loading...
League Logo
NBA
League Logo
NBA
League Logo
MLB
League Logo
NHL
League Logo
NFL
All
  • Loading...
loading...
Fri, May 022:00 am UTCIntuit Dome
Track OnCBS Sports
Denver
Nuggets
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L55-38
ATS46-47
O/U50-40-1
FINAL SCORE
105
-
111
Los Angeles
Clippers
LAC
Last 5 ATS
W/L53-36
ATS47-41
O/U40-45-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
55-38
Win /Loss
53-36
46-47
Spread
47-41
50-40-1
Over / Under
40-45-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DEN @ LAC
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
DEN @ LAC
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
DEN @ LAC
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

73%
PUBLIC
27%
MONEY
38%
PUBLIC
62%
MONEY
Over94%
PUBLIC
Under6%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Over / UnderUnder 212 -108
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2109
129-98-2 in Last 229 NBA Picks
+1985
68-44-1 in Last 113 NBA O/U Picks
+608
17-10 in Last 27 LAC O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

The under trend in the first round of the playoffs seems to have abated although the Lakers and T-Wolves slowed to a crawl in the 4th Q last night. Indeed, overs are on a 9-4 run as the first round draws to a close after the unders dominated early. It took this series until Game Five to get over but it did so easily in Tuesday's 131-115 Nuggets cruise at Denver. Russell Westbrook's availability in Game Five gave Denver the scoring punch and jolt it needed from tis bench that was absent in Games 3 & 4. meanwhile, the Clips. For LA, expect more from James Harden, whose scoring has dropped the past two games, down to 11 points in Game 5. Play Nuggets-Clippers Over

Pick Made: May 01, 7:05 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total PointsNikola Jokic Over 26.5 Total Points -118
LOSS
Unit1.0
+287
33-26 in Last 59 NBA Player Props Picks
Zack's Analysis:

In game five the Denver Nuggets had so much success offensively that they got by with Nikola Jokic having an off game. The thirteen points he scored were the second fewest from Jokic since mid January. With the surging offense of Denver, the Clippers will be forced to make full team adjustments in particular on Jamal Murray. Look for Jokic to bounce back in the points department and clear his points prop tonight.

Pick Made: May 01, 7:01 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
Total Points + ReboundsNorman Powell Over 19.5 Total Points + Rebounds -128
WIN
Unit1.0
+112
3-1 in Last 4 NBA Player Props Picks
Jake's Analysis:

This number is already 20.5 at most books, so -128 at 19.5 presents value. Powell has been much better at home during this series, scoring 20 and 22 points in his two home games, compared to 13 or less in all three games on the road. While Kawhi Leonard’s consistent presence has dipped Powell’s volume slightly, he still averaged 25 Pts+Rebs during the regular season. Our model projects him at 21.6 in this home matchup, and we like the bounce-back spot.

Pick Made: May 01, 2:30 pm UTC on FanDuel
1st Quarter Total Points1st Quarter Over 54.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+175
4-2 in Last 6 NBA Game Props Picks
Stephen's Analysis:

This is a combination of faith in Kawhi+Zubac to put up points at the outset and in the Nuggets (specifically Jokic) figuring out the Clippers' defense based on their increase in scoring from 83 in Game 3, 101 in Game 4 and 131 in Game 5. If Jamal Murray stays hot then this should easily hit but at the very worst, he’ll get a ton of attention from the Clippers defense, which should leave others open. That's why Michael Porter Jr and Aaron Gordon are 9-17 combined from 3pt range the last 2 games. The Nuggets shot terribly in Games 3 and 4 in LA from 3pt range (31%) and I think they are due to shoot at least 37% for one of the games.

Pick Made: May 01, 2:05 pm UTC on BetMGM
1st Half Spread1st Half L.A. Clippers -4 -108
LOSS
Unit1.0
+175
4-2 in Last 6 NBA Game Props Picks
Stephen's Analysis:

The model leans LAC for the full-game spread because the Clippers were so dominant at home with a 29-14 ATS record (20-23 on road) and a +10 point differential (0 pt diff on road) and a super strong +6% 3pt differential. But I just don’t trust James Harden for a full game, but I can definitely trust Kawhi Leonard and Ivica Zubac to come out fast. And if Harden isn’t hitting his shots, they have Norman Powell (7 for 16 from 3pt range in LA vs 5-15 at DEN) playing much better at home and Bogdan Bogdanovic waking up from the dead (2 points total in Games 1 to 3, 25 pts in Games 4 and 5).

Pick Made: May 01, 2:01 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total ReboundsChristian Braun Over 5.5 Total Rebounds +120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3169
164-113 in Last 277 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Christian Braun averaged 5.2 rebounds over 34 minutes per game during the regular season. The Nuggets have basically no bench outside of Russell Westbrook, which has resulted in Braun averaging 39 minutes per game in this series. With him playing more, he has grabbed at least six rebounds in four straight games. In Game 5, he had 12 rebounds. At plus odds, I think this is well worth the risk.

Pick Made: May 01, 12:32 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Total PointsAaron Gordon Over 13.5 Total Points -122
WIN
Unit1.0
+400
4-0 in Last 4 NBA Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. Hopping on this Aaron Gordon line early, as I believe it to be a bucket lower than it should be. Gordon has cleared this line in each of the series’ five games. With Michael Porter Jr. and Christian Braun failing to find their footing, Gordon has been able to find some easy looks around the basket, against the smaller Clippers forwards.

Pick Made: Apr 30, 9:34 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadDenver +7 -109
WIN
Unit1.0
+1093.5
94-74-1 in Last 169 NBA Picks
+90
2-1-1 in Last 4 NBA ATS Picks
+728
15-7 in Last 22 LAC ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The last 10 times these teams have met, the Nuggets have lost by this margin just one time. The Clippers have also displayed throughout this series a proclivity for playing with their food, not being able to maintain momentum or put the Nuggets away when they had the chance. Denver has lost by more than 7 points in 3 of their last 12 playoff meetings vs the Clippers and 3 of last 20 in the regular season. Doesn't happen that often and I don't think it happens again here. The non-Zubacs minutes have become a huge problem for the Clippers. Kawhi has not taken this series over nearly to the extent I expected and playoff James Harden showed up last game. Points, please.

Pick Made: Apr 30, 7:44 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
Total Points + ReboundsAaron Gordon Over 17.5 Total Points + Rebounds -130
WIN
Unit1.5
+1607
138-98 in Last 236 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Aaron Gordon has eclipsed this line in every playoff game this season and has seen his usage spike, in addition to his playing time. Gordon is playing upwards of 40 minutes and stuffs the stat sheet. I would make this line 21.5 and would play this for a full unit at 18.5.

Pick Made: Apr 30, 3:17 pm UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Denver Nuggets
Wednesday, May 14, 2025
Avatar
SF
Hunter Tyson
AnkleOut
Sunday, Feb 23, 2025
Avatar
PF
DaRon Holmes II
AchillesOfs
Los Angeles Clippers
Sunday, May 04, 2025
Avatar
SG
Seth Lundy
AnkleOut
© 2025 CBS INTERACTIVE INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. SportsLine and SportLine PRO are registered trademarks of SportsLine.com, Inc.FANS ONLY
In partnership with...247 Sports

FOLLOW US:

The content on this site is for entertainment purposes only and SportsLine makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. There is no gambling offered on this site. This site contains commercial content and SportsLine may be compensated for the links provided on this site.