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Sun, Nov 269:05 pm UTCEmpower Field at Mile High
33 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Cleveland
Browns
CLE
Last 5 ATS
W/L11-6
ATS10-6
O/U10-6-1
FINAL SCORE
12
-
29
Denver
Broncos
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L8-9
ATS6-10
O/U8-9-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
11-6
Win /Loss
8-9
10-6
Spread
6-10
10-6-1
Over / Under
8-9-0
Key Injuries
Key Injuries
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DB
Avatar
LB
Avatar
WR
Key Injuries
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SAF
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CB
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
CLE @ DEN
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
CLE @ DEN
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OVER / UNDER
CLE @ DEN
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52%
PUBLIC
48%
MONEY
48%
PUBLIC
52%
MONEY
Over13%
PUBLIC
Under87%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadDenver -1.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+2294
84-55-8 in Last 147 NFL ATS Picks
+1070
13-2 in Last 15 DEN ATS Picks
Adam's Analysis:

Two teams trending in the right direction, one with an elite defense starting a rookie quarterback in his first career road game, the other with an improving defense starting a veteran at home. This game is all about ball protection. The Broncos are surging with takeaways, while the Browns can’t help but cough it up. Cleveland has one of the worst offenses in the league and now has Dorian Thompson-Robinson, who has yet to throw a touchdown pass, at Mile High? Russell Wilson is hardly my favorite QB to back, but his mobility brings a key element. The Browns are only allowing 10.2 points per game at home but a whopping 29.8 per game on the road this season.

Pick Made: Nov 26, 8:08 pm UTC on Consensus
Point SpreadDenver -1.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+917
83-66-3 in Last 152 NFL Picks
+362
26-20 in Last 46 NFL ATS Picks
+872
23-13-4 in Last 40 CLE ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Denver has built a four-game outright win streak in less than dazzling fashion and bumps into the league's foremost defense. Yet Cleveland QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson is a limited passer dealing with high altitude in his initial road start. Counterpart Russell Wilson is not his former self but sports the NFL's best TD/interception ratio. Avoiding turnovers is paramount against the Browns' D. Wilson need only get Denver to 20 points for a probable cover.

Pick Made: Nov 26, 7:13 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Point SpreadCleveland +2 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1249.5
64-48-5 in Last 117 NFL Picks
+85
2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
+232
7-5 in Last 12 CLE ATS Picks
Josh's Analysis:

The Broncos have made an impressive turnaround since their embarrassing 70-20 loss to the Dolphins. But their four-game win streak includes three wins by a total of 5 points. Their high-wire act should come to an end against a battle-tested Browns club that has won five of six.

Pick Made: Nov 26, 5:22 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LineDenver -115
WIN
Unit1.5
+1096
42-17 in Last 59 NFL ML Picks
+650
7-0 in Last 7 DEN ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Maybe Dorian Thompson-Robinson becomes a good player, although it almost doesn't matter for Cleveland because it is stuck with Deshaun Watson for at least a few more years. Have to take Russell Wilson at home over DTR. Denver's defense is playing just as well as the Browns' D is.

Pick Made: Nov 26, 4:54 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LineDenver -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+290
4-1 in Last 5 NFL Picks
+155
3-2 in Last 5 DEN ML Picks
Emory's Analysis:

We've seen the Broncos be able to withstand early setbacks and sustain drives when necessary during this turnaround. And honestly, it's because of the steady hand of Russell Wilson. Between his ability to make the throws necessary, and their ability to run the ball, it gives them just enough of an edge to knock off a very game Browns opponent.

Pick Made: Nov 26, 1:12 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadDenver -1.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+285.5
28-22 in Last 50 NFL Picks
+400
4-0-2 in Last 6 CLE ATS Picks
Kenny's Analysis:

The Broncos have won four straight games to get back into contention for a playoff spot. We all new the Sean Payton would make a difference, it just took him a couple of weeks to get his team playing solid football. The Broncos allowed 70 points to the Dolphins and over 700 yards. Of their last five games the Broncos median rush yards allowed is 137 (season average 160) and median pass yards allowed is 210 (season average 240. With Deshaun Watson out for the year Dorian Thompson-Robinson is the new starter. DTR is averaging 3.7 yards per pass, zero touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Seattle has a big advantage with Russell Wilson over DTR.

Pick Made: Nov 26, 9:12 am UTC on FanDuel
Over / UnderUnder 37 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+612
24-16 in Last 40 NFL Picks
+360
8-4 in Last 12 NFL O/U Picks
+200
2-0-1 in Last 3 CLE O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Denver is hot and finding ways to win games, four in a row, for the best Broncos streak since the outset of 2016. Russell Wilson continues to make plays in the clutch and the defense has become opportunistic, making leaps-and-bounds improvement since getting shellacked at Miami in last September. Meanwhile the Cleveland offense minus Deshaun Watson is doomed to labor (especially if DTR continues to take snaps), putting enormous pressure on Myles Garrett and the defense. This defensive war might not get to 38 points. Play Browns-Broncos Under

Pick Made: Nov 26, 6:44 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LineDenver -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+719
49-38-4 in Last 91 NFL Picks
+100
2-1 in Last 3 DEN ML Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Denver is hot and finding ways to win games, four in a row, for the best Broncos streak since the outset of 2016. Russell Wilson continues to make plays in the clutch and the defense has become opportunistic, making leaps-and-bounds improvement since getting shellacked at Miami in last September. Meanwhile the Cleveland offense minus Deshaun Watson is doomed to labor (especially if DTR continues to take snaps), putting enormous pressure on Myles Garrett and the defense. Play Broncos

Pick Made: Nov 26, 6:43 am UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadCleveland +1.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+170
5-3 in Last 8 DEN ATS Picks
Brett's Analysis:

The Broncos have won four straight after a 1-5 start mainly because of turnovers. Denver has gotten 10 more of them than their opponents in their last three games, but that's a stat that tends to depend on luck and isn't sustainable. The Browns bring the NFL's No. 1 'D' to Denver and will look to mostly run on a Broncos defense that still can't stop it. Of Denver's five wins, four have been by three points or less, and we're getting points here. Grab them.

Pick Made: Nov 26, 5:14 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderUnder 37 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1053
63-44-2 in Last 109 NFL Picks
Sia's Analysis:

We know both gameplans are going to be conservative and we know both defenses are somewhere between good and great. That should lend itself to DTR and Russel Wilson playing not to lose and letting the defenses dominate.

Pick Made: Nov 26, 3:40 am UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Avatar
Total ReceptionsSamaje Perine Over 2.5 Total Receptions -108
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1375
43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

You can see what I think about this game all over this page. Browns will be hunting Russell Wilson and Sean Payton will be playing it safe and Perine will be on the field in critical moments. Catches pretty much everything thrown to him and often gets 3 looks in one two-minute drill. Perine is over this in three of the last 4 and had 7 catches last week and I see this being a close and low scoring game with Perine ready to pass pro and release into a route vs Myles Garrett and Co. Early numbers were skewed low by blowout losses. I see his role growing down the stretch.

Pick Made: Nov 25, 8:43 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsSamaje Perine Over 19.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1375
43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Browns pass rush is dominant and Perine is by far the back Sean Payton prefers in pass protection. He gets fed at the end of halves and end of games - any hurry up or 2-minute situations for the Broncos - and Russell Wilson seems to love throwing to him as a safety valve in critical moments, He could top this on one drive, honestly, He's over this in five of the last 7 and against this opponent I see his presence being even more critical. He's had a reception of 10 yards or more in 7 straight and 15 or more in five of the last six. Has caught 32 of 36 targets and a threat to make people miss in open field.

Pick Made: Nov 25, 12:34 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsDavid Njoku Over 38.5 Total Receiving Yards -119
WIN
Unit1.0
+566
36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
Eric's Analysis:

Njoku had a whopping FIFTEEN targets last week, catching seven passes for 56 yards from Cleveland rookie QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson. Eight tight ends have surpassed 40 yards against Denver including both T.J. Hockenson and Josh Oliver last week. Look for Njoku to once again be a key component of Cleveland's offense on Sunday.

Pick Made: Nov 24, 4:41 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Made Field GoalsDustin Hopkins Over 1.5 Total Made Field Goals +110
WIN
Unit2.0
+1375
43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Browns don't win unless Hopkins kicks a GW FG and Kevin Stefanski believes in him bigtime. And with a rookie QB who is not very good, and against a limited Broncos offense on the other side, Stefanski will take 3 when it's there. And the ball flies at Mile High. Hopkins is tied for 1st in FGA, he has attempted 13 in 4 road games. He's attempted at least 2 in 6 in a row. Browns have 3 more FGM than any team in the NFL. DEN allow just 8 Off TD last 5 games. DTR ain't finishing drives in the endzone.

Pick Made: Nov 23, 2:56 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Rushing YardsJavonte Williams Over 52.5 Total Rushing Yards -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+1375
43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Road grading the Browns D is the only way to go. Sean Payton won't let Myles Garrett ruin his 5-game win streak. The Steelers and the Raves just got it going on the ground and Browns are just 15th vs the rush. He will break a few 8-10 yard runs and if he does carry 20 times, again, he's getting to 60 yards. Jump on his rushing attempts and Perrine receptions when they populate. Volume, volume, volume to RBs.

Pick Made: Nov 23, 2:51 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadDenver -2.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+2338.5
59-32 in Last 91 NFL Picks
+1169
13-3 in Last 16 NFL ATS Picks
+480
7-2 in Last 9 DEN ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Browns offense - run game in particular - woeful again Sun and that costs you on the road. DTR is gonna turn the ball over, and DEN has NFL best 14 takeaways during its 5-game win streak. DEN has allowed just 8 offensive TDs in that span as well (3rd best). Browns on the road last 4 games allowed: 31, 24, 38, 26. Their run D ain't great nor is their RZ D (24th). Russ won't cook but he won't turn it over and he will win late.. Stefanski should let DTR throw 40 times again and see how that goes. DEN win 4 in row at home; played one road game since Oct. 12; no travel. Browns tackle injuries will loom at Mile High.

Pick Made: Nov 21, 10:23 pm UTC on Consensus
Money LineDenver -135
WIN
Unit1.0
+558
19-12-2 in Last 33 NFL Picks
+400
4-0 in Last 4 NFL ML Picks
Micah's Analysis:

The Broncos four-game win streak makes them 5-5 and puts them back into the playoff conversation and I’m fairly certain the public is going to bet them up despite the Browns proving weekly they have the No. 1 defense. Denver’s defense is last allowing 400 ypg, but the turnaround isn’t just Sean Payton and Russell Wilson, it’s also Vance Joseph’s massive defensive turnaround. This defense against a rookie QB in his first career road start. Broncos to win, money-line.

Pick Made: Nov 20, 7:30 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Point SpreadDenver -2.5 -110
WIN
Unit2.0
+2053
98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Picks
+1733
78-61-3 in Last 142 NFL ATS Picks
+1040
44-32-4 in Last 80 CLE ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

The Browns are now 7-3 after gutting out a win over the Steelers, but the offense didn't look great despite Pittsburgh's defense being beatable this year. They had just 3.5 yards per play with a long play of 18 yards, and Denver's improving defense can have success in this matchup. They've generated 12 turnovers in their last three games, and rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson should give them opportunities in his first road start. Cleveland allows about 10 points per game at home but nearly 30 on the road, and they're vulnerable on the ground. I have this line at 4.5 and even there I'd consider Denver.

Pick Made: Nov 20, 6:40 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey

Team Injuries

Cleveland Browns
Friday, Dec 06, 2024
Avatar
LB
Sam Kamara
ConcussionOut
Avatar
WR
Cedric Tillman
ConcussionOut
Tuesday, Dec 03, 2024
Avatar
DB
Juan Thornhill
CalfQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Jamari Thrash
ShoulderQuestionable
Denver Broncos
Tuesday, Dec 03, 2024
Avatar
SAF
Brandon Jones
GroinQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Riley Moss
Knee - MCLQuestionable
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