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    Fri 03/24 | 11:15 PM UTC | Kansas City
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Miami Hurricanes 29-7, 22-14 ATS
    MIAMI +7.5-110
    MIAMI +275
    Over 140.5-110
    Houston Cougars 33-3, 20-16 ATS
    HOU -7.5-110
    HOU -350
    Under 140.5-110

    Expert Picks

    CBB | Miami 89 @ Houston 75 | 03/24 | 11:15 PM UTC

    Miami +7.5 -110

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: Was hoping for 8 but guess not (is up at DraftKings). Really don't get this number. Houston is excellent, but by his own admission star guard Marcus Sasser isn't 100 percent and the team has been rather blah since the AAC title game. Miami seems to be disrespected left and right (only -2 vs. Drake? +1.5 vs. Indiana? despite sharing the ACC regular-season title -- granted, that league was down this year -- and having one the country's top backcourts led by ACC Player of the Year Isaiah Wong. It's as good as Houston's. The Cougars certainly should be favored but are 2-6 ATS in their past eight. I expect a fairly close game even though most models disagree with me.

    author-image

    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +2021 174-111-1 IN LAST 286 CBB PICKS
    +1155 71-54-1 IN LAST 126 CBB ATS PICKS
    +190 3-1 IN LAST 4 MIAMI ATS PICKS

    Season Splits

    29-7, 22-14 ATS
    33-3, 20-16 ATS
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    58%
    20-14
    20-16
    55%
    On Road or Neutral
    LOCATION
    On Road or Neutral
    70%
    12-5
    10-8
    55%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    77%
    7-2
    20-16
    55%
    When Spread was +5.5 to +9.5
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -9.5 to -5.5
    100%
    2-0
    1-1
    50%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    Favored on Road or Neutral
    75%
    6-2
    10-8
    55%
    vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
    66%
    12-6
    6-7
    46%
    vs Teams Allowing <67 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing 67 to 72 PPG
    81%
    9-2
    7-6
    53%
    After 4+ Days Off
    REST
    After 4+ Days Off
    50%
    9-9
    9-8
    52%
    vs HOU
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs MIAMI
    0%
    0-0
    0-0
    0%