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Kyle Marley

Kyle Marley is one of the more recognizable names in MMA betting and DFS. A 14-time DraftKings live final qualifier and longtime UFC handicapper, Marley has provided fight breakdowns, betting picks and DFS strategy analysis for every UFC event over the past decade. He has recorded a six-figure DFS tournament win, multiple five-figure scores and has been part of the SportsLine team since 2019. For Kyle Marley media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

@BigMarley3

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Kyle's Past Picks
Jul 18 2026, 9:00 pm UTC
League
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L. Rodrigues Jr.
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F. Franco
Money LineLevi Rodrigues Jr. -175
LOSS
Unit1.0
+35
5-3 in Last 8 UFC ML Picks
Kyle's Analysis:

Felipe Franco has early power and an early wrestling/grappling edge. I don’t think he can put it together for a full 15 minutes, though, and I like Levi Rodrigues to be the better striker with the higher pace and better cardio. All five of Rodrigues' MMA wins have come by KO/TKO. Give me Rodrigues to survive early and get another knockout in Rounds 2 or 3.

Pick Made: Jul 13, 1:45 pm UTC on DraftKings
Jul 19 2026, 12:00 am UTC
League
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T. McMillen
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A. Montes
Money LineTommy McMillen -113
WIN
Unit1.0
+35
5-3 in Last 8 UFC ML Picks
Kyle's Analysis:

This should be a fun fight. Tommy McMillen is a high-volume striker, and he can bring a pace that is hard to keep up with. Alberto Montes might have the power edge, and he could finish with an early sub. The longer this fight goes though, the more it shifts into McMillen’s favor. I like McMillen to get a late stoppage.

Pick Made: Jul 13, 1:37 pm UTC on FanDuel
Jul 19 2026, 12:00 am UTC
League
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J. Cannonier
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C. Duncan
Money LineChristian Leroy Duncan -350
WIN
Unit1.0
+35
5-3 in Last 8 UFC ML Picks
Kyle's Analysis:

Jared Cannonier still has big power, but at 42, I think he would only have a KO shot. Christian Leroy Duncan is the better overall striker, and he will have a speed and possible power edge in this matchup. I like CLD to win by decision if he doesn’t get a KO along the way.

Pick Made: Jul 13, 1:31 pm UTC on MGM
Jul 19 2026, 12:00 am UTC
League
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D. Du Plessis
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K. Usman
Money LineDricus Du Plessis -245
WIN
Unit1.0
+35
5-3 in Last 8 UFC ML Picks
Kyle's Analysis:

I do think Kamaru Usman will have wrestling success in this fight, but I don’t think he can do it for 25 minutes. Dricus Du Plessis is going to have a big size and power advantage, and I like him to be the better overall striker. I’d like Usman’s chances more in 3 rounds, but I think DDP catches him at some point and gets a TKO.

Pick Made: Jul 13, 1:27 pm UTC on DraftKings
Jul 12 2026, 1:00 am UTC
League
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C. Sandhagen
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M. Bautista
Money LineCory Sandhagen -148
LOSS
Unit1.0
+35
5-3 in Last 8 UFC ML Picks
Kyle's Analysis:

This is a rematch from Mario Bautista’s UFC debut back in 2019, where he was submitted in round 1 by Cory Sandhagen. Bautista has made a ton of improvements since the loss, and he is very skilled anywhere the fight goes. I just think Sandhagen is still a more effective striker and grappler. That should be enough for him to win two or three rounds and defeat Bautista for the second time.

Pick Made: Jul 06, 2:38 am UTC on DraftKings
Jul 11 2026, 9:00 pm UTC
League
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D. Pinas
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C. Almeida
Money LineDamian Pinas -215
WIN
Unit1.0
+35
5-3 in Last 8 UFC ML Picks
Kyle's Analysis:

Cesar Almeida is a skilled kickboxer, but he needs to keep this fight standing and not go power-for-power with Damian Pinas. Pinas has big one-shot power on the feet, and he will also have the wrestling edge here. Plus, Pinas is 14 years younger. I would worry if this fight gets extended, but give me Pinas to get another early KO.

Pick Made: Jul 06, 2:29 am UTC on FanDuel
Jul 12 2026, 1:00 am UTC
League
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B. Saint Denis
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P. Pimblett
Money LineBenoit Saint Denis -142
LOSS
Unit1.0
+35
5-3 in Last 8 UFC ML Picks
Kyle's Analysis:

This should be a fun fight, but I do like Benoit Saint Denis to prevail. I think BSD is the better and more dangerous striker, and I also give him the wrestling edge. Paddy Pimblett is the more dangerous submission artist, but I don’t see him dictating where the fight takes place. Give me BSD at -142.

Pick Made: Jul 06, 2:21 am UTC on DraftKings
Jul 12 2026, 1:00 am UTC
League
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C. McGregor
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M. Holloway
Money LineMax Holloway -218
WIN
Unit1.0
+35
5-3 in Last 8 UFC ML Picks
Kyle's Analysis:

Conor McGregor is back! He is one of my all-time favorite fighters, and he is going to have more one-shot KO power early in this fight. I just don’t see how he can hang with Max Holloway’s volume, and I don’t think McGregor has a 25-minute gas tank anymore against top fighters. I think his path to victory is an early KO. I will take Holloway to avoid the big shots and gas out McGregor to get a late TKO win.

Pick Made: Jul 06, 2:13 am UTC on DraftKings
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