin their title defense in what should be a high-scoring series. They played at the fastest pace in the league during the regular season and the Kings had the seventh-worst defensive rating. Given the Warriors’ struggles on the road, I expect the Kings to at least keep this game close. That should mean plenty of minutes and shot attempts for Curry. Give me the over.

The extra time between games should benefit the Warriors in Game 1. Since 2013, NBA defending champions are 8-0 straight-up in their first playoff game. The Raptors and Lakers didn't make the playoffs after winning the title. The Warriors should be super focused after not playing great on the road during the regular season. Andrew Wiggins is back and ready to go. I'm on Golden State.

Do the Kings know how to flip a switch? They didn't play very well down the stretch and are 0-4 ATS in their past four at home. Should be pretty wild at the Golden 1 Center with the team in the postseason for the first time since 2006 (a year which also brought us Saw III and Larry the Cable Guy: Health Inspector -- so not a great movie year except for the Departed and a few others). The Dubs, meanwhile, were rolling at the end, this is old hat for them (never really understood that saying), and they have won at least one road playoff game in an NBA-record 27 straight series. Andrew Wiggins will also be back. Somehow, this is the first time both franchises are in the same postseason.