

Emory Hunt
The Czar of the Playbook
No one knows college football personnel and X's and O's better than Emory Hunt. Born and raised in New Orleans, Hunt played running back at the University of Louisiana-Lafayette and coached high school football before starting Football Gameplan, an in-depth analysis site. A CBS Sports HQ analyst who also is featured on the Early Edge weekly college football preview, Hunt regularly can be seen breaking down NFL and CFB matchups. Over the past three seasons, Hunt is 132-111-2 in the NFL (plus $1,075 for $100 players). For Emory Hunt media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
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Emory's Past Picks
This will be a very good game between two of the NFL's best squads and best QBs. What has been the difference in the Packers the last two weeks has been the addition of RB Josh Jacobs. While the numbers don't wow you, it's his presence that has given this offense the requisite balance. I expect a back-and-forth affair that'll be more like a two point or field goal type game.
Right now no one is playing worse at the QB position than Chargers QB Justin Herbert. He has always struggled under pressure in his career, but now he's not making winning plays without pressure. Look for the Texans defense to go on the road and generate plenty of opportunities for their offense to take advantage.
I know it seems weird to say that the Cowboys defense actually started to look better last week in a wild loss to Arizona, but that is the case. Offensively speaking they'll force the Colts to keep up the pace which is something they'll struggle to do with Daniel Jones at QB. Look for the Dallas defense to have a field day getting Jones on the ground.
Whether the Saints face Shedeur Sanders at QB or Deshaun Watson, this matchup is more about the Browns defense being able to collapse the pocket against Saints QB Tyler Shough. That, coupled with the potential of Sanders being able to attack deeper downfield vs a secondary that tends to give up a lot of big plays is enough to back the Browns on the road.
Unfortunately for the Baltimore Ravens they were snake-bitten at the QB position this season with injuries to their two top QBs. Now they're on their rookie UDFA 3rd string QB Joe Fagnano who will be facing one of the better defenses in the NFL. Laying nearly 9.5 points in this matchup on a short week seems like the right thing to do.
Houston has been able to string together some wins and is looking like the team we expected to see entering the season. Biggest turnaround has been the defensive side of the ball in getting key stops. Facing Giants QB JJ McCarthy in this matchup is a great opportunity for the Texans defense to pile up the big plays.
The biggest matchup in this game will be the Saints protection vs the Steelers pass rush. When Tyler Shough is comfortable in the pocket, the offense can move the ball. Outside of that, it looks disjointed. Offensively speaking, the Steelers offense has shown good balance and RB Jaylen Warren has been tremendous on the ground this season.
When you look at how both the Saints and Giants offense handle pressure, you can't look any further than the QB position. For all of his faults, Jameis Winston is able to navigate pressure rather well. The Saints QB Tyler Shough struggles to handle pressure from the defense, the situation and the moment. None of that favors New Orleans in this game.
Right now the Denver Broncos are still having issues scoring the ball with consistency. Even with coach Sean Payton taking over the playcalling, the offensive output still isn't what we saw from them last season. Despite their loss to the 49ers, I like how the offense still was in position to give their team a chance to win the game. I like their consistency and output on the road.
This Minnesota Vikings defense is a stifling one and does a great job of applying constant pressure. When you look at the struggles of the Saints offense this season, it is a combination of their inability to run the ball and QB Tyler Shough's inability to operate vs pressure. That is a recipe for disaster vs Minnesota.
While I do like the Colts defense and their ability to create some pressure against the Steelers and give their offense more opportunities with the ball. I just don't trust the Colts offense-- outside of RB Jonathan Taylor--to pose a serious threat to the Steelers. Look for Pittsburgh to limit his effectiveness on the ground and make this a Daniel Jones vs Aaron Rodgers game.
It's an unfortunate situation for the Panthers in this ball game. They not only lost the game vs the Browns last week, but lost some key contributors on defense in the secondary. That's not the position you want to be thin in facing the Lions passing attack.
All things being equal, both offenses will find little success in the passing game. Where this game can and will be decided is in the run game. Plus, if I had to trust a QB vs pressure and playing within the margins, it would be Patrick Mahomes. I also give the RB edge to the Chiefs as well.
I like the mentality of the Vikings defense coming into this season. Regardless of what the offensive side of the ball will look like or play like on game day, you know the Vikings defense will be the consistent one of the team. I didn't like how the Bucs looked vs the Browns defensive line and face an even more difficult matchup in this one.
I like that Jameis Winston will introduce the deep passing game to the Giants offense with him as the starter. He looked like a guy last week who was pressing when thrust into the lineup. In this matchup vs the Titans, the Giants actually have the advantage on the perimeter and playing in inclement weather benefits the offense.
