FanDuel. Going to ride the Colston Loveland train in this matchup. The Packers allow the tenth most tight-end catches per game (5.83), and should be tough to run on. Without leading receiver, Rome Odunze, I anticipate Loveland on the field for 75%+ of the pass snaps. As is, he’s cleared this line in three of the last five. Tougher matchup for the Bears receivers in this one as well.

With Bears WR1 Rome Odunze ruled out, Burden should continue to see his usage increase. The promising rookie has 5+ targets in 3 straight games, and could be a useful gadget style weapon against a tough Packers defense. If the +6.5 Bears find themselves trailing in this game and can’t go as run-heavy, Burden could see 5-7 targets. I like him to record that 4th catch.

Hate to use the ”bingo card” cliche, but did anyone have Chicago on theirs as the NFC’s No. 1 playoff seed at this stage of the season? Didn't think so. The offense tops the league in big plays, and it wields the second-ranked rush attack. Fourth best in minutes of possession, it can enhance the chances for a cover by keeping the Packers’ offense shivering on the sideline. Green Bay’s ace run defender, D-tackle Devonte Wyatt, is done for the season. The overrated Packers have spotted seven other foes at least this many points in 2025. They have covered once. Here we have a team with the shiniest record in its conference receiving a touchdown. Go figure.

The Packers typically have one of the better home-field advantages in the league, but they've had a few ugly losses at home this year where the offense has struggled. But even if you give them a full 3 points for HFA, I don't think line should be higher than 6. The Bears have won 9 of 10, and question the competition if you want, but that run started with a win against Dallas and includes a win in Philadelphia last week where they were clearly the better team. Caleb Williams has settled in to Ben Johnson's offense, and Chicago has averaged nearly 25 points per game over the last three weeks against the Vikings, Steelers and Eagles. Let's give them a little more respect.

Credit to Ben Johnson for a remarkable job as Chicago's new head coach but it defies the numbers, how this team continues to find the win column. The defense is awful against the pass and the run - but they continue to force turnovers and it is not likely that will continue week in and week out. In 4 recent wins, they have barely gotten there against the Giants, Bengals, Steelers, and Vikings. Green Bay is a different animal - and especially at home in what will be frigid temperatures. The Bears are getting tons of action here and yet it appears the line is headed to 7 in favor of the Packers. Green Bay hammers home a win here by double-digits.

If their performances on Thanksgiving were of any indication, this matchup will be a classic one between the Packers and Bears. Where the Bears have the edge is in their ability to operate with balance offensively. Their run game and complementary passing game makes them difficult to defend. Also, with a healthy and deep secondary, they matchup well versus a Packers passing game.