Atletico Madrid is higher in the La Liga table but dealing with several absences. Athletic Club has covered this number in three straight if we throw out matches vs. powerhouses Barcelona and Real Madrid. Athletic has 13 points from eight home league games, while Atletico has scored just eight total goals in seven away domestic trips. Wish O/U 3.5 was offered as I'd certainly go Under but no dice.

With Athletic looking out of sorts lately, this could be a chance for Atleti to pick up three crucial points on the road (which have been a bit hard to come by for Diego Simeone's men). Both of losses at midweek, but Athletic's was a bit more concerning as they had no look at Real Madrid in a 3-0 loss that has Ernesto Valverde wondering what happened to last year's side that qualified for the Champions League. Nico Williams should be back in the lineupbut even he has slightly disappointed. Meanwhile, Diego Simeone's Atleti is also off a loss (3-1 midweek at Barcelona), and will be minus potent Alex Baena on Saturday, but Alexander Sorloth is waiting in the wings. Play Atleti on Money Line

Real Madrid are not a team we're used to talking about when using the word rough, but man have they looked rough in recent matches. They are currently without a win in their last three LaLiga matches, and their defense has been worrisome to say the least. They recently played Girona, who are 18th on the table and are sitting in a relegation spot, and draw. Not only did they draw, but they made Girona look good. Madrid has loads and loads more talent than Athletic Club, but I'm not backing Madrid until they fix whatever is going on both on and off the pitch. If they play how they did against Girona or Elche, they'll lose this outright.

It's been 20 years since Atletico won at the Camp Nou, recently re-opened after extensive renovations. Atleti did win in Catalunya last year when Barca was temporarily housed at Montjuic, running out 2-1 winners, and observers in Espana suspect Diego Simeone might have a Liga-winning side in his midst. They also suspect something continues to be wrong with Barca, as Hansi Flick appeared distressed even after the 3-1 Saturday win over Alaves. The gears aren't always meshing, and Flick's preferred high-line can can ruthlessly exposed by teams (and there are few) so inclined to give it a go...like Atleti. Simeone has his own Barca killer in big Norwegian Alexander Sorloth, who has scored six goals in nine career matches vs. Barca. Play Atleti on Spread

Yes. I think a draw could be brewing in this matchup at Camp Nou. When I saw this matchup I was ready to bet on goals, and I was ready to bet on whichever club had the plus points on the spread. This game just screams a 2-2 final to me. Barcelona with their world-class attack and struggling defense, against an Atletico side who can struggle at Camp Nou, but have won their last seven matches across all competitions in dominating fashion. This is a massive matchup with some big points up for grabs - which is why I think both teams would be perfectly happy with a share of the spoils.

Say what you want about Hansi Flick's Barcelona squad, they're consistent that's for dang sure. They once again covered the over in their LaLiga match against Alaves last week after winning 3-1. Dani Olmo and Lamine Yamal continued to flex their attacking muscles while the Barcelona defense continued to struggle, after conceding in the very first minute. This is a massive match between two of the best clubs in Spain. Their last three matches against each other ended 4-2, 4-4, and 0-1. They have shown they can play defense sometimes, but it's not the norm. I will continue to bet this at plus odds every single week as long as Flick is still the manager.

Under 2.5 goals has paid off in the last five meetings between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia, so this promises to be a low-scoring game. Rayo Vallecano’s home games have averaged just 1.2 goals this season. They’ve scored just 3 times in 5 matches, and they’ve only conceded 3 goals. None of their home games have seen over 2.5 goals, so this isn’t exactly shaping up to be a classic. Valencia’s away record is poor, as they’ve scored just 3 goals in 6 games on the road, so they’re unlikely to cause many problems for Rayo’s tight defense.

I'll say this every time. I hate betting unders. You can't ignore something that has hit every time these guys have played each other since 2022 though. These two clubs have clashed four times over the last two seasons, and over those four matches we saw a total of four goals. Out of the 20 clubs in LaLiga currently, only five are averaging less than one goal scored a match. Two of those five, are Valencia and Rayo Vallecano. I'm playing this for a partial unit because... well it's an under, but this match screams Valencia parking the bus and grinding this game to a slow draw once again.

Celta Vigo have been one of the most consistantly exciting clubs to watch in Spain over the past couple seasons. I say this solely from the perspective of someone who is greedy and loves betting on overs. Over 2.5 goals has hit in four of the last five head-to-head matches between these sides, and Celta specifically has seen the over hit now in four of their last five matches across all competitions this season. I don't overthink this matchup. I see Celta, an offensive juggernaut, and I bet the over knowing they don't play back and do not park.

This should be an entertaining game between two fierce local rivals. Over 2.5 goals has paid off in 77% of Sevilla’s games so far this season. It’s also landed in 6 of their last 7 matches. Their games have averaged 3.08 goals, while games featuring Real Betis have averaged 2.62 goals. Real Betis beat Sevilla 2-1 in their last meeting, and Sevilla will now be determined to gain revenge.

Atletico Madrid hit their rock bottom on October 21st when they were beaten by Arsenal 4-0 in UCL play. The team since that loss though, has been unstoppable. Atletico Madrid have won their last six LaLiga matches straight and took down a strong Inter Milan side in UCL earlier this week. They have Julian Alvarez who is one of the best striker in Europe right now, and are expected to continue their winning streak against the worst offensive team in LaLiga. I'm expecting a comfortable win for the hosts, and doubt that the visitors will score.

Barcelona are going to be PISSED coming into this matchup. Hansi Flick and co were embarrassed during their travels to Stamford Bridge in UCL this past week. Barcelona not only lost, but were stomped 3-0 by Chelsea after Ronald Araujo was sent off in the first half but a ridiculously dumb challenge. While the result was terrible for Barca, the trend of goals galore continues. They've now had 15 matches straight across all competitions hit over 2.5 goals, with the majority going above that. Alaves is a tricky team and I believe will find the scoresheet. I'm expecting the over once again to hit, as Barcelona look to bounce back.

First and foremost, I would play this all the way down to +120, wanted to get that out of the way. Simeone has helped Atleti find their goal-scoring boots once again. After their embarassing 4-0 loss to Arsenal in UCL play, the switch flipped. They outscored their next four opponents 11-2, and Julian Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann have been deadly in attack. These teams have played five times over the last two years. In those five games we saw over 2.5 cash in 4/5. We also saw a match with five and a match with six goals. Getafe doesn't play slow against Atleti, and I think both teams come off break going for goals.

We are in for an emotional fixture this weekend. This will be the first time Barcelona has played a competitive match at Camp Nou since May 28, 2023 as the stadium has been under construction the past two years. This is a big deal not only for the club, but for the fans that will be in attendance. This stadium is going to be BUMPING and we can expect Barcelona to give their loyal fans the show they deserve. Both teams have scored and the over 2.5 goals has now hit in 10 matches straight for Barcelona, and I see no reason the goals will go dry. Look at Lewandowski and Yamal to find goals, and the over to cash.

I love a relegation scrap. When we have two teams sitting at the bottom of the table and a critical three points up for grabs, we very often see goals. Levante have been terrible defensively, but have been successful in front of the goal. Their matches have averaged 3.25 goals per match this season. Meanwhile, Valencia is equally as poor defensively, and has been awful at home in recent weeks. With so much up for grabs, I'm expecting early errors, and early goals, with both teams desperate for points.