With Trevor Lawrence active, let’s side with the Jaguars to take care of business on the road. Both teams are 1-4 straight up in their last five games, but the Titans only managed a field goal last week, and we know the Jags are strong against the run even if they struggle against the pass. Jacksonville has thrived against bad teams, and Tennessee has nothing to play for but internal motivation. How long will pride keep it in the game? Wait every second you possibly can until kickoff and see if you can get this at -3 instead of laying the hook.

Likely Henry's final game as a member of the Titans so one would think Mike Vrabel would like to get his guy in the end zone against his hometown club -- the former Heisman winner, who is from Yulee, Fla. (about 20 miles from JAX), has the most rushing yards and rushing TDs of any player career vs. the Jags, who have been slipping against the run a little. Very surprised this is so cheap.

Would it shock me if the Titans pulled the upset? Not really but tend to think the much more motivated Jags pull it out late with Trevor Lawrence cleared to play. Probably Ryan Tannehill's final game with Tennessee as Will Levis is out.

This spread is tricky because the Titans are just stubborn enough to muck things up for rival Jacksonville, but they're too erratic to warrant backing. However, with an ailing Trevor Lawrence going for the Jaguars, look for them to rely more on the running game and Tennessee will do the same. This one has the backdrop of a low-scoring grinder that stays Under the total.

With QB Trevor Lawrence likely to play, the 3.5-point spot is a bargain. Besides, the Titans have won once straight-up in nine meetings with teams that now sport winning records, while the Jags have swept foes with losing marks. Tennessee has a recent history of fading down the stretch, having won once in 11 outings during December and January last year and this. Coach Mike Vrabel is rumored to be headed to the Patriots, which could be distracting. RB Derrick Henry has feasted on the Jags, but he is a shadow of his former great self.

This one is simple, the Jags need a win to lock up division (they hold the tie breaker over the Colts and Texans). Tannehill is likely to start for Levis, which is bad news for Titans fans and I'd be surprised if Lawrence misses another game. Tennessee's secondary has been awful, rank 25th against the pass so even if it is Bethard who starts for Jacksonville, my money is still on the Jags to cover.

The Tennessee Titans were eliminated from playoff contention after losing to the Jaguars in week 18 last season. They have dropped eight straight division games from 2022, including three against Jacksonville. The Jags had lost four straight before defeating the Carolina Panthers 26-0 last week. We are getting two extra points of value. Houston recorded six sacks against the Titans last week, but Jacksonville is ranked 27th in sack rate. The Jags committed just one penalty last week, and I expect a negative regression. The Jaguars own a +0.66 net yards per play on the road, while Tennessee owns a +0.62 net yards at home. Mike Vrabel is 24-12-2 ATS as an underdog of 3 or more points. Revenge is sweet!