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I already talked about liking goals in this match, but for the safe reason I expect City to win this match and by multiple goals. Manchester City owe so much to their manager, Pep Guardiola, and this is his last match with the club. Expect all the fans and players to have his back in their last match as the team looks to give them one final, massive win for the club. Aston Villa are already on vacation mode, and I expect City to roll over them.
This match does not matter to either side, with both clubs already safely in a Champions League top four spot. City are second on the table while Aston Villa are fourth and can't drop out of a UCL spot. While this side doesn't matter, City will want to go out with a bang as a final thank you as they say goodbye to their manager Pep Guardiola. This is Pep's last match with City, and I expect his players to play like it's the UCL final pressing for goals.
Manchester City lost the Premier League last week, and Aston Villa won the Europa League midweek. So why am I laying City -1.5? For starters, this is Pep Guardiola’s last match in charge, and City are at the Etihad, where they’ve been dominant all season. They have lost just once at home and usually win by margin. Villa may also rotate. Even if they don’t, those players were partying in Istanbul midweek, then returned for a trophy parade. There’s no way they have been training, and it’s hard to imagine they have the motivation. This feels like a City smash spot. I’ll lay the -1.5.