

Thomas Casale
Casale on Campus
A frequent guest on national radio and TV shows to discuss college sports, Tom has been betting -- and winning -- for more than 30 years. He sets his own lines for each game, then looks at the metrics to see where he can find an edge in the number. Over the past four college basketball seasons, Tom is 470-290 (62 percent) -- all publicly documented. He joined SportsLine in early 2024 and has gone 157-96 in college basketball, returning $5,098 to $100 players. When the SportsLine Discord launched in November 2024, Tom became a constant presence there, releasing plays early and answering questions from subscribers. He has released 47 CBB plays exclusively in the Discord, going 33-14 for a profit of 20.82 units. You can find his bets only on SportsLine and in the SportsLine Discord. In addition, Tom produces in-depth analysis on college basketball and college football that goes way beyond game picks. He is a frequent guest on CBS Sports HQ and "Early Edge." Casale previously worked for the Action Network and theScore as an editor and analyst. He also co-hosted the BetQL U college basketball podcast with Eli Hershkovich. Always looking to beat the odds, Thomas turned his two sons into long snappers so they can get scholarships and attend college for free. For Thomas Casale media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
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Thomas's Picks
2 Live PicksCan Bill Belichick catch Miami looking ahead to Notre Dame?...
How will Georgia respond coming off its first loss of the season?...
FanDuel. Vegas has lost three straight games, but this feels like a get right spot at home for the Golden Knights. Ottawa lost starting goaltender Linus Ullmark. The Senators are expected to start backup Samuel Ersson, and that should be good news for Vegas. Ersson is 0-3 with a 4.59 goals-against average. The Golden Knights have scored just five goals in their last three games, but their overall offensive numbers remain strong. Vegas ranks top 10 in goals, shots on goal, and power play percentage. Look for the Golden Knights' offense to get back on track against the short-handed Senators. I played the Vegas ML -152 for a Half Unit.
DraftKings. I love this spot for Utah. We won't get this price on many Mammoth home games. Minnesota is at the end of a long road trip, with the Wild playing their fifth away game in eight days. Utah's style is built to exploit tired legs, and the Mammoth should be well rested after three days off. The game is priced this way because the two teams are close on paper. However, the spot, rest, and home ice all favor Utah. I'll back the Mammoth -125 for one unit.
DraftKings. This is a matchup between two hot teams. The Devils have won three straight and five of their last six. Meanwhile, Dallas has won five straight. My issue with New Jersey is that all five of those wins came at home. The Devils have played just three road games this season. They are 1-2 with the lone win coming in OT over Detroit. One of NJ's strengths is that they rank first in shots on goal. The Stars should negate that. Dallas ranks first in SOG allowed, first in goals allowed, and second in penalty-kill percentage. Not only has the defense been strong, but starting goaltender Jake Oettinger has been a wall, sporting a 1.43 GAA. I'll back Dallas -125 for one unit.
BetRivers. I was waiting to see if this number got to +7. Utah is a very good football team, though the Utes have played a soft schedule so far. Utah’s best win is over 3-3 Iowa State. Meanwhile, Houston has played three quality opponents, going 2-1 against Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, and Kansas State. They also beat a good Oregon State team. Utah has great metrics but sometimes those numbers are misleading when a team plays a softer early schedule. Just ask Notre Dame. I have these two teams rated close, right behind BYU and Texas Tech in the Big 12. I think this could be the most entertaining game of the weekend, so I'll take +7 with Houston for a half unit.
FanDuel. Texas is a mess right now. Arch Manning is struggling. The offensive line is struggling. The defense is struggling. Special teams are struggling. The coaching staff is struggling. Other than that, the Horns are in great shape. Ole Miss has lost just once, and that was when the Rebels were in an all-time bad spot after beating LSU. Since then, the Rebels dismantled Vanderbilt and Missouri, winning by a combined score of 83-20. Texas is splitting first-team quarterback reps between Arch and redshirt freshman KJ Lacey Jr. Meanwhile, Ole Miss has the best player on the field in Trinidad Chambliss. I think he’s the difference in a close game. Throw in no Colin Simmons, and I'll take Ole Miss +3.5 for a Half Unit.
FanDuel. This is an awful spot for Tennessee. The Vols are coming off an emotional upset win over Alabama and face a South Carolina team that had a bye last week. The Vols have played a tough schedule, but faced Auburn, Texas, and Alabama at home. This will be Tennessee's toughest road game of the season with a freshman QB. Either George MacIntyre or Faizon Brandon will be under center. Each QB has started just one career road game versus weak competition. If South Carolina were going to quit on head coach Shane Beamer, it would have been against Florida. Instead, the Gamecocks blew out the Gators. I'll back South Carolina on the ML at -126 for a unit.
Grabbed +7 at BetMGM. BYU is in one of the worst spots of the season Saturday. The Cougars played their guts out at home last week in the upset over Notre Dame. The crowd was crazy from the opening kickoff and then stormed the field after BYU’s victory. It’s not easy for college kids to get up emotionally after those games. Now the Cougars must travel across the country to face a UCF squad off a bye week after two straight road losses to Houston and Oklahoma State. UCF quarterback Keyone Jenkins is coming off a four-touchdown performance against Oklahoma State, and the Knights have done a good job stopping the run this season. I think UCF can keep this close at home.
FanDuel. I have to lay it here with UCLA. The Bruins' defense has been college football's most impressive unit over the last two weeks, shutting down Oregon and Wisconsin. Whatever you think about Dylan Raiola, he's played well in two of his three games for Oregon. UCLA's defense made him look like a D2 backup. Michigan State starting quarterback Alessio Milivojevic is out today. That means true freshman Kayd Coffman will be making his first start against this nasty UCLA defense. The Bruins rank 19th in rushing defense, so Coffman will need to make plays down the field. I don't see it happening. I played the Bruins -14.5 for a Half Unit. Good up to -17.
DraftKings. This number looks like it's headed toward 7.5 at most sportsbooks, so I'll grab Indiana -7 now. The Hoosiers are coming off a rare loss under Curt Cignetti and I don't know how Michigan scores. The Wolverines' defense will keep them in the game for a while, but I see Indiana pulling away at some point. Tommy Carr may be Michigan's long-term answer at QB. However, Carr's problem in his first career start is that Indiana's defense allows just 75 rushing yards per game and 2.28 yards per carry. If Josh Hoover takes care of the football, IU should win this game by double digits. Give me the Hoosiers -7 for one unit.
FanDuel. I like the Golden Knights at this price. Vegas is coming off a 6-2 loss to Tampa Bay on Tuesday. The Golden Knights had plenty of opportunities in that loss; they just couldn't get much past Andrei Vasilevskiy, who stopped 32 of 34 shots. I already played the Blues a couple of times this season, and there will be more good spots to back them at home. I just don't think this is one of them. St. Louis goalie Joel Hofer has been good, but he could face heavy fire Thursday night against a Vegas offense that ranks fourth in shots on goal and seventh in power-play percentage. I'll back the Golden Knights -120 for one unit. Good up to -130.
BetRivers. The total in this game is 240.5, and while anything can happen in the opener, I expect these two teams to fly up and down the court. Tyrese Haliburton isn't expected to be on a minutes restriction, and I think he comes out firing after missing all of last season. He averaged 16 points during the preseason, despite playing just 18 minutes per game. Haliburton also has the perfect opponent to get off to a fast start in the defensively challenged Pelicans. I'll take over 18.5 points for one unit.
BetMGM. You have to lay the juice on this one, but the Blue Jackets are in an awful spot in the second leg of a back-to-back after Saturday's OT win over the Rangers. The Wild are rested and will start No. 1 goaltender Jesper Wallstedt. Wallstedt is 5-1-1 this season with a .920 save percentage. Meanwhile, Columbus is expected to turn to backup goalie Cam Talbot. The veteran allowed six goals on 23 shots in his last outing against Florida. Talbot also gave up nine goals in two games versus Minnesota last season. The Wild are unbeaten at home and have too many edges on Sunday for this line to be below -200. I'll lay the -189 for a Half Unit.
DraftKings. I admit this isn't a great spot for Nebraska coming off the emotional home loss to Indiana last week. But Oregon laying seven points to any team with a heartbeat is crazy right now. The Ducks are down to their third-team QB in former walk-on, Brock Thomas. Also, these kids were expecting to compete for a National Championship and have two losses before Halloween. The Ducks need to start strong or the wheels could fall off. I was impressed with Nebraska's defensive front last week, and Oregon has struggled to run the ball all year. I think the Huskers will keep this game close. I'll take Nebraska +7 for a half unit.

