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Matt Severance

Severance Pays

Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past four NBA seasons, Matt has returned a whopping $6,634 to $100 bettors. That includes finishing 217-130-1 (plus $2,182) in the 2024-25 NBA season. Over the past four MLB seasons, Matt is up $1,681. And over the past five college basketball seasons, Matt is up $1,008. He also has excelled in two straight NFL seasons, returning $2,010 to $100 players, and is coming off an outstanding NHL season in which he went 235-155-21 (plus $2,022). Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

@jordanpaytonsn1
LAST 5 BUND PICKS
+350
RECORD: 4-1-0
# 1 BUND EXPERT
+350
4-1 IN LAST 5 BUND PICKS

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Matt's Past Picks
Dec 19 2025, 7:30 pm UTC
League
Mönchengladbach
0
@ Borussia Dortmund
2
Over/UnderUnder 3.5 -160
WIN
Unit1.0
+350
4-1 in Last 5 BUND Picks
Analysis:

Coming close to dumping college hoops and focusing on soccer. At least in that sport I know who will play (usually). "I'm not bitter, you are. I know you are, but what am I?" Yep, I have been relegated to fifth-grade playground talk when it comes to college basketball. And I used relegated on purpose as we segue to the Beautiful Game. I generally like U3.5 when not the super-giants of European soccer. Both these sides (no way I type the visiting name, I'd hurt myself) apparently have major availability questions, but I can't learn about two CCSU guys ruled out until 5 minutes before a hoops tip? Yet I have more solid info on German soccer ... in German. This feels backward. "Danke schön."

Pick Made: Dec 19, 4:21 am UTC on Caesars
Dec 14 2025, 4:30 pm UTC
League
Mainz 05
2
@ Bayern Munich
2
SpreadMainz 05 +3 -123
WIN
Unit1.0
+350
4-1 in Last 5 BUND Picks
Analysis:

I really don't have a ton of knowledge on the Bundesliga other than what I read. When it's not in German. But 3?I don't recall seeing that before in any major Euro domestic league. Not saying it didn't happen, I just don't remember or didn't notice. I will take this every day and twice on Tuesday, and it's the right play even with an L. Math tells us so.

Pick Made: Dec 14, 8:18 am UTC on BetRivers
Dec 12 2025, 7:30 pm UTC
League
RB Leipzig
1
@ FC Union Berlin
3
SpreadRB Leipzig -0.25 +105
LOSS
Unit0.5
+350
4-1 in Last 5 BUND Picks
Analysis:

You know, I don't really tail others. I like to form my own opinions. Then I may go look after. But in soccer, I do check on in on the excellent Martin Green and Buckets, and boy did Buckets go strong on this one. I had been looking at it. RB Leipzig is the way better side but I am practically allergic to road teams. But Buckets talked me into so now it's on him. FC Union Berlin has lost three straight. Only a draw likely beats us, but half because an away club.

Pick Made: Dec 12, 3:13 pm UTC on bet365
Nov 28 2025, 7:30 pm UTC
League
RB Leipzig
0
@ Mönchengladbach
0
SpreadMönchengladbach +0.5 -150
WIN
Unit1.0
+350
4-1 in Last 5 BUND Picks
Analysis:

Among things didn't think I'd wake up saying on Black Friday: "list price" and "Borussia Mönchengladbach." Was in a spelling bee once and believe I was ousted on Mönchengladbach. Felt a bit unfair of a question since I was 11. Was hoping for "Snoopy." RB Leipzig appears to be the superior team sitting second in the Bunda, but BM (no chance I'm typing out the long word again) has won four straight in all competitions and all by multiple goals (only Bundesliga team to have picked up maximum points in last three games as one was the German Cup). The teams they beat sound like beer, perfume, beer and sausage, but they all count the same. The visitors do have some availability concerns.

Pick Made: Nov 28, 1:12 pm UTC on Caesars
Nov 23 2025, 2:30 pm UTC
League
Werder Bremen
0
@ RB Leipzig
2
Over/UnderUnder 3.5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+350
4-1 in Last 5 BUND Picks
Analysis:

Sometimes you get inspiration from weird sources. Not really a "famous" person in that I don't follow on social that kind of thing. But when Mike Damone from "Fast Times at Ridgemont High" added me on Twitter, well that was truly glorious. That movie had a major impact on me growing up, so yeah. And I happened to watch it last night, and the German restaurant scene honestly ("two Cokes") got me looking at the Bunda. When I see a 3.5 really in any major Euro league short of a mega-powerhouse playing, I take a deeper look because 2-1 is so prevalent. Four of Werder Bremen's past five have landed Under this, and it's gonna be on the Green-Whites to keep this a slower-paced match.

Pick Made: Nov 23, 12:48 pm UTC on BetRivers
Oct 25 2025, 1:30 pm UTC
League
Wolfsburg
1
@ Hamburger SV
0
SpreadHamburger SV -0.25 -104
LOSS
Unit1.0
+350
4-1 in Last 5 BUND Picks
Analysis:

Maybe I'm just hungry, but when I saw Hamburg, well, it stirred something. Mostly hunger yes -- can I get a Whopper this early? -- but the Hamburglars, which I am fairly certain is not their nickname (now I was curious and it's the Dinos, which is excellent; also the Red Shorts, which is good too), are three points up in the Bundesliga table on VfL Wolfsburg. The visitors appear to have some injury concerns as well. Hamburg won the last meeting 3-1. Wolfsburg has been routed in two October matches thus far and hasn't won since Aug. 23. Likely only a draw beats us, but I just don't see a scenario where I ever play that. Draw No Bet is a different story ...

Pick Made: Oct 25, 12:15 pm UTC on BetRivers
Oct 04 2025, 4:30 pm UTC
League
Bayern Munich
3
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
0
SpreadEintracht Frankfurt +1.3 -102
LOSS
Unit1.0
+350
4-1 in Last 5 BUND Picks
Analysis:

I'm glad that I've upped my soccer knowledge in recent years because now in addition to Champions League, Premier League and La Liga ... we have Bundesliga options. I played games from those leagues back in the offshore days, so it's fun to re-engage a little. Bayern Munich is obviously the class of German soccer, but that makes it the home domestic match of the year for Eintracht Frankfurt. Which is unbeaten in league play (two draws). Think it's so karma I'm playing this as I went to a German restaurant for the first time in my entire life last week for wife's bday (her call). All I knew were Jagermeister and Sauerkraut. And somehow, I got a dish with both in it.

Pick Made: Oct 02, 8:53 pm UTC on BetRivers
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