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    Mike Barner

    NBA Guru

    Mike is a nationally-acclaimed NBA Fantasy expert, both season-long and DFS, who uses in-depth knowledge of every roster to find betting advantages. Over the past five seasons at SportsLine, Mike went 470-406 against the spread, returning $2,329 to $100 bettors (every play 1 unit). Twice recently, Mike was nominated for Basketball Writer of the Year by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. Mike's work has appeared in Sports Illustrated as well as on Yahoo and RotoWire. Mike appears regularly on "Early Edge," SportsLine's popular daily betting show. For Mike Barner media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @rotomikebarner
    10-3 in Last 13 MLB Player Props Picks
    +695
    RECORD: 10-3-0
    +695
    10-3 in Last 13 MLB Player Props Picks

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    Mike's Past Picks

    Jun 18 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    88
    @ Boston
    106
    Analysis:

    P.J. Washington was in foul trouble and only played 14 minutes in Game 4. Considering the final score, I’m not reading too much into his stat line. Prior to that, he had logged at least 36 minutes and scored at least 13 points in each of the first three games of this series. He is a key supporting scoring option for Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, so with a heavy dose of playing time likely coming his way, the over is the way to go here.

    Pick Made: Mon 2:39 pm UTC
    Jun 18 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    88
    @ Boston
    106
    +160
    7-5-1 in Last 13 NBA ATS Picks
    +513
    36-28-5 in Last 69 BOS ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Mavericks dominated Game 4 to avoid the sweep. Prior to that, the Celtics had won both Game 2 and Game 3 by seven points each. I’m not reading too much into the Celtics being blown out in Game 4 and I think they win the title at home in this Game 5. However, I don’t expect the Mavericks to go down without a fight, so I’ll take them to cover this number.

    Pick Made: Mon 2:35 pm UTC
    Jun 15 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Boston
    84
    @ Dallas
    122
    Analysis:

    We hit the over on this prop in Game 2, but missed it in Game 3. Jrue Holiday finished with four rebounds and five assists Wednesday, despite playing 42 minutes. Prior to that, he had posted at least 11 combined rebounds and assists in eight of his last nine games. I’m not shying away from taking this over again.

    Pick Made: Jun 14, 3:55 pm UTC
    Jun 15 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Boston
    84
    @ Dallas
    122
    +160
    7-5-1 in Last 13 NBA ATS Picks
    +513
    36-28-5 in Last 69 BOS ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Celtics are just the better team. They are better defensively with all of their starters being able to guard multiple positions. They move the ball better on offense and everyone can hit three-pointers. The Mavericks are playing too much isolation basketball on offense and Luka Doncic has been a sieve on defense, which the Celtics have exploited. I’ll take the point to buy a little cushion, but I think the Celtics execute the sweep.

    Pick Made: Jun 14, 3:47 pm UTC
    Jun 13 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Boston
    106
    @ Dallas
    99
    Analysis:

    Jrue Holiday has totaled at least 13 combined rebounds and assists in both of the first two games in this series. Going back even further, he has finished with at least 11 combined rebounds and assists in eight of his last nine games. He logged 41 minutes in a close contest in Game 2, and with Kristaps Porzingis (lower leg) potentially out or at least limited for Game 3, we should see another close score. Expect Holiday to play enough to reach this over.

    Pick Made: Jun 12, 1:44 pm UTC
    Jun 13 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Boston
    106
    @ Dallas
    99
    Analysis:

    If the Mavericks are going to have any hope of taking this series, they must win Game 3. Luka Doncic knows that and should come out aggressive early. He has been jacking up three-pointers in bunches, averaging 10.1 three-point attempts over the last nine games. That helped him make at least four of them in eight of the nine games. That included him nailing four three-pointers in both games against the Celtics. The over is the way to go here.

    Pick Made: Jun 12, 1:49 pm UTC
    Jun 13 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Boston
    106
    @ Dallas
    99
    +93
    21-15-1 in Last 37 NBA Picks
    Analysis:

    The Mavericks have looked overmatched in this series. The Celtics have held Kyrie Irving in check and the Mavericks’ role players haven’t been great. However, role players tend to perform better at home, so the series shifting to Dallas could be key. Another important factor is that Kristaps Porzingis (lower leg) is questionable. Even if he plays, he will likely be limited. If the Mavericks are going to get a win in this series, Game 3 is it.

    Pick Made: Jun 12, 1:36 pm UTC
    Jun 10 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    98
    @ Boston
    105
    Analysis:

    Jrue Holiday was terrific in Game 1, especially on the defensive end. While he scored a modest 12 points, he also chipped in eight rebounds and five assists. With that performance, he has finished with at least 11 combined rebounds and assists in seven of his last eight games. He posted 13 combined rebounds and assists the first time these two teams met during the regular season. He only played 27 minutes the second time because of the lopsided score, but still finished with nine combined. With the expectation that he plays at least 35 minutes against Sunday, the over is the way to go.

    Pick Made: Jun 09, 12:23 pm UTC
    Jun 10 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    98
    @ Boston
    105
    +160
    7-5-1 in Last 13 NBA ATS Picks
    +513
    36-28-5 in Last 69 BOS ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Mavericks were down by 17 points after the first quarter of Game 1. They whittled the lead down to eight points at one time in the game, but ultimately fell by 18 points. They shot 41.7% from the field, 25.9% from three and 63.2% at the charity stripe. The Celtics are a very good defensive team, but I don’t expect the Mavericks to be that inefficient again. Look for them to make enough adjustments for Game 2 to help them cover the spread.

    Pick Made: Jun 09, 12:14 pm UTC
    Jun 07 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    89
    @ Boston
    107
    Analysis:

    The Mavericks received a scare when Dereck Lively II went down with a neck injury in Game 3 against the Timberwolves. Prior to that, he had posted at least 17 combined points, rebounds and assists in five of his previous six games. After sitting out their Game 4 loss, he returned to produce nine points, eight rebounds and three assists across 25 minutes in Game 5. He has become a key part of both their offense and defense, so look for Lively to log enough minutes to reach this over.

    Pick Made: Jun 06, 3:38 pm UTC
    Jun 07 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    89
    @ Boston
    107
    Analysis:

    PJ Washington has been a key reason why the Mavericks have made it this far. During the playoffs, he has averaged 13.6 points and 2.4 three-pointers per game. One of the reasons why he has provided increased production is that he has logged an average of 37 minutes per game. With the Celtics likely to focus their defensive efforts on slowing down Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, expect Washington to receive enough quality looks to hit this over.

    Pick Made: Jun 06, 3:31 pm UTC
    Jun 07 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    89
    @ Boston
    107
    +160
    7-5-1 in Last 13 NBA ATS Picks
    +513
    36-28-5 in Last 69 BOS ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Mavericks have two of the best clutch players in the NBA in Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving. That helps them keep games close. Of their five losses in the playoffs, four of them have been by five or fewer points. Even with a significant talent advantage against the Pacers in the previous round, three of the Celtics’ wins were by five or fewer points. I think the Mavericks keep this game close, if not win outright, so I’ll take the points.

    Pick Made: Jun 06, 3:24 pm UTC
    May 31 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    124
    @ Minnesota
    103
    Analysis:

    Role players usually perform better at home than on the road. During the regular season, Naz Reid shot 50.4% from the field at home, compared to 45.2% on the road. Although he only scored six points in Game 4, he had scored at least 14 points in each of the previous three games in this series. With his three-point shooting prowess and the home crowd behind him, I like this over for Reid.

    Pick Made: May 30, 4:05 pm UTC
    May 31 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    124
    @ Minnesota
    103
    +160
    7-5-1 in Last 13 NBA ATS Picks
    +882
    32-21 in Last 53 MIN ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Mavericks couldn’t close out the sweep, losing Game 4 at home. They really missed Dereck Lively II (neck), who is being considered as a game-time decision for Game 5. He was present at shootaround Thursday morning, which is encouraging. Even with him out, the Timberwolves still only won by five points despite shooting 52.7% from the field and 45.8% from behind the arc. The Mavericks shot just 42.0% from the field, which was their lowest mark of the series. Expect the Mavericks to shoot better Thursday and cover this spread.

    Pick Made: May 30, 3:41 pm UTC
    May 30 2024, 1:40 am UTC
    League
    Houston
    1
    @ Seattle
    2
    +695
    10-3 in Last 13 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    The Mariners have scored three or fewer runs in five of their last seven games. Dylan Moore played in six of those games and didn’t cross home plate in any of them. Moore is only batting .239 this season, but he has a .358 OBP because of his 12.3 percent walk rate. Don’t look for him to draw many walks in a matchup with Justin Verlander, who only has a 6.8 percent walk rate for his career. For his career, Moore only has a .304 wOBA against right-handed pitchers. This is not an adventitious spot for Moore to score a run.

    Pick Made: May 29, 1:28 pm UTC