8 Expert Picks
Here's a way to get the juice down from Dortmund ML. ...
I won't make the same mistake twice. ...
Bayern Munich dropping points should motivate Dortmund. ...
Heidenheim are finally showing some heart. ...
Augsburg are experiencing a rare amount of momentum. ...
Augsburg are having an electric January. ...
Hoffenheim are catching Bayern at the perfect time. ...
This match features the two best attacks in Germany. ...
Usually don't see this decent of a price on Under 3.5 that my limited soccer brain can recall. I still think Zinedine Zidane and Alexi Lalas are active, so what do I know? Dortmund is No. 1 in the Bundesliga in terms of fewest goals allowed at 17. Die Schwarzgelben (now I want a sausage with sauerkraut and mustard in the worst way) should smash bottom of table FC Heidenheim 1846 (what happened in 1846?) but the visitors are last in goals scored with 17. Feel like I am missing something here, but I can't read German. Un poco Espanol. Our model has 1.9-1.2. I've learned that own goals or penalty kicks are the only thing beating in U3.5 but generally still doing well.
Dortmund at home demand respect. Playing in front of the Yellow Wall can be brutal, and now that Dortmund is done with the Champions League group stage, they can focus on their domestic campaign. Especially now that Bayern Munich have once again dropped points, I'm expecting Dortmund to come out in a big way. They're playing the worst team in Bundesliga. Heidenheim are dead last on the table, only 17 goals to their name, while conceding 42. Expecting a 3-0/4-0 beatdown for Dortmund.
This match has given us fireworks in the past, and I'm expected something similar Sunday morning. Over 2.5 goals has now hit in their last five head-to-head fixtures. Not only that, but over 3.5 goals has also hit in all five of those matches. I was expecting this line to be set higher, especially with Deniz Undav, Jamie Leweling, and Vincenzo Grifo in form. I like BTTS as well if you want to get that juice down!
Stuttgart and Freiburg are both flying high in Bundesliga this season. Stuttgart are fifth on the table unbeaten in their last five, while Freiburg are seventh on the table with only one loss in their last five. Both teams have tremendous attacks, but Stuttgart has revenge on the mind. When they played the reverse fixture Freiburg won 3-1 at home, picking up three goals after the 80th minute. Stuttgart will bring this back to home and are expected to get revenge, as well as three points.
Bayern Munich faced their first loss of the Bundesliga season last matchday to Bavarian rivals Augsburg. I was at the match in Allianz Arena, so I accept the fact that I was indeed the jinx. Now that I'm out of Germany, and now that manager Vincent Kompany has made it abundantly clear that result isn't acceptable, I'm expecting a violent bounceback from Bayern Munich. They met earlier this season and Bayern battered them 5-0, in a match that could have been even worse. This is a chance to let out some frustrations, and I expect Bayern to win by 3+ goals.
Bayern Munich, the champions of Germany, the best attacking team in Europe, the team with 72 goals in 19 games, lost last week. They didn't just lose 2-1. They lost to a Bavarian rival, and a team that was sitting in the relegation zone. After a loss like that, I fear for whatever poor sap has to take on Bayern Munich in the next matchday. That poor sap happens to be Hamburg. Bayern Munich don't lose multiple in a row and they bounce back in violent ways. I expect Kane, Diaz, Olise and Karl to all start, and for Bayern Munich to win this match 5-0.
Will play simply because it's an outlier number at our books, which all have 2.5 but fairly juiced to the Over. Neither of Leipzig's past two have topped this. Mainz is one of the worst clubs in the league so it may come down to if it scores. It is fourth-bottom in total goals scored. The hosts have a lot of guys out due to injury/suspension. Our model has 3 goals scored and that's kinda my thinking/hope.