Detroit continues to have an awful second half of the season. Jack Flahtery has been one of the least profitable pitchers on the road this season, with a 5.20 ERA and the Tigers have lost six of his last seven road starts. Cleveland has all the motivation right now, and playing better baseball, tied with the Tigers for the division. Tanner Bibee is currently pitching the best he has this season, a combined three runs in his last three starts, all Cleveland victories, while also defeating the Tigers in his last outing.

The Tigers are really struggling as of late, but Riley Greene is coming off back-to-back two-hit games. He's hit 32 of his 35 HRs this season against right-handed pitchers. Greene hasn't homered in his career against Tanner Bibee, which is why his line is where it's at. Bibee has been excellent over his last two starts, but we think he's due for some regression and could allow 1 or 2 homers. We set Greene's line at +360 to homer.

Spinning a subpar 5.51 ERA in August, Jack Flaherty began a succession of underperforming efforts that has seen the Tigers lose in seven of his last nine starts into late September. Including five good innings last Wednesday vs. Cleveland, allowing just 1 run, but that was all the Guardians needed in an eventual 4-0 win. The bigger news is Cleveland inhaling ground, having still trailed the Tigers by 12.5 games in the Central on August 25. A 17-5 September, along with a Tigers slowdown, has allowed the Guardians to remarkably pull level after last night's 5-2 win. Cleveland has also won all three September starts by Tanner Bibee, who owns a 1.25 ERA this month. Play Guardians on Money Line