This is the most lopsided rivalry in Spain right now. Barcelona have won their last five games against Valencia. The last three meetings between these teams finished 7-1 to Barcelona, 5-0 to Barcelona, and 6-0 to Barcelona. Barça have already wrapped up the La Liga title, so they may lack motivation for this game, but odds of -111 on a straight moneyline win for Barcelona look too good to ignore.
Girona are in a must-win spot at home. With three points, they give themselves a real chance to fight off relegation. With a loss, they are going down. I expect a big effort from them, and fortunately, they get an Elche side that has struggled badly away from home this season. Elche have just one road win all year and have lost eight of their last nine away matches. Girona are not exactly a team I trust, but given the situation and the opponent, this feels like a must-play spot.
Barcelona have a chance to finish a great season on a high note against a Valencia side they have dominated. Over the last five meetings, Barcelona have outscored them 24-3. Even with some potential motivation concerns after winning the league, this is still a solid price to back the champions.
There are a few things wrong with American sports and one is that kids get a ribbon for just showing up. Yeah, this ain't the SATs where you get points for signing your name (I still managed Under; and continually have nightmares about filling in those little multiple choice dots in a race against time and wish I was kidding). Long story short: This loser Saturday is relegated. A draw and it's Girona kicked. Elche is the worst road team in La Liga with a single away win in 18 matches. I would murder Draw No Bet but it's north of -300.
My Spanish is a little rusty -- me llamo Mateo; mucho con carne por favor -- but from what I can tell, Getafe will qualify for European soccer (not the Champions League) with a win. The side hasn't played in Europe since the 2019-20 campaign. Osasuna is playing to avoid relegation but seems relatively safe barring a blowout loss. Draw No Bet was invented for spots like this. Getafe won the reverse fixture 3-2.
The LaLiga relegation race is absolutely insane this season. From 19th on the table to 13th on the table there are only four teams separating these teams. That means that there are multiple teams that could still find themselves being relegated. The only team that is guaranteed at the moment is Real Oviedo. This Elche is the match everyone will be watching. If Elche can win, they are safe. If Elche can get the draw, they are safe unless Mallorca can beat Real Oviedo by 5+ goals. While Girona also need the win here, their form ahs just been so poor in recent weeks, and in a battle of who is slightly less worse, I'm going with Elche to get a point off this match.
Atlético Madrid should be too strong for Girona in this game. Los Rojiblancos have won 14 of their 18 home matches this season, which is an impressive record. Manager Diego Simeone should play his strongest starting XI for this game, as Atlético aren't in any cup competitions, so there's no need to rest players. Girona have slipped down to 15th in La Liga after a six-game winless streak, and they tend to struggle on the road. They've only won three away games all season, so they could be overpowered at the Metropolitano.
To my eye, Atleti has absolutely nothing to play for at this point locked into European football next season, while Osasuna can perhaps finish Top 8 in La Liga or even still be relegated. Los Rojillos have been excellent at home, and their only loss there in the past 11 was to league champion Barcelona. Atleti, meanwhile, has a long list of guys ruled out led by Julian Alvarez and Guiliano Simeone.
I’m backing Rayo Vallecano here, more as a fade of Girona than anything else. First and foremost, I don’t think Girona will be physical enough to match Rayo away from home. Even in the reverse fixture, Rayo dominated them physically. Rayo have now gone five unbeaten and have lost just twice at home all season. Girona, meanwhile, are on a three-game slide, and things aren’t going to get better. I’ll take Rayo draw no bet here, just in case Girona grind out a point.
If you want the most value, bet Barcelona to win and both teams to score. The last time an El Clásico didn’t see both teams score was back in 2024. Real Madrid are also as banged up as they have been in quite some time, with Mbappe, Valverde, Rodrygo, Militao, Carvajal, Mendy and Güler all unavailable. Barcelona will be without Lamine Yamal, but the rest of the squad is available. I like goals here. There have been at least four goals in seven of the last nine meetings between these two, and with Madrid missing so many key pieces defensively and in transition, Barcelona should have every chance to win this match while still conceding.
Seems like something is going on at Real Madrid ahead of a Clásico in which Barca clinches the La Liga title with a victory or draw (DNB is way too pricy). Madrid saw midfielders Aurélien Tchouaméni and Federico Valverde (he's out because of it) get into a practice fight -- we talking about "practice" -- and each was fined nearly $600,000. That's pretty crazy and makes me wish I played soccer more as a kid to make that kind of bank. Half the roster is practically out today led by Kylian Mbappe. He's fit enough to party on his yacht but not play apparently. Mbappe leads the league with 24 goals.
Both teams to score is my favorite parlay anchor of the day in this match. It has hit in 76% of Betis away matches and 76% of Sociedad home matches. The over 2.5 is just as nice. At least three goals have been scored in 71% of Sociedad home matches, while Betis away matches have cleared that number 47% of the time. Neither team defends particularly well, and this should have the feel of an end-to-end contest with Sociedad needing a win and Betis trying to hold on to a European place. Betis are the better side and could easily score first, which would open this match up even more. That should give us stretched defenses, space in transition, and plenty of counterattacking opportunities.
I went and looked at fading Atletico Madrid on Saturday after that gut-punch loss to Arsenal in the UCL semis, but Atleti is home against a lesser foe, so I can't pull that trigger. That's what got me to the La Liga menu in the first place. And then saw this and I'm like yep. These two are fighting not to be relegated, so not a lack of motivation (unlike Atleti). Elche did lose the reverse fixture 3-1 on the road back in October -- scoreless entering the 75th minute -- but has been one of the better home teams in the league (31 points in 17 matches). Alaves has three road wins all season.
This is a must-win game for Real Madrid. If Los Blancos fail to beat Espanyol, the Spanish league title will go to Barcelona. That means the Real Madrid players will be highly motivated for this game. Recent results have been poor, but they should still get the better of this struggling Espanyol team. Espanyol are winless in their last eight games, and Real Madrid's elite forwards could tear them apart.
Barcelona could potentially clinch the league title if they beat Osasuna this weekend. The Blaugrana are on a nine-game winning streak in La Liga, so the players should be full of confidence. They're 11 points clear of Real Madrid at the top of the table, with just five games remaining. If they beat Osasuna and Real Madrid fail to win their game, Barcelona will be crowned champions. Osasuna are having a good season, but they could be outclassed by this in-form Barcelona team.