Keeping this one fairly simple: 12 of the last 13 LSU games have seen 146 or more points scored. Meanwhile, Tennessee has scored 76 or more points in all 13 of their home games. This feels like a game where the Volunteers score 80+, while the Tigers get at least 65 in what should be a resounding win for Rick Barnes' squad.

This feels like a smash spot for Tennessee. One thing I look for in the final months are teams likely to make a coaching change. Matt McMahon is probably out at LSU and I have to wonder if the players are focused on the rest of the season or the transfer portal. The Tigers are just 2-9 in SEC play and coming off back-to-back home losses to Georgia and Arkansas by a combined 41 points. LSU could also be without leading scorer Dedan Thomas for the fourth straight game. I wish the Vols shot free throws a little better but dominating the offensive glass and getting easy baskets off turnovers should be enough to cover 11.5. Bet up to 13.5.