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Sun, Oct 125:00 pm UTCLucas Oil Stadium
Arizona
Cardinals
ARI
Last 5 ATS
W/L2-14
ATS6-11
O/U10-7-0
FINAL SCORE
27
-
31
Indianapolis
Colts
IND
Last 5 ATS
W/L7-9
ATS9-7
O/U9-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
2-14
Win /Loss
7-9
6-11
Spread
9-7
10-7-0
Over / Under
9-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
ARI @ IND
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MONEYLINE
ARI @ IND
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OVER / UNDER
ARI @ IND
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33%
PUBLIC
67%
MONEY
7%
PUBLIC
93%
MONEY
Over46%
PUBLIC
Under54%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
ReceptionsMichael Pittman Over 4.5 Total Receptions -140
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1521
69-47 Last 116 NFL Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. Michael Pittman cleared this line in four of five games, with the only miss being four catches when he was matched up with Patrick Surtain. He’ll face off against a much softer secondary today - the Cardinals have allowed the fifth most receiver catches per game. And with Arizona missing both Kyler Murray and James Conner, I don’t see their offense sustaining long drives today.

Pick Made: Oct 12, 4:33 pm UTC on FanDuel
SpreadIndianapolis -9 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1789
60-38-2 Last 100 NFL ATS
+386
5-1 Last 6 NFL ATS
Bruce's Analysis:

Had we been a bit more clairvoyant here we might have been able to get Indy -6.5 instead of -9, as the spread has moved up with news of Kyler Murray likely missing action for the Cards. Ex-Colt (and ex-lots of others) Jacoby Brissett will be summoned from the bullpen in relief. Arizona seems snakebit, however, the first team since the merger to lose three consecutive games on last-second field goals. Will they come close again on Sunday? Maybe not, as the situation seems to be fraying, and the Colts have developed a real knockout punch this season, with a win margin of better than 20 ppg. As that's the case, even this enhanced number won't dissuade our interest. Play Colts

Pick Made: Oct 12, 6:49 am UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Receiving YardsMarvin Harrison Jr. Over 48.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+248
103-96 Last 199 NFL Player Props
Daniel's Analysis:

I’m right in line with Sia Nejad again (we cashed on Tet McMillan last week) for another receiving yards prop. One of the bigger storylines you’ll see around this game is Marvin Harrison Jr’s first game in Indianapolis, where his father spent his legendary hall of fame career. Harrison Jr. soared over this line in each of the last 2 weeks, and has recorded a 30+ yard grab in 3/5 games. The Cardinals will start backup QB Jacoby Brissett, who is a capable veteran that can still get Harrison Jr. the ball. Arizona are +9.5 underdogs, and will likely be playing from behind and forced to go pass-heavy. These factors make Harrison Jr. worth a play this week.

Pick Made: Oct 12, 4:31 am UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Receiving YardsMarvin Harrison Jr. Over 48.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1241
31-16 Last 47 NFL Player Props
Sia's Analysis:

Too much talent and too good of an expected game script to have a receiving line south of 50 yards. Harrison has surpassed this line in each of his last two games. His targets per game are lower than I'd like, but a lot of that has been game script related. In trailing game scripts (Seattle) he was peppered with 10 targerts. I expect a trailing game script here against an average secondary. If you're narrative shopping, this is where Dad played and "Junior" has already been asked about that and embraced it. Note that if Jacoby Brissett starts I do not consider that a downgragde as it relates to this prop.

Pick Made: Oct 10, 4:09 pm UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

Arizona Cardinals
Monday, May 04, 2026
Avatar
CB
Sean Murphy-Bunting
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
P
Blake Gillikin
BackQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Mack Wilson
RibsQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Kei'Trel Clark
BackQuestionable
Avatar
OL
Valentin Senn
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Andre Baccellia
NeckQuestionable
Avatar
SAF
Kitan Crawford
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Tip Reiman
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
RB
Trey Benson
Knee - MeniscusQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Marvin Harrison Jr.
FootQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Walter Nolen
KneeQuestionable
Tuesday, Apr 14, 2026
Avatar
SAF
Joey Blount
NeckIr
Wednesday, Apr 01, 2026
Avatar
TE
Travis Vokolek
NeckQuestionable
Wednesday, Feb 11, 2026
Avatar
CB
Garrett Williams
AchillesQuestionable
Indianapolis Colts
Monday, May 04, 2026
Avatar
DT
DeForest Buckner
NeckQuestionable
Avatar
SAF
Daniel Scott
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Charvarius Ward
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Will Mallory
ChestQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Sauce Gardner
CalfQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Anthony Gould
FootQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Blake Freeland
LegQuestionable
Avatar
QB
Anthony Richardson
EyeQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Hunter Wohler
FootQuestionable
Monday, Apr 20, 2026
Avatar
WR
Alec Pierce
AnkleQuestionable
Wednesday, Feb 11, 2026
Avatar
QB
Daniel Jones
AchillesQuestionable
Avatar
K
Spencer Shrader
Knee - ACL + MCLQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Justin Walley
Knee - ACLQuestionable
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