Hottest team in the league against one of the worst. Best RL team on the road vs the worst RL team at home. O's hurler running out of gas and not used to these parks and this heat and a 5-man rotation coming over from Japan. 9 ER, 21 H and 6 W in last three starts (12 2/3 IP). Rays hurler went 8 with 11 Ks vs O's a week ago.

Dodgers absolutely mash Austin Gomber. Don' be fooled by Dodgers total stats in day games - they have played the fewest in MLB but are 2nd in OPS (2nd in SLG and 3rd in OBP) and I am on props for Andy Pages and Freddie Freeman. They are pounding the Rockies in this series - play them over 3.5 runs in first 5 as well.

The best RL team in MLB on the road (21-9) vs a Royals team that is running out of steam and looks overmatched all series. Oh yeah, and the Royals are 13-27 on the RL at home, second-worst in MLB (jump on TB vs BAL, their next opponent, ASAP - BAL is 30th on he RL at home). Vegas still not giving the Rays, the best team in MLB right now, their due. Shane Baz has been far better on the road than their AA stadium in Tampa.

Dodgers bats got going last night in a spot they have not all season - after an offday. Rockies pen is on fumes and their starter is a rookie who has struggled with 6.19 ERA. The Dodgers have their ace on the bump. We back Yamamoto in these parts! Rockies getting destroyed on the RL in NL West games.

Mets bats are cold but it's time to get hot with a 20-year old kid on the mound for the Braves in a tough spot. Mets have been dominant at home all season and Braves have struggled. I do not see a sweep here. Clay Holmes is allowing just a .200 BA at home.

The Pirates trying to patch it together with the starting pitching. The Pirates are terrible on the road (11-27) and are 24th in MLB on the RL on the road. The Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11, scoring 62 runs in that span. The kid on the mound for them has been very stout at home.

The White Sox are 27-10 on the first 5 RL at home - best in MLB. They have led after 5 in 5 of Shane Smith's last 8 starts. Smith is 17th in MLB among qualified starters with a 2.53 ERA in the first 5 innings. Eduardo Rodriguez has been a mess with a 6.21 ERA on the road.

The Rockies starter has an 8.64 ERA at home and allowed 3 HR in 8 IP. D-Backs love to hit in Coors. Rockies are 7-13 on the RL vs NL West teams and Merrill Kelly owns them, with a 0.98 ERA and 0.73 WHIP in last 5 starts against them. COL is 18-39 on RL after a loss.

Mick Abel is getting pounded more each starts and I have long maintained he is a pen arm. Will need a quick hook. Mets are 10-4 with Griffin Canning on the bump and they have transformed him into a very effective starter. Will be playing Mets on he first 5 as well as those markets populate.

Kumar Rocker has a 16 ERA in the first 3 innings on the road this season. Gulp. Muggy on the East Coast and ball should travel. Pirates dont have a great lineup but this kid starter looks overwhelmed outside of his big home park. Rangers starting to hit the ball much better - which seemed inevitable - and Mitch Keller starts to wilt second time through lineup. After being a dead under team all season, Rangers are over in 3 of 4 on road. Look a Pirates to score in 1st 3 innings and both teams to score 2+ runs in first 5 innings as well.

Both starters have hideous numbers in day games and Jose Berrios (7.09 ERA in day games), usually better at home than road, has reverse splits in that regard this season. Aaron Civale (7.88 ERA in day games) does nothing for me and Pale Hose lineup has shown some life lately - 17 RS in last 3 games.

We loved it yesterday before the rains came and we love it even more with Skubal on the bump at home in a day game. Tigers can't hit lefties and the Tigers do hit lefties. Detroit keeps rolling.

The Yankees mash leftie at home and Tyler Anderson just got roughed up by the O's over the weekend - the worst team against lefties in MLB. Rodon has been far more good than bad for NY and at some point Aaron Judge will make contact again and the Yankees will start hitting again. Positive regression and all.

The Rangers are 28-9 to the under at home in the first 5, including 5 of the past 6. Patrick Corbin might be the Comeback Player of the Year. KC is 23-12 to the under first 5 on the road. In Kris Bubic's 7 road starts, 6 have featured 7 runs or less.

Casey Mize is top six in MLB with a 1.35 ERA in the first 5 IP of home games. The Tigers mash lefties and Bailey Falter gives up way too many fly balls, and doesn't get any swing and miss. This Pirates lineup is tepid. Detroit is top six in OPS vs LHP at home with a formidable .273/.345/.453 slash line.