ANALYSIS: Yes, these teams are both Top 50 in offensive efficiency. But this total feels over-adjusted, likely for UAB’s pace of play. The Blazers’ adjusted tempo (70.6) ranks 42nd in the nation, while the Dores’ pace (67.5) is the nation’s average. Historically, Vanderbilt games against fast-paced teams have finished no where near this total. Since 2019 when Jerry Stackhouse took over the program, Vandy has played 47 games against teams with an adjusted tempo of 70 or above. The average total of those games is 146. In that same span, Vandy games are 3-5 O/U when the total is 153 or higher. It will be a higher-scoring game, but this is a stretch.

ANALYSIS: This play caught my eye last night after a steam move on North Texas +5. It's still a two-possession game at +3.5, and the line is +4 at some places, so keep an eye on this one as we get closer to tip. In a Top 25 defensive battle, this will come down to which offense we trust more. The metrics point to the Mean Green. North Texas is a high-volume 3-point shooting team, making 36.4% of its shots. Meanwhile, OK State is one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the country. Both teams are average at drawing fouls, but North Texas (76.2 FT%) is better than the Pokes (69.8 FT%) from the charity stripe, which will matter in this physical matchup.

ANALYSIS: The line feels a little too generous for an OKC team that has won 7 of its last 9 as it makes a push up the playoff standings. OKC is 19-9-1 ATS this season as a road dog. Meanwhile, the Clippers are .500 as a home favorite. As you may have heard by now, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander wasn’t too happy being a part of the 2019 blockbuster Paul George trade with LA — so there could be some extra motivation for him and the Thunder tonight.

ANALYSIS: Vermont draws a great first-round matchup as a high-volume 3-point shooting team making 40.1% of those shots since February 1. Marquette's defense struggles at the perimeter, allowing 37.3% shooting in the same timeframe. On the defensive end of the floor, the Catamounts are disciplined in committing few fouls, limiting second-chance points and rebounding at the 6th-best rate in the nation. The public is with Marquette, and maybe that's because they remember Shaka Smart in his feisty underdog roles. However when laying the points, Smart is 131-154-3 (46%) ATS, and his record as a favorite of 10+ points is even worse: 43-63-2 (40.6%) ATS.

ANALYSIS: Early afternoon games are historically lower-scoring, so this 12 p.m local tipoff helps that trend. Conveniently, the last time these teams played was an 11 a.m. tipoff on March 4. The final score was Aggies, 67-61, for a total of 128. We may not see a lot of 3s fall, as both defenses rank Top 15 nationally in 3-point percentage allowed. Texas A&M is slow-paced and can further disrupt the game flow with its 20.4% steal rate -- bad news for a turnover-prone Alabama team. It's the third game in three days for both squads. Plus, both teams have already locked up their NCAA tournament seeding. They likely won't play to their full potential when it’s more important to stay healthy for the Big Dance.