Taking the over here. Last year on the final day, over 2.5 goals hit in 7 of the 9 matches, with the slate averaging 3.44 goals per match. The year before that, not a single match went under 2.5. This match has no real table implications, which only pushes me further toward goals. With nothing to protect, this feels like a match with a ton of goals.

I didn't know the rather unique Bundesliga relegation rules until my friend and long-time SL subscriber Ed explained it to me on our Discord. Long story short, St. Pauli has reason to care in the finale as it could climb as high as third-to-last (16th). The bottom two in the league are kicked. Third-to-last enters a two-legged playoff against the third-place team from Zeitgeist 2 or whatever the lower-tier league is called for the final spot in next season's Bundesliga. Wolfsburg is in the same position but has a fairly large list of guys out. A draw works just fine for me and might be enough for Wolfsburg to finish in 16th as it holds all tiebreakers currently. St. Pauli can't afford a draw.