Beyond playing two terrible defenses, it does seem like the light is at least flickering for J.J. McCarthy, who despite low yardage totals, has 5 TD and 1 INT over the last two games. The Giants’ struggles against the run should allow the Vikings to run high-percentage plays and reduce turnover potential. This is more of a play on Minnesota’s defense, though, which should make life rough for Jaxson Dart all game. Brian Flores will be going at him early and often. New York is not going to be able to score enough points on the ground to cover a meager spread like this.

JJ McCarthy's return has sparked the Vikings offense, scoring 65 points across the past two weeks with McCarthy back and taking snaps. Minnesota got involved in a lively game last week vs. the Cowboys and this would be no surprise again as the G-Men post some of the worst defensive numbers in the league on the side of the G-men, McCarthy should have another chance to shine. As for New York,, no reason not to wing it as interim HC Mike Kakfa has taken whatever leash there ever was off of rookie QB Jaxson Dart. The Giants haven't been winning but they have been going over consistently (four straight and 8-1 the last nine). Play Vikings-Giants Over

With Brian Flores as their defensive coordinator, the Vikings are 5-0 SU and 3-0-2 ATS against rookie quarterbacks. Minnesota leads the NFL in pressure rate. Jaxson Dart hasn’t been the same player since returning from his concussion, and he has depleted skill talent around him. The Giants remain incapable of stopping the run; that should help J.J. McCarthy deliver his third straight solid performance.

Dart is over this rushing yards mark in 6/9 games he has started this season. He faces a blitz-heavy Brian Flores-coached Vikings defense that will be sending pressure at him all game. There has been talk about Giants interim HC Mike Kafka needing to protect Dart after his concussion, but I don’t think that will stop him from playing on instinct and taking off. Last week Dart ran 9 times for 63 yards, and is live to soar over this rushing yards total again this week.

I’ve managed to stay away from Justin Jefferson during what has been the worst stretch/biggest slump of his career to date. JJ’s decline in production can largely be attributed to another JJ who has been dreadful under center for Minnesota, however JJ McCarthy has begun to show some signs of life the last two weeks where he’s performed well, well enough to where I am willing to speculate and inspire confidence and buy low on Jefferson. This is about as good as a matchup can get and I ultimately am betting on Jefferson’s talent winning. McCarthy is still peppering his All-World WR with targets and we’re getting a sizable discount on Jefferson’s yards.

J.J. McCarthy has turned the narrative around with two straight quality performances against NFC East defenses, and he gets potentially the worst one here. The Giants are last in yards per rush, so the Vikings should be able to keep the pressure off McCarthy, and an interception rate that ranks 30th means he just had to avoid idiotic throws to have success. The Giants have allowed 24+ points in eight straight games, and with the Vikings topping 30 in their last two, I think this is good enough value to play and hope the McCarthy crash isn't on the way.