Alperen Sengun went off against the Trail Blazers back in November, posting 25 points and nine assists. Over the past 10 games, Portland owns the third-worst defensive rating. Look for another big game from Sengun at home in this top-tier matchup.
Pelicans forward Herbert Jones is not on the injury report for Thursday's visit to Sacramento. That's in contrast to Zion Williamson (questionable), Trey Murphy III (questionable) and Dejounte Murray (out). When these teams met Feb. 9, Jones grabbed four rebounds in 30 minutes. He also has cleared this prop total in three straight games, averaging 6.0 rebounds in that span. The depleted Kings got killed on the boards in their last game vs. Phoenix.
Hawks center Onyeka Okongwu has posted double-digit rebounds in four straight games and five of the last six. In the first Hawks-Bucks matchup, Okongwu grabbed 10 boards in 34 minutes. Giannis Antetokounmpo was healthy for that Jan. 19 game, as he will be Wednesday night. Over the past three games, Milwaukee has given up 57 rebounds per game, tied for sixth-most. Go Over at plus money.
Pelicans guard Saddiq Bey scored just 14 points in Sunday's loss to the Clippers. The Clips own the 11th-best defensive rating over the past 10 games. The Lakers, by contrast, rank 10th-worst defensively over that span. Bey had cleared this prop total in five straight games before coming up short against the Clippers. Look for Bey to get back on track after a day off with no travel.
Brook Lopez has averaged more than 31 minutes over the past nine games, clearing this prop total five times. This is a good matchup against the undersized Warriors. In addition, Darius Garland's expected return could create more space and easy opportunities for the 37-year-old big man.
Saddiq Bey put up 42 points and seven assists Thursday at Utah. He likely won't duplicate that offensive efficiency, but with the Pelicans' key absences Saturday, Bey should have every opportunity to put up strong numbers. Go Over on his points-assists combo line.
Mikal Bridges scored 24 and 14 points in his two previous matchups with Milwaukee, and I like him to clear this prop total again Friday night. Bridges is shooting 48.1 percent this month despite going 6 of 17 in the loss to Cleveland on Tuesday. He has actually been a much more productive scorer on the road this season, averaging 18.0 points compared to 13.5 at home. I would play this to 14.5.
Cam Johnson went 0 for 4 from deep and finished with nine points in Denver's loss to the Warriors on Sunday. But he started and played 38 minutes. It was the first time since Nov. 12 that the sharpshooter (41.7 percent on 3-pointers this season) failed to make a 3-pointer. The Celtics are playing their third road game in four nights. Look for Johnson to take advantage of a tired defense and clear this prop total for the third time in his last four games.
Lu Dort has scored in double digits in two straight. With all of OKC's injuries, I'm expecting Dort to play about 30 minutes and get to double digits again. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell are out, while Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso are questionable. In his only previous meeting with the Raptors this season, on Jan. 25, Dort poured in 19 points on 6-of-10 shooting.
Spurs forward Julian Champagnie has cleared this points prop total in 20 of his last 24 games. While he's facing a tough matchup at Detroit, the Pistons' expected defensive focus on Victor Wembanyama and San Antonio's other bigtime scorers could help Champagnie. He hasn't shot well this month, but the opportunities continue to be there.
Payton Pritchard has become an even better distributor since he started coming off the bench. In those six games, he has recorded 7-plus assists five times. This is a plus-matchup against a Lakers team allowing 27.5 assists per game, eighth-most. He also had six assists in the first meeting with the Lakers this season. I would play this Over 6.5 assists at plus money.
Tari Eason has averaged eight points and 3.3 rebounds over his last three games. The minutes are still there, but his production has dropped as Houston has gotten healthier overall. Look for Eason to stay Under this inflated number at MSG.
Magic guard Desmond Bane has cleared this prop total in four straight games and seven of his last eight. On Thursday, he faces the Kings' NBA-worst defense. Franz Wagner (ankle) has been ruled out. Look for Bane, who's shooting 56.3 percent this month, to play big minutes and have every opportunity to go Over.
The 76ers are back home, where Tyrese Maxey averages 7.2 assists and 3.9 rebounds. New York is playing the second night of a back-to-back, following an OT game no less, and won't have OG Anunoby again. (Though Mitchell Robinson will return). Look for Maxey to clear this prop total for the third time in four meetings with the Knicks this season.
The Clippers aren't a good rebounding team without Ivica Zubac, setting up Alperen Sengun for a big game on the boards. He's recorded double-digit rebounds in five of his last seven games. In two meetings with the Clippers this season, Sengun grabbed 15 and 11 rebounds.