Two teams that had the same identical records a season ago meet tonight as UNC Asheville travels to fast West Georgia. Both schools are winless this season against division one competition with 0-2 records. Slight value on the Bulldogs side, with this being West Georgia’s first home game of the season. A year ago they won their first three home games. UNC Asheville uses a big rotation as no player averages more than twenty seven minutes. The depth wears down and spoils West Georgia’s home opener, grab UNC Asheville.

The Miami Heat have not played a home game since October 30th. Tonight will conclude a five game road trip at Utah. Expect the bench productivity to be needed, and for Pelle Larsson to continue to stand out. In each of his last two games he has made three three pointers. In his career he has had just three road games he has scored twenty or more points, one of those came at Utah a season ago. Larsson put in 20 points in just 25 minutes of action. Take his over tonight.

Texas State may have the strangest conference change by moving to the Pac-12. Today, they will play their first true road game against a UT Rio Grande Valley team that is 2-0 at home. The Vaqueros are one of the few teams in college basketball that did not return any starters from a season ago. In fact, they have just on reserve player from last year’s team and that is Always Wright who plays 13.5 minutes per game. Despite being 2-0, UT Rio Grande Valley is going to take the majority of conference play for their new team to build together. Lay it with Texas State.

In college basketball with so many division one schools, you are going to get small school rivalry matchups. Today there is one with Mercer traveling to Georgia Southern, as both schools are separated by about two hours. Mercer has yet to get a win against a division one school this season, and is in the middle of five straight games on the road. Georgia Southern is known for their strong conference tournament run a season ago in the Sun Belt, and they just played Georgia Tech tight. Grab the value here on a small number with the Mercer Bears.

Another abnormal spread lies tonight with Denver at Houston. Denver played in Mexico City and had issues with a delayed departure. This could lead to a slow start, but look for the Nuggets to continue to showcase their improvement defensively. Houston has also experienced their first down trend of the season as they have lost consecutive games to Minnesota and Phoenix. Take the underdog here with Denver.

The Toronto Raptors have two key players as game time decisions with Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley. Both missed Friday’s win over Milwaukee, which has created a soft line for today’s opponent in Memphis. Rooting for at least one to be in to get in front of a line move to Toronto -4/-4.5. Memphis once 6-0, has declined in scoring each of their last three games which have all been losses. Grab the pre-game number here on Toronto.

The MEAC is not a conference you are typically going to see a near pick em offered in non-conference play on the road. South Carolina State gets that favorable number because of their opponent in Chicago State. This may have been set as a favorite for the Bulldogs if Chicago State did not have the rest advantage and home court edge. Still, look for the Bulldogs to continue their turn around after being 0-14 in non conference play a season ago, they begin 3-0. Grab the Bulldogs.

The Green Bay Packers not only turned around a 1-2 start but they’ve been covering for backers. They have covered in four straight games, and won four out of five games. Covering short numbers as they have in four straight weeks can lead to a trendy dog outlook. New England has not been as crisp this season but are 3-0 at home. A push here at the worst. Back the Pats.

Anytime there is a quarterback change, there is a player or two that shines that had not been a part of the offense before. Reggie Virgil has not had a catch for the Arizona Cardinals over the last three games. He did though have two targets in last week’s overtime win against the Cowboys. Gardner Minshew spreads the ball out more than Jacoby Brissett, and look for Virgil to take advantage of his couple of targets this week. Take his prop over.

If there is a spot for Daniel Jones to break out of a down trend in passing yards it is today against the Dallas Cowboys poor secondary. Josh Downs has averaged just 29 yards receiving over the last five games. A positive in last week’s loss is he did score his first touchdown of the season. Downs may need volume catches to clear this but the game script will be there for Downs to clear his receiving yardage prop.

The New York Jets have played stronger than their 2 and 6 record. Five of their losses have been by a touchdown or less, including on the road against the Lions and Patriots. Warning signs are showing as each of the last three weeks the defense has given up more points in losses. Now Geno Smith will see the first team that was a divisional opponent of his last year in the Chiefs. A team that limited Smith to 67 passing yards in a 31-0 loss a year ago. Lay the points with the Chiefs.

The Orlando Magic have lost three straight games where they have scored 97, 94, and 104 points. Their latest loss by double digits came to the prior one win Phoenix Suns that were in a back to back spot. Already hit by the injury bug, an illness has now put Desmond Bane out tonight. Golden State has been able to mount comebacks in wins against Miami, the Lakers, and others. A six game win streak and their fifth straight home game can lead to a flat spot here. Tail the Magic plus the points.

An odd line lies in Conference USA with Western Kentucky as road favorites over Middle Tennessee. Both teams are .500 in conference and have extended rest from playing early games last week. Yet, this line move is predicated on past results. Western Kentucky has been a higher level Conference USA team for years, and also has a seven game win streak against Middle Tennessee. The last victory for the Blue Raiders over the Hilltoppers was 2018. Fade the line move and take Middle Tennessee.

Power conference schools that have an easy laid out schedule, raises a red flag in my eyes ATS-wise. Northwestern has seven home games, and three neutral site games to begin the season. They will not go on the road until December 12th against Michigan. That can lead to a few flat spots, and tonight look for Stony Brook to be hungry for an upset. After a 26 point opening night win against Binghamton, the Wildcats get challenged to a degree tonight. Grab the points with Stony Brook.

South Florida’s starting quarterback status remains up in the air for tonight’s matchup against East Carolina. Based on the spread offered, it is a spread set with Van Buren Jr. missing tonight’s action, and if he does go I expect some rust early. East Carolina is a team that with a .500 record is a bit misleading. They lost two games in overtime, and also lost by three points against Appalachian State. Look for the Pirates to correct their errors that cost them in both early week matchup games this season against UAB and Memphis. Tail the Pirates.