It's always scary fading a desperate 0-2 team, but the Jaguars have some clear matchup edges, starting with the ground game. Jacksonville averages a league-high 5.7 yards per carry and faces a Texans team that just gave up 169 rushing yards (5.6 ypc) to Tampa Bay. I also like the extra motivation for Trevor Lawrence; he will be facing Azeez Al-Shaair for the first time since the Houston linebacker's vicious, suspension-worthy hit ended Lawrence's 2024 season.

Chubb had a 25 yard TD run last week and was still under this line by nearly 10 yards! In fact, 15 of his 25 runs this season have been for 3 or fewer yards. The Jaguars held Carolina to 3.6 yars per rush and Cincinnati to 2.9 yards per rush. They've allowed ONE run of 10-plus yards this year, and it went for 11 yards. I also wouldn't be surprised if Chubb started losing some carries to rookie Woody Marks, who is one of my favorite Fantasy stashes.

DraftKings. Travis Hunter’s average depth of target thus far this season is 6.5 yards, and he’s remained under this line in both games. Lining up in the slot for a majority of his snaps, he’ll have a tough draw against Texans slot corner, Jalen Pitre. Hunter has yet to establish a rapport with Trevor Lawrence, and the whole Jaguars passing offense doesn’t seem quite in sync (save for Dyami Brown). To me, this line is based off what Hunter could be, not what we’ve seen from him.

This is a game the Texans need after starting 0-2, and I expect a big performance from their defense against a Jags offense that hasn't faced much pressure while up against Carolina and Cincy. Houston has the CBs to keep frustrating Jacksonville's top WRs as well. On offense, Houston is last in the league in scoring as they struggle to find consistency, so this could be first to 20 wins.