Jon's Picks (12 Live)
This is a perfect storm for a high scoring Monday match. Sunderland like to keep things cagey, and love playing for a low scoring match, when on the road. When they play at home, they tend to be a bit more open and tend to press a bit harder for goals. Then we have Burnley, who have 44 goals conceded, and have one of the highest hit rates of over 2.5 goals specifically when playing on the road. Burnley has seen 73% of their road matches clear the over, and I'm backing a high-scoring victory for Sunderland.
Sunderland my beloved we meet again! Sunderland continues to punch way above their weight class their first season back in the Premier League. A big reason they've been so successful and are sitting 11th on the table, is due to their home form. They've now played 11 matches at home this season, and haven't lost a single one of those matches. They've taken points off Aston Villa, Manchester City, and Arsenal when playing at home, and now they paly a Burnley side who hasn't won any of their last 14 matches.
Manchester City are the better club and frankly it's not even close. The problem with the Citizens though, is that they seem to struggle against Spurs over the years. These two teams played four times over the last two years and all four of those matches saw Manchester City as heavy favorites. Tottenham ended up winning three of those four matches, outscoring Manchester City 9-1 over those four matches. City have been struggling to find consistency all season, and I could see Spurs sneaking a draw here.