Drake Maye threw for 287 yards in week 1, but disappointed a lot of fantasy managers. I discussed on FFT DFS that I'll be going back to Maye in DFS this week, because the matchup against the Dolphins is excellent and one to target. The Dolphins gave up points on every single drive to the Colts last week. He exceeded his passing prop line last week, and I expect him to exceed it again in this pristine matchup. I'll likely ladder Maye's passing yards up to 250+ passing yards this week.

We know from his days at Ohio State and from what we've seen throughout the NFL Preseason and Week 1, that TreVeyon Henderson is an explosive runner. Now, we combine that with a good matchup against the Dolphins' defense and likely more opportunities. Per Mike Reiss, ESPN Patriots beat reporter, the Patriots' snap distribution "could change", which likely signals more touches for Henderson. Also, on just five carries last week, he exceeded this line, with his longest rush being 14 yards. I want to attack this line before it goes up more.

I'm buying low on TreVeyon Henderson. The Patriots abandoned the running game in the second half last week, resulting in Henderson getting just five carries, although he did average 5.4 yards. Rhamondre Stevenson plodded his way to 15 yards on seven carries. It's clear to anyone with eyes that Henderson is the better option and he has a good matchup this week against a Dolphins' defense that gave up 156 yards on 40 carries to the Colts in the opener. I'll bet Henderson has a bigger role in New England's offense on Sunday.

DraftKings. Dating back to last season, Hunter Henry has cleared this line in eight of ten full games played with Drake Maye, including a 66-yard performance (8 targets) in Week 1. The Patriots will face off against the Dolphins, who were eviscerated by rookie Tyler Warren for 76 yards last week, and ranked 28th in DVOA against tight-ends last season (per FTN), their first under defensive coordinator Anthony Weaver. The tight-end maintained an elite snap share (93% of Drake Maye’s dropbacks) under new head coach Mike Vrabel’s regime, and seems poised to remain one of Maye’s top targets in 2025. I’d bet this up to over 35.5 receiving yards.

Last week, I got Hunter Henry over 3.5 receptions but he sat on two for a long time and I was getting nervous. He crushed this over in yards line on those two catches. I realized that his yards per reception of nearly 11 is a very solid number for tight ends. He has accounted for 18.6% of team receptions but 20.8% of team yards so his yards track over at a higher rate than receptions. He has gone over 3.5 receptions in 48.7% of games, but over 32.5 receiving yards in 56.5% of games. More importantly, after the first month of last season he has gone over this in 10 of 13 games. Henry is projected for over 40 receiving yards.

We played this prop to great success last week, and I'm back for more. We expected that Maye wouldn't run as much this year and that bore out in Week 1 where he had just 11 yards on four carries. He shouldn't need to scramble much in this matchup against Miami's suspect pass D, and the Dolphins just gave up a big passing performance to Daniel Jones while the Colts QB rushed for 26 yards. This number should drop, and I'd play down to at least 24.5.