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    Mon, Apr 1511:40 pm UTCAmerican Family Field
    66 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    San Diego
    Padres
    SD
    Last 5 ML
    W/L29-28
    ATS29-28
    O/U29-27-1
    FINAL SCORE
    7
    -
    3
    Milwaukee
    Brewers
    MIL
    Last 5 ML
    W/L31-22
    ATS30-21
    O/U29-23-1
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ML
    29-28
    Win /Loss
    31-22
    29-28
    Spread
    30-21
    29-27-1
    Over / Under
    29-23-1
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    2B
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    2B
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    RP
    Key Injuries
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    SP
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    SP
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    RP
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    SD @ MIL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    SD @ MIL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    SD @ MIL
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    8%
    PUBLIC
    92%
    MONEY
    29%
    PUBLIC
    71%
    MONEY
    Over50%
    PUBLIC
    Under50%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Money LineSan Diego -102
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +572
    25-18 in Last 43 MLB Picks
    +472
    24-18 in Last 42 MLB ML Picks
    +1245
    32-19 in Last 51 SD ML Picks
    Zack's Analysis:

    An angle that has been profitable is to play against a team that played Sunday night, and is traveling for Monday’s new series. Here I’ll bypass that angle as the Padres have not stepped foot out of the state of California in their past five series. They have hosted three home series and went on the road against the Giants and Dodgers. Milwaukee has been feast or famine as well, as their last five wins they have scored seven runs or more. Look for Musgrove to settle in today and the Padres to get the win.

    Pick Made: Apr 15, 6:12 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Pitcher OutsJoe Musgrove Under 17.5 Total Pitcher Outs -123
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1216
    63-47 in Last 110 MLB Player Props Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    It's been a rough start to the year for Joe Musgrove, who has one of the worst xERAs in baseball at 8.40, among other troubling metrics. He has to face a Milwaukee offense that has let just one pitcher finish the sixth inning in the last six games, and that was after hanging seven runs (six earned) on Hunter Greene's arm and forcing him to throw 105 pitches. With the Brewers averaging 6.5 runs per game and Musgrove looking ineffective in three home starts (where he pitched better in 2023), I don't see him making it the full six innings today.

    Pick Made: Apr 15, 4:13 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Pitcher StrikeoutsJoe Musgrove Under 6.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -147
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1456
    57-34 in Last 91 MLB Player Props Picks
    Angelo's Analysis:

    Getting to seven strikeouts has not been an easy task for Joe Musgrove this year. While some of the underlying stats point to regression, Musgrove still doesn't have my trust to go over 6.5 strikeouts yet. He's failed to reach seven strikeouts in 3/4 starts and even when Musgrove did go over this line, he ended with seven strikeouts in six innings of work. Now he faces a Milwaukee offense that's ranked second vs right handers in OPS and 22nd in strikeout rate.

    Pick Made: Apr 15, 6:44 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Pitcher StrikeoutsJoe Musgrove Under 6.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -147
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +3026.5
    118-69 in Last 187 MLB Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    This is just a huge number for Musgrove who has only really looked good in one of his four appearances this season. He will face a red hot Brewers lineup that is 2nd in OPS vs opposing righties this season, in addition to possessing the tenth lowest K rate.

    Pick Made: Apr 15, 5:33 am UTC
    Money LineMilwaukee +115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Grace's Analysis:

    Joe Musgrove's exit velocity is up 2.5 mph from last year with a .350 xBA and .430 xwOBA that rank in the bottom 4% of the league. The Brewers are a bit underrated, as they entered the season projected to place fourth in the division, but their offense vs. RHP ranks second in the Majors with .381 wOBA and 135 wRC+.

    Pick Made: Apr 15, 3:27 am UTC
    Point SpreadMilwaukee +1.5 -145
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +2086.25
    178-104-1 in Last 283 MLB Picks
    +518
    26-16 in Last 42 MIL ATS Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    The automatic fade of a team traveling off playing on Sunday night didn't work last week but history tells us it will be profitable in the long run. Definitely a tough spot for the Padres with a long late-night flight from Los Angeles. Supposed ace Joe Musgrove has been awful in three of four outings and has a 6.87 ERA.

    Pick Made: Apr 15, 1:35 am UTC

    Team Injuries

    San Diego Padres
    Monday, May 27, 2024
    Avatar
    RP
    Glenn Otto
    ShoulderIl
    Wednesday, May 22, 2024
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    2B
    Xander Bogaerts
    ShoulderIl
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    2B
    Tucupita Marcano
    KneeIl
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    RP
    Luis Patino
    ElbowIl
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Monday, May 27, 2024
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    1B
    Rhys Hoskins
    HamstringIl
    Thursday, May 23, 2024
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    RP
    Jake Junis
    ShoulderIl
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    SP
    DL Hall
    KneeIl
    Wednesday, May 22, 2024
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    CF
    Garrett Mitchell
    FingerIl
    Tuesday, May 21, 2024
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    SP
    Joe Ross
    BackIl
    Friday, May 10, 2024
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    RP
    J.B. Bukauskas
    TricepsIl
    Tuesday, Apr 30, 2024
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    SP
    Wade Miley
    ElbowIl
    Wednesday, Apr 10, 2024
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    RP
    Devin Williams
    BackIl
    Monday, Apr 01, 2024
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    SP
    Coleman Crow
    ElbowIl
    Wednesday, Feb 21, 2024
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    SP
    Brandon Woodruff
    ShoulderIl